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Spurious correlation #5,909 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is GDP per capita in Canada and the second variable is Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers.  The chart goes from 2009 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As Canadians' bank accounts grew, so did their love for American football, leading to a surge in 49ers' fan base north of the border. The newfound prosperity somehow translated into unwavering support and inadvertently boosted the team's morale, ultimately contributing to their success on the field. Eh, who would've thought that the key to the end zone lay in the Great White North?

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: The image generated by DALL·E-3 depicts a vibrant and surreal scene that captures the essence of the prompt. In the forefront, a group of people wearing red and gold San Francisco 49ers jerseys is seen amidst a psychedelic whirl of colors, their joyous expressions reflecting the excitement of the football game. The skyline of an abstract Canadian city glows with iridescent hues, blending the ambience of a bustling metropolis with a dreamlike quality. The scene exudes an aura of prosperity, as swirling patterns and radiant lights symbolize the soaring GDP per capita of Canada. The visual incorporates elements of lush, sunlit landscapes and dynamic urban energy, fusing the joy of football fandom with the promise of economic success. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Symbolism Steampunk Woodblock painting Celtic art Psychedelic
ChatGPT: Psychedelic

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers, in the following situation: As Canadians' bank accounts grew, so did their love for American football, leading to a surge in 49ers' fan base north of the border. The newfound prosperity somehow translated into unwavering support and inadvertently boosted the team's morale, ultimately contributing to their success on the field. Eh, who would've thought that the key to the end zone lay in the Great White North?. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: On a sunny day in Canada, people are donning red and gold San Francisco 49ers jerseys as they gather in front of screens to watch football. Meanwhile, the city skyline shines brightly with thriving businesses and bustling streets, showcasing Canada's soaring GDP per capita. The joyous cheers of Canadian fans blend with the sound of the 49ers' victories, symbolizing the newfound prosperity fueling the team's success and the growing bond between Canada's wealth and their love for American football.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Psychedelic ] and depicting this scene: On a sunny day in Canada, people are donning red and gold San Francisco 49ers jerseys as they gather in front of screens to watch football. Meanwhile, the city skyline shines brightly with thriving businesses and bustling streets, showcasing Canada's soaring GDP per capita. The joyous cheers of Canadian fans blend with the sound of the 49ers' victories, symbolizing the newfound prosperity fueling the team's success and the growing bond between Canada's wealth and their love for American football. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: The image generated by DALL·E-3 depicts a vibrant and surreal scene that captures the essence of the prompt. In the forefront, a group of people wearing red and gold San Francisco 49ers jerseys is seen amidst a psychedelic whirl of colors, their joyous expressions reflecting the excitement of the football game. The skyline of an abstract Canadian city glows with iridescent hues, blending the ambience of a bustling metropolis with a dreamlike quality. The scene exudes an aura of prosperity, as swirling patterns and radiant lights symbolize the soaring GDP per capita of Canada. The visual incorporates elements of lush, sunlit landscapes and dynamic urban energy, fusing the joy of football fandom with the promise of economic success.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in GDP per capita in Canada caused Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers to increase.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita

The Journal of Interdisciplinary Sports Economics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 and p < 0.01 for 2009 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
INTRODUCTION

The intersection of sports and economics has long been a subject of fascination, with numerous studies examining the impact of athletic victories on local economies. While the connection between sports and economic activity is often explored at a regional or national level, the relationship between the performance of a sports team and the economic well-being of a completely different country is a topic that remains largely unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate the surprising correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, shedding light on an unexpected and peculiar phenomenon that may have profound implications for our understanding of global economics.

The San Francisco 49ers, an iconic NFL team known for their storied history and passionate fan base, have been a perennial force in the world of American football. Meanwhile, Canada, a nation celebrated for its vast landscapes, maple syrup, and polite citizens, boasts a diverse and robust economy. While it may seem improbable that the performance of a football team in California could have any bearing on the economic fortunes of a country thousands of kilometers away, our initial exploration into this connection yielded compelling results, prompting further investigation into this unlikely relationship.

The scope of this study encompasses data from the year 2009 to 2022, utilizing GDP per capita figures from the World Bank and season wins data for the San Francisco 49ers from Pro-Football-Reference.com. Our analysis has revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust statistical relationship between the success of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita. This unexpected correlation raises intriguing questions about the potential mechanisms underlying this association and its broader implications for international economics.

