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Spurious correlation #3,922 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Destiny and the second variable is Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians.  The chart goes from 1975 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image

AI explanation

As the name Destiny gained popularity, more parents subconsciously steered their kids towards baseball, leading to a larger pool of talented players. It's as if the future of Cleveland's runs was written in the stars!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [Raise the bar] Generate an image of a bustling hospital nursery filled with newborn babies named Destiny, while a glowing scoreboard featuring the Cleveland Guardians' logo illuminates the scene as the team's players hit back-to-back home runs, casting a warm reflection on the smiling faces of the babies. Capture the photorealistic essence of this enchanting fusion of new life and the excitement of baseball. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Cyberpunk Cybernetic art Brutalism Photorealism Scalar art
ChatGPT: Photorealism

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians, in the following situation: Because as Destiny became a more popular name, more babies were born with the natural ability to hit home runs, thus directly increasing the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. It's all in the name, folks.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling hospital nursery, a row of cribs holds newborn babies, each named Destiny. Overhead, a scoreboard lights up with the Cleveland Guardians' logo as the team's players hit back-to-back home runs. The glow of the scoreboard reflects on the smiling faces of the Destiny babies, their future as natural hitters now linked to their popular name.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Photorealism ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling hospital nursery, a row of cribs holds newborn babies, each named Destiny. Overhead, a scoreboard lights up with the Cleveland Guardians' logo as the team's players hit back-to-back home runs. The glow of the scoreboard reflects on the smiling faces of the Destiny babies, their future as natural hitters now linked to their popular name. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [Raise the bar] Generate an image of a bustling hospital nursery filled with newborn babies named Destiny, while a glowing scoreboard featuring the Cleveland Guardians' logo illuminates the scene as the team's players hit back-to-back home runs, casting a warm reflection on the smiling faces of the babies. Capture the photorealistic essence of this enchanting fusion of new life and the excitement of baseball.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Popularity of the first name Destiny positively influenced Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored

Journal of Sports Psychology and Behavioral Science

Jan 2024
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01 for 1975 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
Introduction

In the world of baseball, superstitions run as deep as the cracks in an old baseball bat. From players not stepping on the foul line to wearing lucky socks, the beliefs and customs that surround the sport are as diverse as the fan base itself. However, one of the more peculiar superstitions that has flown under the radar for decades is the alleged connection between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the number of runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Yes, you heard that right! We delved into this intriguing phenomenon to examine whether there might be a cosmic alignment between nomenclature and knockin’ it out of the park.

Who would have thought that the naming practices of parents could possibly have any influence on the performance of a Major League Baseball team? It seems almost as improbable as hitting a grand slam in your first at-bat! Yet, here we are, ready to unravel this mystery and shed light on a potential relationship that defies conventional wisdom. The idea that a name could be linked to the success of a sports franchise might sound like a wild pitch, but it's precisely this kind of unexpected twist that makes the world of statistics and human behavior so fascinating.

In this study, we aim to bridge the unlikely realms of etymology and athletics by exploring the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the run-scoring prowess of the Cleveland Guardians. The ability to mash together statistics and the serendipitous nature of naming conventions creates an irresistible blend of humor and curiosity. So, let's step up to the plate and take a swing at uncovering this captivating and, dare we say, "destined" connection.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a couple popular internet memes that are related to one of the topics.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Introduction
In the world of baseball, superstitions run as deep as the cracks in an old baseball bat. From players not stepping on the foul line to wearing lucky socks, the beliefs and customs that surround the sport are as diverse as the fan base itself. However, one of the more peculiar superstitions that has flown under the radar for decades is the alleged connection between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the number of runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Yes, you heard that right! We delved into this intriguing phenomenon to examine whether there might be a cosmic alignment between nomenclature and knockin’ it out of the park.
Who would have thought that the naming practices of parents could possibly have any influence on the performance of a Major League Baseball team? It seems almost as improbable as hitting a grand slam in your first at-bat! Yet, here we are, ready to unravel this mystery and shed light on a potential relationship that defies conventional wisdom. The idea that a name could be linked to the success of a sports franchise might sound like a wild pitch, but it's precisely this kind of unexpected twist that makes the world of statistics and human behavior so fascinating.
In this study, we aim to bridge the unlikely realms of etymology and athletics by exploring the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the run-scoring prowess of the Cleveland Guardians. The ability to mash together statistics and the serendipitous nature of naming conventions creates an irresistible blend of humor and curiosity. So, let's step up to the plate and take a swing at uncovering this captivating and, dare we say, "destined" connection.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The literature on the connection between personal names and sports outcomes, while relatively scarce, has offered some intriguing perspectives that both challenge and entertain the scholarly and lay communities alike. In "Smith and Doe's Empirical Analysis of Baby Names and Sporting Achievements," the authors find a modest, yet statistically significant correlation between certain first names and athletic performance. Similarly, Jones et al. delve into the linguistic landscape in "The Name Game: Exploring the Impact of Baby Names on Sports Success" and present compelling evidence suggesting that names may indeed exert some influence on athletic achievement.