The unconventional nature of this correlation prompts us to consider the myriad factors at play, from the psychological impact of sports victories on consumer sentiment to the potential influence of media coverage and international trade flows. While these speculative avenues offer fertile ground for investigation, it is clear that the linkage we have uncovered merits careful scrutiny and analysis. As we embark on this journey to unravel the curious ties between touchdowns and trade-offs, our findings not only promise to provide a novel perspective on economic dynamics but also highlight the unforeseen ripple effects of sporting achievements on a global scale.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then you might move on to cartoons and children's shows that you watched for research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of sports and economics has long been a subject of fascination, with numerous studies examining the impact of athletic victories on local economies. While the connection between sports and economic activity is often explored at a regional or national level, the relationship between the performance of a sports team and the economic well-being of a completely different country is a topic that remains largely unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate the surprising correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, shedding light on an unexpected and peculiar phenomenon that may have profound implications for our understanding of global economics.
The San Francisco 49ers, an iconic NFL team known for their storied history and passionate fan base, have been a perennial force in the world of American football. Meanwhile, Canada, a nation celebrated for its vast landscapes, maple syrup, and polite citizens, boasts a diverse and robust economy. While it may seem improbable that the performance of a football team in California could have any bearing on the economic fortunes of a country thousands of kilometers away, our initial exploration into this connection yielded compelling results, prompting further investigation into this unlikely relationship.
The scope of this study encompasses data from the year 2009 to 2022, utilizing GDP per capita figures from the World Bank and season wins data for the San Francisco 49ers from Pro-Football-Reference.com. Our analysis has revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust statistical relationship between the success of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita. This unexpected correlation raises intriguing questions about the potential mechanisms underlying this association and its broader implications for international economics.
The unconventional nature of this correlation prompts us to consider the myriad factors at play, from the psychological impact of sports victories on consumer sentiment to the potential influence of media coverage and international trade flows. While these speculative avenues offer fertile ground for investigation, it is clear that the linkage we have uncovered merits careful scrutiny and analysis. As we embark on this journey to unravel the curious ties between touchdowns and trade-offs, our findings not only promise to provide a novel perspective on economic dynamics but also highlight the unforeseen ripple effects of sporting achievements on a global scale.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "Smith and Doe's Economic Impacts of Sporting Events," the authors find an extensive analysis of the economic effects of sporting events, typically focusing on local and regional economies. However, their study does not delve into the peculiar interplay between a specific sports team and the GDP per capita of an entirely different country, which piques our curiosity and motivates the present investigation. Expanding on this notion, Jones et al. examine the psychological and sociological dimensions of sports fandom in "The Sporting Mindset: Understanding the Influence of Athletics on Society," shedding light on the emotional and cognitive effects of athletic victories on individuals. While their work sheds some light on the potential mechanisms underlying the connection between sports and economic activity, it does not directly address the unexpected relationship between the San Francisco 49ers' triumphs and Canada's GDP per capita.

Turning to related non-fiction works, books such as "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner provide an unconventional perspective on the intertwining of seemingly unrelated phenomena in the realm of economics. While their work predominantly focuses on unearthing hidden patterns in diverse socioeconomic contexts, the unexpected correlation between the performance of an NFL team and an entire nation's economic well-being would undoubtedly add an intriguing chapter to their repertoire.

In the realm of fiction, novels such as "Infinite Jest" by David Foster Wallace and "Moneyball" by Michael Lewis explore the enigmatic nature of sports and its societal implications, albeit in a fictional context. The juxtaposition of statistical analysis and sporting triumphs in these narratives offers a whimsical parallel to our present endeavor, underscoring the uncanny union of sports and economic dynamics.

Transitioning to more whimsical sources, the educational impact of cartoons such as "The Jetsons" and "The Flintstones" cannot be understated, with their imaginative depictions of futuristic societies and prehistoric civilizations offering a lighthearted contrast to our serious subject matter. Likewise, children's shows like "Sesame Street" and "The Magic School Bus" instill an early fascination with diverse topics, although their direct relevance to the correlation between NFL victories and a country's economic prosperity remains tenuous at best.

The quirky interplay between sports triumphs and economic fluctuations serves as a captivating lens through which to view the intricate dance of global economics, injecting a delightful dose of whimsy into the often austere field of economic research. As we embark on this compelling journey to unravel the unexpected connections between touchdown celebrations and trade-offs, we remain mindful of the potential for unexpected twists and turns as we navigate the intersection of sporting triumphs and economic reverberations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com . You used data from 2009 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of sports and economics has long been a subject of fascination, with numerous studies examining the impact of athletic victories on local economies. While the connection between sports and economic activity is often explored at a regional or national level, the relationship between the performance of a sports team and the economic well-being of a completely different country is a topic that remains largely unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate the surprising correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, shedding light on an unexpected and peculiar phenomenon that may have profound implications for our understanding of global economics.
The San Francisco 49ers, an iconic NFL team known for their storied history and passionate fan base, have been a perennial force in the world of American football. Meanwhile, Canada, a nation celebrated for its vast landscapes, maple syrup, and polite citizens, boasts a diverse and robust economy. While it may seem improbable that the performance of a football team in California could have any bearing on the economic fortunes of a country thousands of kilometers away, our initial exploration into this connection yielded compelling results, prompting further investigation into this unlikely relationship.
The scope of this study encompasses data from the year 2009 to 2022, utilizing GDP per capita figures from the World Bank and season wins data for the San Francisco 49ers from Pro-Football-Reference.com. Our analysis has revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust statistical relationship between the success of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita. This unexpected correlation raises intriguing questions about the potential mechanisms underlying this association and its broader implications for international economics.
The unconventional nature of this correlation prompts us to consider the myriad factors at play, from the psychological impact of sports victories on consumer sentiment to the potential influence of media coverage and international trade flows. While these speculative avenues offer fertile ground for investigation, it is clear that the linkage we have uncovered merits careful scrutiny and analysis. As we embark on this journey to unravel the curious ties between touchdowns and trade-offs, our findings not only promise to provide a novel perspective on economic dynamics but also highlight the unforeseen ripple effects of sporting achievements on a global scale.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
In this peculiar pursuit of untangling the enigmatic nexus between the success of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic prosperity of Canada, our research team embarked on a quest to gather data from disparate sources. Our digital odyssey led us to the hallowed archives of the World Bank, where we diligently extracted GDP per capita figures for Canada from the annals of economic statistics. Meanwhile, our intrepid explorers ventured into the labyrinthine corridors of Pro-Football-Reference.com, where they unearthed the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers spanning the expanse of time from 2009 to 2022. With these seemingly incongruous datasets in tow, we sought to weave a web of statistical scrutiny and intrigue, unveiling the hidden threads that link touchdowns to trade-offs.

Data Analysis:
Armed with the bountiful harvest of data, we set forth on an empirical odyssey to shed light on the whimsical interplay between the triumphs of a football team and the economic fortunes of a distant land. Our analytical foray commenced with a rigorous examination of the GDP per capita figures for Canada, spanning the years 2009 to 2022, meticulously scrutinizing the ebb and flow of economic prosperity. Simultaneously, we delved into the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, tracing their victories and defeats with the precision of seasoned statisticians. Employing the venerable tools of correlation analysis, we sought to unveil the clandestine dance between these seemingly disparate datasets, employing the majestic power of statistical software to reveal the hitherto hidden rapport between touchdowns and treasury.

Statistical Modeling:
As we ventured deeper into the heart of this eccentric correlation, we summoned the arcane incantations of statistical modeling to unlock the mysteries concealed within the data. Embracing the venerable Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, we illuminated the statistical relationship between the GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, unveiling a coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, an exalted figure that testified to the robustness of this remarkable association. Our model stood as a testament to the unforeseen connections that underpin the tapestry of global economics, offering a window into the beguiling interplay of athletic achievements and economic vicissitudes.

Sensitivity Analysis:
In our quest for scientific rigor, we subjected our findings to the crucible of sensitivity analysis, probing the resilience of our correlation to the vicissitudes of time and circumstance. With meticulous care, we scrutinized the stability of our statistical relationship through varying timeframes and sub-periods, ensuring that our discovery remained steadfast amidst the swirling tempests of statistical uncertainty.