However, as we dive deeper into this uncharted territory, it is necessary to consider the broader cultural and literary context surrounding the concepts of destiny and baseball. Works such as "The Power of Destiny: Exploring Fate and Fortune" and "Baseball and the Meaning of Life" offer thought-provoking insights that, while not directly addressing the specific relationship under investigation, contribute to our understanding of the thematic underpinnings of our inquiry.

Moreover, the fictional realm has not been exempt from the allure of destiny and sports. In novels such as "The Fate of the Fastball" and "Destiny's Double Play," authors incorporate elements of fate and baseball into their narratives, offering imaginative portrayals of the potential interplay between human names and athletic prowess.

Furthermore, the internet has had its own share of quirkiness in regards to the topic at hand, with viral memes playfully speculating on the impact of auspicious names on sports outcomes. The infamous "Destiny's Child Centered-Field Theory" meme, which humorously postulates that the prevalence of individuals named Destiny in a given area can alter the trajectory of athletic events, captures the whimsical spirit surrounding this unconventional line of inquiry.

As we wade through this eclectic collection of literature, it becomes apparent that the phenomenon under scrutiny is not only intriguing but also elicits a wide range of creative and comical interpretations that add an element of amusement to the serious world of empirical investigation. All in all, these sources set the stage for our investigation into the unexpected relationship between the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians, promising a delightful blend of scholarly analysis and tongue-in-cheek exploration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com . You used data from 1975 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Introduction
In the world of baseball, superstitions run as deep as the cracks in an old baseball bat. From players not stepping on the foul line to wearing lucky socks, the beliefs and customs that surround the sport are as diverse as the fan base itself. However, one of the more peculiar superstitions that has flown under the radar for decades is the alleged connection between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the number of runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Yes, you heard that right! We delved into this intriguing phenomenon to examine whether there might be a cosmic alignment between nomenclature and knockin’ it out of the park.
Who would have thought that the naming practices of parents could possibly have any influence on the performance of a Major League Baseball team? It seems almost as improbable as hitting a grand slam in your first at-bat! Yet, here we are, ready to unravel this mystery and shed light on a potential relationship that defies conventional wisdom. The idea that a name could be linked to the success of a sports franchise might sound like a wild pitch, but it's precisely this kind of unexpected twist that makes the world of statistics and human behavior so fascinating.
In this study, we aim to bridge the unlikely realms of etymology and athletics by exploring the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the run-scoring prowess of the Cleveland Guardians. The ability to mash together statistics and the serendipitous nature of naming conventions creates an irresistible blend of humor and curiosity. So, let's step up to the plate and take a swing at uncovering this captivating and, dare we say, "destined" connection.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Sample Selection:
To uncover the potential celestial synergy between the prevalence of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians, our research team conducted a comprehensive data trawl through the vast expanse of the internet. However, much like a meticulous pirate searching for buried treasure, we focused our efforts on extracting data from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com. We limited our data to the years spanning from 1975 to 2022, ensuring a robust sample size that encompasses the cosmic epochs of naming trends and baseball seasons.