Assumptions and Limitations:
As in any scholarly endeavor, our odyssey was fraught with assumptions and limitations that merit acknowledgment. Foremost among these is the assumption of a causal link between the triumphs of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita, a tantalizing speculation that beckons further exploration. Furthermore, we acknowledge the enigmatic influence of confounding variables, from the capricious winds of public sentiment to the capacious currents of international trade, which may veer the course of our correlation into uncharted waters.

In the midst of this methodological tableau, our research team sought to navigate the labyrinth of statistical inquiry with equal parts dogged determination and buoyant curiosity, weaving together the disparate strands of football fervor and economic ebullience. As we embark on this scholarly expedition into the idiosyncratic realm of touchdowns and trade-offs, we recognize the whimsy and wonder that infuse our pursuit, from the gridiron glory of the 49ers to the economic eddies that shape the fortunes of a far-flung nation.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com .

For the time period 2009 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.7125909, r-squared of 0.5077857, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of sports and economics has long been a subject of fascination, with numerous studies examining the impact of athletic victories on local economies. While the connection between sports and economic activity is often explored at a regional or national level, the relationship between the performance of a sports team and the economic well-being of a completely different country is a topic that remains largely unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate the surprising correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, shedding light on an unexpected and peculiar phenomenon that may have profound implications for our understanding of global economics.
The San Francisco 49ers, an iconic NFL team known for their storied history and passionate fan base, have been a perennial force in the world of American football. Meanwhile, Canada, a nation celebrated for its vast landscapes, maple syrup, and polite citizens, boasts a diverse and robust economy. While it may seem improbable that the performance of a football team in California could have any bearing on the economic fortunes of a country thousands of kilometers away, our initial exploration into this connection yielded compelling results, prompting further investigation into this unlikely relationship.
The scope of this study encompasses data from the year 2009 to 2022, utilizing GDP per capita figures from the World Bank and season wins data for the San Francisco 49ers from Pro-Football-Reference.com. Our analysis has revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust statistical relationship between the success of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita. This unexpected correlation raises intriguing questions about the potential mechanisms underlying this association and its broader implications for international economics.
The unconventional nature of this correlation prompts us to consider the myriad factors at play, from the psychological impact of sports victories on consumer sentiment to the potential influence of media coverage and international trade flows. While these speculative avenues offer fertile ground for investigation, it is clear that the linkage we have uncovered merits careful scrutiny and analysis. As we embark on this journey to unravel the curious ties between touchdowns and trade-offs, our findings not only promise to provide a novel perspective on economic dynamics but also highlight the unforeseen ripple effects of sporting achievements on a global scale.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis revealed an intriguing and unexpected relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers. Over the period from 2009 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation, with an r-squared value of 0.5077857 and p < 0.01, suggests a robust statistical association that defies conventional economic wisdom and puts a new spin on the notion of international economic interconnectedness.

The remarkable strength of the correlation becomes evident in Figure 1, which illustrates the clear and pronounced relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the fluctuating fortunes of the 49ers. The scatterplot conveys a distinct pattern, with increases in San Francisco's season wins corresponding to rises in Canada's GDP per capita. It's as if the 49ers' performance is whispering sweet economic nothings across the border to our neighbors up north.

The unexpected dance between these variables prompts a rethinking of the traditional boundaries of economic impact, challenging the notion that sports victories are confined to shaping local economies. Instead, our findings underscore the global implications of athletic triumphs and the uncanny ways in which elation on the football field can translate into economic exuberance in distant lands.

The strength of the correlation raises questions about the potential mechanisms driving this connection. Could it be that when the 49ers are on a winning streak, Canadians are filled with such delight that they increase their spending, boosting the country's economic activity? Or perhaps the sheer excitement of the 49ers' victories triggers a wave of exuberance that reverberates across international markets, positively influencing Canada's economic outlook. While these possibilities are lighthearted conjectures, they serve to highlight the intriguing nature of this correlation and the fertile ground it offers for further investigation.

In summary, the robust correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers challenges traditional economic wisdom and invites a whimsical reconsideration of the global impact of sports victories. Our findings not only present a compelling case for the unforeseen influences of athletic achievements on international economic dynamics but also offer a lighthearted lens through which we can view the complex web of global interconnectedness.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "Smith and Doe's Economic Impacts of Sporting Events," the authors find an extensive analysis of the economic effects of sporting events, typically focusing on local and regional economies. However, their study does not delve into the peculiar interplay between a specific sports team and the GDP per capita of an entirely different country, which piques our curiosity and motivates the present investigation. Expanding on this notion, Jones et al. examine the psychological and sociological dimensions of sports fandom in "The Sporting Mindset: Understanding the Influence of Athletics on Society," shedding light on the emotional and cognitive effects of athletic victories on individuals. While their work sheds some light on the potential mechanisms underlying the connection between sports and economic activity, it does not directly address the unexpected relationship between the San Francisco 49ers' triumphs and Canada's GDP per capita.
Turning to related non-fiction works, books such as "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner provide an unconventional perspective on the intertwining of seemingly unrelated phenomena in the realm of economics. While their work predominantly focuses on unearthing hidden patterns in diverse socioeconomic contexts, the unexpected correlation between the performance of an NFL team and an entire nation's economic well-being would undoubtedly add an intriguing chapter to their repertoire.
In the realm of fiction, novels such as "Infinite Jest" by David Foster Wallace and "Moneyball" by Michael Lewis explore the enigmatic nature of sports and its societal implications, albeit in a fictional context. The juxtaposition of statistical analysis and sporting triumphs in these narratives offers a whimsical parallel to our present endeavor, underscoring the uncanny union of sports and economic dynamics.
Transitioning to more whimsical sources, the educational impact of cartoons such as "The Jetsons" and "The Flintstones" cannot be understated, with their imaginative depictions of futuristic societies and prehistoric civilizations offering a lighthearted contrast to our serious subject matter. Likewise, children's shows like "Sesame Street" and "The Magic School Bus" instill an early fascination with diverse topics, although their direct relevance to the correlation between NFL victories and a country's economic prosperity remains tenuous at best.
The quirky interplay between sports triumphs and economic fluctuations serves as a captivating lens through which to view the intricate dance of global economics, injecting a delightful dose of whimsy into the often austere field of economic research. As we embark on this compelling journey to unravel the unexpected connections between touchdown celebrations and trade-offs, we remain mindful of the potential for unexpected twists and turns as we navigate the intersection of sporting triumphs and economic reverberations.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis revealed an intriguing and unexpected relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers. Over the period from 2009 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation, with an r-squared value of 0.5077857 and p < 0.01, suggests a robust statistical association that defies conventional economic wisdom and puts a new spin on the notion of international economic interconnectedness.
The remarkable strength of the correlation becomes evident in Figure 1, which illustrates the clear and pronounced relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the fluctuating fortunes of the 49ers. The scatterplot conveys a distinct pattern, with increases in San Francisco's season wins corresponding to rises in Canada's GDP per capita. It's as if the 49ers' performance is whispering sweet economic nothings across the border to our neighbors up north.
The unexpected dance between these variables prompts a rethinking of the traditional boundaries of economic impact, challenging the notion that sports victories are confined to shaping local economies. Instead, our findings underscore the global implications of athletic triumphs and the uncanny ways in which elation on the football field can translate into economic exuberance in distant lands.
The strength of the correlation raises questions about the potential mechanisms driving this connection. Could it be that when the 49ers are on a winning streak, Canadians are filled with such delight that they increase their spending, boosting the country's economic activity? Or perhaps the sheer excitement of the 49ers' victories triggers a wave of exuberance that reverberates across international markets, positively influencing Canada's economic outlook. While these possibilities are lighthearted conjectures, they serve to highlight the intriguing nature of this correlation and the fertile ground it offers for further investigation.
In summary, the robust correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers challenges traditional economic wisdom and invites a whimsical reconsideration of the global impact of sports victories. Our findings not only present a compelling case for the unforeseen influences of athletic achievements on international economic dynamics but also offer a lighthearted lens through which we can view the complex web of global interconnectedness.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study reveal an unexpected and robust correlation between the GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers. The striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value less than 0.01 supports our initial hypothesis and adds a captivating twist to the understanding of international economic dynamics.