Data Collection:
Ah, the art of data collection! Our methodological odyssey led us to harvest the annual statistics of baby names from the US Social Security Administration, basking in the glimmering spectrum of names that shone brightly like constellations in the night sky. Meanwhile, the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians were meticulously plucked from the bountiful fields of Baseball-Reference.com, like ripe grapes from the vine. We curated this data with the precision of a vintner crafting the perfect blend of statistical flavors, ensuring that our dataset was as comprehensive as the baseball diamond itself.

Statistical Analysis:
With our dataset in hand, we embarked on a statistical voyage that would rival the explorations of Magellan and Columbus combined. Utilizing the venerable tools of correlation analysis and regression models, we sought to unravel the tangled web of destiny and runs scored. Like modern-day alchemists, we transmuted raw data into insights, weaving a tapestry of statistical significance and p-values that sparkled like celestial jewels.

Correlation Coefficients and P-Values:
In the grand tradition of uncovering the hidden patterns of the universe, we calculated the correlation coefficient between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Behold, the coefficient of 0.5975301 emerged from the statistical crucible, signaling a robust association between nomenclature and runs on the scoreboard. The p-value, that mystical gatekeeper of statistical significance, cast its shadow with a p < 0.01, affirming the cosmic resonance between "Destiny" and the art of knocking it out of the park.

Ethical Considerations:
In accordance with the lofty principles of research integrity, our investigation adhered rigorously to ethical guidelines and principles. We treated the data with the reverence befitting a hallowed manuscript, ensuring that the confidentiality and privacy of individuals were safeguarded with utmost care. Our research team conducted this study with the sincerity of a groom reciting wedding vows, upholding the responsibility that comes with the pursuit of knowledge.

In conclusion, our methodology stands as a testament to the inquisitive spirit of human inquiry, as we traversed the landscape of data and statistics in pursuit of unraveling a connection as captivating as a real-life serendipity.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com .

For the time period 1975 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.5975301, r-squared of 0.3570422, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Introduction
In the world of baseball, superstitions run as deep as the cracks in an old baseball bat. From players not stepping on the foul line to wearing lucky socks, the beliefs and customs that surround the sport are as diverse as the fan base itself. However, one of the more peculiar superstitions that has flown under the radar for decades is the alleged connection between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the number of runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Yes, you heard that right! We delved into this intriguing phenomenon to examine whether there might be a cosmic alignment between nomenclature and knockin’ it out of the park.
Who would have thought that the naming practices of parents could possibly have any influence on the performance of a Major League Baseball team? It seems almost as improbable as hitting a grand slam in your first at-bat! Yet, here we are, ready to unravel this mystery and shed light on a potential relationship that defies conventional wisdom. The idea that a name could be linked to the success of a sports franchise might sound like a wild pitch, but it's precisely this kind of unexpected twist that makes the world of statistics and human behavior so fascinating.
In this study, we aim to bridge the unlikely realms of etymology and athletics by exploring the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the run-scoring prowess of the Cleveland Guardians. The ability to mash together statistics and the serendipitous nature of naming conventions creates an irresistible blend of humor and curiosity. So, let's step up to the plate and take a swing at uncovering this captivating and, dare we say, "destined" connection.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

RESULTS

The statistical analysis of the data revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between the prevalence of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 indicated a moderate to strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables, which left us scratching our heads almost as much as a player who just struck out looking. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.3570422 further supported the notion that there is indeed something more than just a whimsical coincidence at play here.

The p-value of less than 0.01 emphasized the statistical significance of the relationship, providing evidence that we weren't just caught up in a statistical ground ball. It seems there's a real phenomenon at work – who would have thought that the moniker "Destiny" could have such a profound impact on the destiny of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball field?

Indeed, our findings defy the conventional wisdom of what determines a team's success and add a captivating layer of complexity to the world of sports analysis. When we first stumbled upon this unique connection, we couldn't help but feel like we hit a statistical home run in our research.

Figure 1 presents a scatterplot that visually illustrates the strong correlation we found between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The scatterplot alone is enough to make one ponder the mysterious ways in which the universe and statistical probability intersect, leaving us with more questions than answers – much like the feeling of watching a tight baseball game go into extra innings.

In conclusion, our analysis not only found a statistically significant relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians but also sparked a new level of curiosity and wonder about the unexpected ways in which human behavior can shape the sports world. It's clear that in the game of statistics, as in the game of baseball, there's always room for surprises and unforeseen connections that keep us on our toes and make the research journey all the more entertaining.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The literature on the connection between personal names and sports outcomes, while relatively scarce, has offered some intriguing perspectives that both challenge and entertain the scholarly and lay communities alike. In "Smith and Doe's Empirical Analysis of Baby Names and Sporting Achievements," the authors find a modest, yet statistically significant correlation between certain first names and athletic performance. Similarly, Jones et al. delve into the linguistic landscape in "The Name Game: Exploring the Impact of Baby Names on Sports Success" and present compelling evidence suggesting that names may indeed exert some influence on athletic achievement.
However, as we dive deeper into this uncharted territory, it is necessary to consider the broader cultural and literary context surrounding the concepts of destiny and baseball. Works such as "The Power of Destiny: Exploring Fate and Fortune" and "Baseball and the Meaning of Life" offer thought-provoking insights that, while not directly addressing the specific relationship under investigation, contribute to our understanding of the thematic underpinnings of our inquiry.
Moreover, the fictional realm has not been exempt from the allure of destiny and sports. In novels such as "The Fate of the Fastball" and "Destiny's Double Play," authors incorporate elements of fate and baseball into their narratives, offering imaginative portrayals of the potential interplay between human names and athletic prowess.
Furthermore, the internet has had its own share of quirkiness in regards to the topic at hand, with viral memes playfully speculating on the impact of auspicious names on sports outcomes. The infamous "Destiny's Child Centered-Field Theory" meme, which humorously postulates that the prevalence of individuals named Destiny in a given area can alter the trajectory of athletic events, captures the whimsical spirit surrounding this unconventional line of inquiry.
As we wade through this eclectic collection of literature, it becomes apparent that the phenomenon under scrutiny is not only intriguing but also elicits a wide range of creative and comical interpretations that add an element of amusement to the serious world of empirical investigation. All in all, these sources set the stage for our investigation into the unexpected relationship between the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians, promising a delightful blend of scholarly analysis and tongue-in-cheek exploration.

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The statistical analysis of the data revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between the prevalence of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 indicated a moderate to strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables, which left us scratching our heads almost as much as a player who just struck out looking. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.3570422 further supported the notion that there is indeed something more than just a whimsical coincidence at play here.
The p-value of less than 0.01 emphasized the statistical significance of the relationship, providing evidence that we weren't just caught up in a statistical ground ball. It seems there's a real phenomenon at work – who would have thought that the moniker "Destiny" could have such a profound impact on the destiny of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball field?
Indeed, our findings defy the conventional wisdom of what determines a team's success and add a captivating layer of complexity to the world of sports analysis. When we first stumbled upon this unique connection, we couldn't help but feel like we hit a statistical home run in our research.
Figure 1 presents a scatterplot that visually illustrates the strong correlation we found between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The scatterplot alone is enough to make one ponder the mysterious ways in which the universe and statistical probability intersect, leaving us with more questions than answers – much like the feeling of watching a tight baseball game go into extra innings.
In conclusion, our analysis not only found a statistically significant relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians but also sparked a new level of curiosity and wonder about the unexpected ways in which human behavior can shape the sports world. It's clear that in the game of statistics, as in the game of baseball, there's always room for surprises and unforeseen connections that keep us on our toes and make the research journey all the more entertaining.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The results of our study have left us feeling as giddy as a rookie who just hit a walk-off grand slam. The unexpected correlation we found between the prevalence of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians not only adds a dash of whimsy to the typically serious field of statistical analysis but also prompts us to ponder the sheer serendipity prevalent in the world of sports.

Our findings resonate with the previous research that ventured into the uncharted territory of the relationship between personal names and athletic performance. Smith and Doe's earlier work, while not specific to baseball, hinted at a connection between certain first names and sporting achievements. In the same hilariously frivolous vein, Jones et al. demonstrated that names may indeed wield some influence over athletic prowess. Our results heartily support these prior findings, as if our data were shouting, "Hey batter, batter, swing!" to confirm the existence of a tangible link between the name "Destiny" and the Guardians' runs scored.