Our findings are in line with the prior research highlighting the influence of sporting events on economic activities. Smith and Doe's study, which delves into the economic impacts of sporting events, while not specifically exploring the connection between a specific sports team and the GDP per capita of an entirely different country, does lay the groundwork for considering the broader economic implications of athletic victories. This unexpected bond between the 49ers' triumphs and Canada's economic prosperity brings a whole new meaning to the phrase "play to win."

Additionally, the whimsical references in our literature review, such as the educational impact of cartoons and children's shows, take on a surprising seriousness in light of our findings. Who would have thought that the Jetsons and the GDP per capita of Canada could share a statistical tango? This intriguing correlation adds a delightful dose of unexpected humor to our serious subject matter, demonstrating the zany nature of global economic interconnectedness.

The strength of the correlation prompts a reconsideration of how sports victories can transcend local boundaries and influence international economies. It's as if the cheers for the 49ers' victories are echoing across the border, leading to tangible economic impacts in Canada. This study not only highlights the need for further investigation into the mechanisms driving this connection but also underscores the playful and lighthearted lens through which this enigmatic relationship can be explored.

In conclusion, our research uncovers a fascinating connection between the success of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic well-being of Canada, offering a whimsical yet robust addition to the understanding of global economic dynamics. Our findings not only raise eyebrows but also shed light on the peculiar ways in which sports triumphs can shape international economic reverberations, providing a touch of unexpected humor to the often austere field of economic research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between GDP per capita in Canada and Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
INTRODUCTION
The intersection of sports and economics has long been a subject of fascination, with numerous studies examining the impact of athletic victories on local economies. While the connection between sports and economic activity is often explored at a regional or national level, the relationship between the performance of a sports team and the economic well-being of a completely different country is a topic that remains largely unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate the surprising correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers, shedding light on an unexpected and peculiar phenomenon that may have profound implications for our understanding of global economics.
The San Francisco 49ers, an iconic NFL team known for their storied history and passionate fan base, have been a perennial force in the world of American football. Meanwhile, Canada, a nation celebrated for its vast landscapes, maple syrup, and polite citizens, boasts a diverse and robust economy. While it may seem improbable that the performance of a football team in California could have any bearing on the economic fortunes of a country thousands of kilometers away, our initial exploration into this connection yielded compelling results, prompting further investigation into this unlikely relationship.
The scope of this study encompasses data from the year 2009 to 2022, utilizing GDP per capita figures from the World Bank and season wins data for the San Francisco 49ers from Pro-Football-Reference.com. Our analysis has revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a robust statistical relationship between the success of the 49ers and fluctuations in Canada's GDP per capita. This unexpected correlation raises intriguing questions about the potential mechanisms underlying this association and its broader implications for international economics.
The unconventional nature of this correlation prompts us to consider the myriad factors at play, from the psychological impact of sports victories on consumer sentiment to the potential influence of media coverage and international trade flows. While these speculative avenues offer fertile ground for investigation, it is clear that the linkage we have uncovered merits careful scrutiny and analysis. As we embark on this journey to unravel the curious ties between touchdowns and trade-offs, our findings not only promise to provide a novel perspective on economic dynamics but also highlight the unforeseen ripple effects of sporting achievements on a global scale.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis revealed an intriguing and unexpected relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers. Over the period from 2009 to 2022, we found a correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 between these seemingly unrelated variables. This correlation, with an r-squared value of 0.5077857 and p < 0.01, suggests a robust statistical association that defies conventional economic wisdom and puts a new spin on the notion of international economic interconnectedness.
The remarkable strength of the correlation becomes evident in Figure 1, which illustrates the clear and pronounced relationship between Canada's GDP per capita and the fluctuating fortunes of the 49ers. The scatterplot conveys a distinct pattern, with increases in San Francisco's season wins corresponding to rises in Canada's GDP per capita. It's as if the 49ers' performance is whispering sweet economic nothings across the border to our neighbors up north.
The unexpected dance between these variables prompts a rethinking of the traditional boundaries of economic impact, challenging the notion that sports victories are confined to shaping local economies. Instead, our findings underscore the global implications of athletic triumphs and the uncanny ways in which elation on the football field can translate into economic exuberance in distant lands.
The strength of the correlation raises questions about the potential mechanisms driving this connection. Could it be that when the 49ers are on a winning streak, Canadians are filled with such delight that they increase their spending, boosting the country's economic activity? Or perhaps the sheer excitement of the 49ers' victories triggers a wave of exuberance that reverberates across international markets, positively influencing Canada's economic outlook. While these possibilities are lighthearted conjectures, they serve to highlight the intriguing nature of this correlation and the fertile ground it offers for further investigation.
In summary, the robust correlation between GDP per capita in Canada and the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers challenges traditional economic wisdom and invites a whimsical reconsideration of the global impact of sports victories. Our findings not only present a compelling case for the unforeseen influences of athletic achievements on international economic dynamics but also offer a lighthearted lens through which we can view the complex web of global interconnectedness.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unveiled a surprisingly robust correlation between the season wins of the San Francisco 49ers and Canada's GDP per capita. While the initial skepticism toward this seemingly whimsical relationship may have prompted a few eye rolls or raised eyebrows, our findings underscore the unanticipated and lively interplay between the triumphs of a football team and the economic well-being of a different country.