Furthermore, our study rekindles the thematic musings of literary works exploring the concept of destiny and the world of baseball. We find ourselves echoing the sentiments of "The Power of Destiny: Exploring Fate and Fortune," as our statistically significant correlation leaves us in awe of the perceived cosmic forces at play. Similarly, the reflective insights of "Baseball and the Meaning of Life" now take on a whole new layer of meaning as we contemplate the surprisingly influential role of a mere name on a professional baseball team's performance.

The scattered anomaly of the meme-ridden internet sphere has found a grounding point in our rigorous analysis, as the infamous "Destiny's Child Centered-Field Theory" – while born out of jest – has unwittingly alluded to the substantial impact of the name "Destiny" on the Cleveland Guardians' runs scored. The playful speculation of internet humor has, much to our amusement, been met with empirical validation in our study.

Our discovery challenges the staleness of traditional sports analytics, injecting a breath of fresh air into the statistical landscape. Much like a knuckleball that leaves a batter baffled, our findings boggle the mind and encourage a rethinking of the various factors that influence on-field outcomes. As we continue to unravel the mysteries of everyday life through statistical inquiry, our study serves as a delightful reminder that even the most unlikely connections can materialize and capture the imagination of both scholars and fans alike.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Destiny and Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored"

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Introduction
In the world of baseball, superstitions run as deep as the cracks in an old baseball bat. From players not stepping on the foul line to wearing lucky socks, the beliefs and customs that surround the sport are as diverse as the fan base itself. However, one of the more peculiar superstitions that has flown under the radar for decades is the alleged connection between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the number of runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. Yes, you heard that right! We delved into this intriguing phenomenon to examine whether there might be a cosmic alignment between nomenclature and knockin’ it out of the park.
Who would have thought that the naming practices of parents could possibly have any influence on the performance of a Major League Baseball team? It seems almost as improbable as hitting a grand slam in your first at-bat! Yet, here we are, ready to unravel this mystery and shed light on a potential relationship that defies conventional wisdom. The idea that a name could be linked to the success of a sports franchise might sound like a wild pitch, but it's precisely this kind of unexpected twist that makes the world of statistics and human behavior so fascinating.
In this study, we aim to bridge the unlikely realms of etymology and athletics by exploring the correlation between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the run-scoring prowess of the Cleveland Guardians. The ability to mash together statistics and the serendipitous nature of naming conventions creates an irresistible blend of humor and curiosity. So, let's step up to the plate and take a swing at uncovering this captivating and, dare we say, "destined" connection.

[[RESULTS]]
RESULTS
The statistical analysis of the data revealed a surprisingly strong correlation between the prevalence of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 indicated a moderate to strong positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables, which left us scratching our heads almost as much as a player who just struck out looking. Additionally, the r-squared value of 0.3570422 further supported the notion that there is indeed something more than just a whimsical coincidence at play here.
The p-value of less than 0.01 emphasized the statistical significance of the relationship, providing evidence that we weren't just caught up in a statistical ground ball. It seems there's a real phenomenon at work – who would have thought that the moniker "Destiny" could have such a profound impact on the destiny of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball field?
Indeed, our findings defy the conventional wisdom of what determines a team's success and add a captivating layer of complexity to the world of sports analysis. When we first stumbled upon this unique connection, we couldn't help but feel like we hit a statistical home run in our research.
Figure 1 presents a scatterplot that visually illustrates the strong correlation we found between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians. The scatterplot alone is enough to make one ponder the mysterious ways in which the universe and statistical probability intersect, leaving us with more questions than answers – much like the feeling of watching a tight baseball game go into extra innings.
In conclusion, our analysis not only found a statistically significant relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians but also sparked a new level of curiosity and wonder about the unexpected ways in which human behavior can shape the sports world. It's clear that in the game of statistics, as in the game of baseball, there's always room for surprises and unforeseen connections that keep us on our toes and make the research journey all the more entertaining.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In this unprecedented study, we have uncovered an unexpected twist in the intricate dance between nomenclature and baseball mayhem. Our findings have brought forth a novel perspective that challenges the conventional wisdom surrounding the influence of names on the performance of a Major League Baseball team. Who would have thought that the simple utterance of "Destiny" could potentially stir the cosmic forces that determine the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians?

The correlation coefficient of 0.5975301, with a p-value of less than 0.01, defies the odds like a pinch-hitting pitcher belting a game-winning homer. It turns out that the prevalence of the name "Destiny" is not just a whimsical coincidence but a statistically meaningful predictor of run-scoring prowess. This finding is as astonishing as hitting for the cycle in a single game – a rare feat, indeed!

As we reflect on our research journey, we can't help but marvel at this unexpected connection, akin to a grand slam coming from the unlikeliest of sources. Our scatterplot tells a captivating story of the intertwining paths of fate and statistics, leaving us with more questions than answers, much like the allure of a tight baseball game that keeps fans on the edge of their seats.

In light of these compelling findings, we find ourselves in the enviable position of confidently asserting that no further research is needed in this area. The cosmic alignment of Destiny and the Cleveland Guardians' runs scored stands as a remarkable and quirky testament to the whimsical nature of statistical inquiry. We are left with a newfound appreciation for the delightful absurdity that permeates the intersection of etymology and athletics.

In the game of statistics, just like in the game of baseball, the unexpected and the unconventional are often the greatest source of discovery and amusement. Our study has uncovered a fascinating connection that adds a touch of whimsy to the hallowed halls of academic research. As we bid adieu to this peculiar yet enchanting investigation, we are reminded that when it comes to uncovering the mysteries of the universe, we must always be prepared for the delightful curveballs it throws our way.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Sports Psychology and Behavioral Science


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Interdisciplinary Sports and Entertainment Research (SISER)


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Destiny's Child or Baseball Babe? The Name Destiny's Connection to Cleveland Guardians' Runs Scored with an abstract of In this study, we investigate the surprising relationship between the popularity of the first name "Destiny" and the runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians in Major League Baseball. Using data obtained from the US Social Security Administration and Baseball-Reference.com spanning 1975 to 2022, we applied statistical analysis to examine whether there is a significant correlation between the two variables. Our findings revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.5975301 and p < 0.01, suggesting a strong association between the prevalence of the name "Destiny" and the performance of the Cleveland Guardians on the baseball diamond. This unique intersection of etymology and athletics provides a novel perspective and challenges traditional perceptions of how the linguistic landscape may influence on-field outcomes.

ChatGPT:

"Destiny's Child," "Baseball Babe," Cleveland Guardians, runs scored, Major League Baseball, US Social Security Administration, Baseball-Reference.com, correlation analysis, linguistic landscape, etymology, on-field outcomes

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Destiny
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Destiny
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Destiny

Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians
Detailed data title: The total number of runs scored during the year by the Cleveland Guardians
Source: Baseball-Reference.com
See what else correlates with Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians

Correlation r = 0.5975301 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.3570422 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 35.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Destiny) over the 48 years from 1975 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 7.3E-6. 0.0000073282115437986644000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.6 in 0.00073% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 136,459 random variables You don't actually need 136 thousand variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 47 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 47 because we have two variables measured over a period of 48 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.38, 0.75 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Destiny (Babies born)1661852113243894464724775235695776068219601163141519122625296041035395587067528178919398759775782469946577690863275752532546213745327927302313208117291612139912131063890792792
Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians (Runs scored)6886156766397607384316837047617298317426666047325766747906798409528688501009950897739699858790870811805773646704667745669669777818818769248717698




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Outlandish outliers: There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

    For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

    (This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)
    They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([166,185,211,324,389,446,472,477,523,569,577,606,821,960,1163,1415,1912,2625,2960,4103,5395,5870,6752,8178,9193,9875,9775,7824,6994,6577,6908,6327,5752,5325,4621,3745,3279,2730,2313,2081,1729,1612,1399,1213,1063,890,792,792,])
array_2 = np.array([688,615,676,639,760,738,431,683,704,761,729,831,742,666,604,732,576,674,790,679,840,952,868,850,1009,950,897,739,699,858,790,870,811,805,773,646,704,667,745,669,669,777,818,818,769,248,717,698,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Destiny"
array_2_name = "Runs scored by the Cleveland Guardians"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 3922 · Black Variable ID: 2088 · Red Variable ID: 4355
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