The statistical relationship, with a correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 and a p-value of less than 0.01, defies conventional economic wisdom and beckons us to embrace the delightful unpredictability of global economic interconnectedness. As we contemplated the possible mechanisms driving this association, we caught ourselves in a playful reverie, envisioning Canadians gleefully increasing their spending during the 49ers' winning streaks, or perhaps international markets swaying to the rhythm of San Francisco's victories like a well-choreographed end zone dance.

Figure 1 vividly portrays the dance between Canada's GDP per capita and the ebbs and flows of the 49ers' triumphs, painting a whimsical picture of economic exuberance echoing across borders. It's almost as if the 49ers' victories are acting as economic maestros, orchestrating a symphony of financial fortunes that reach all the way to the Great White North. This correlation is as surprising as finding a football helmet in a game of financial musical chairs.

This investigation has taken us on a delightful journey through the unexpected corridors of economic quirkiness, challenging us to view the global impact of sports victories through a lighthearted and whimsical lens. As we bid adieu to this study, we assert that no more research is needed in this area. After all, when the 49ers win, the world economy grins! Let the games begin, and may the GDP per capita odds be ever in Canada's favor.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Interdisciplinary Sports Economics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Sports Economics and Global Impact


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Touchdowns and Trade-Offs: Analyzing the Economic Impact of San Francisco 49ers' Season Wins on Canada's GDP Per Capita with an abstract of This study delves into the unexpected rhythm between the performance of the San Francisco 49ers and the economic landscape of Canada by examining the relationship between GDP per capita in Canada and season wins for the San Francisco 49ers. Leveraging data from the World Bank and Pro-Football-Reference.com, our research team has unearthed a significant correlation coefficient of 0.7125909 with p < 0.01 for the period spanning 2009 to 2022. The unlikely connection between the triumphs of a football team and the financial well-being of a different country illustrates an intriguing interplay between seemingly unrelated spheres. Our findings not only offer a quirky lens through which to view economic fluctuations, but also underscore the unforeseen repercussions of sports triumphs on a global scale.

ChatGPT:

San Francisco 49ers, Canada, GDP per capita, economic impact, correlation coefficient, football team wins, World Bank, Pro-Football-Reference.com, global scale, economic fluctuations, sports triumphs

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

GDP per capita in Canada
Source: World Bank
See what else correlates with GDP per capita in Canada

Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers
Detailed data title: Number of season wins by the San Francisco 49ers
Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com
See what else correlates with Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers

Correlation r = 0.7125909 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5077857 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 50.8% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., GDP per capita in Canada) over the 14 years from 2009 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.0042. 0.0042353480421123920000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.71 in 0.42% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 236 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 13 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 13 because we have two variables measured over a period of 14 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.29, 0.9 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
GDP per capita in Canada (US Dollars)40764474655179152409519115095643596.142315.645129.446548.646328.743258.351987.954966
Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers (49ers wins)86131112852641361013




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.
  5. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([40764,47465,51791,52409,51911,50956,43596.1,42315.6,45129.4,46548.6,46328.7,43258.3,51987.9,54966,])
array_2 = np.array([8,6,13,11,12,8,5,2,6,4,13,6,10,13,])
array_1_name = "GDP per capita in Canada"
array_2_name = "Season wins for the San Francisco 49ers"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 5909 · Black Variable ID: 48 · Red Variable ID: 19674
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