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Spurious correlation #5,799 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and the second variable is Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake.  The chart goes from 1976 to 2020, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As support for the Libertarian candidate revved up in Idaho, more people started to put the brakes on traditional party politics. This led to a surge in demand for alternative solutions, reflecting a societal shift towards greater freedom and autonomy. As this mindset gained traction, it put pressure on car manufacturers to address parking brake issues, ultimately leading to a recall. It seems like in this case, when it comes to politics and parking brakes, the stakes were sky high!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a bustling futuristic city street in Idaho, featuring high-tech cars lining up for repairs. The vehicles should exude a sleek, futuristic design, with advanced features and holographic displays. The scene is illuminated by neon lights and hovering drones capturing the enthusiastic crowds of Libertarian supporters. The street should be adorned with futuristic political banners and billboards showcasing messages of freedom and autonomy. The atmosphere is charged with excitement, symbolizing the intersection of politics and technological advancement in a sci-fi fantasy setting. The image should capture the essence of a society on the brink of a transformative political shift, interwoven with the futuristic elements of the rapidly evolving automotive industry. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Sci-fi fantacy Cutsy graphics Charcoal Low poly Low poly
ChatGPT: Sci-fi fantasy

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake, in the following situation: As support for the Libertarian candidate revved up in Idaho, more people started to put the brakes on traditional party politics. This led to a surge in demand for alternative solutions, reflecting a societal shift towards greater freedom and autonomy. As this mindset gained traction, it put pressure on car manufacturers to address parking brake issues, ultimately leading to a recall. It seems like in this case, when it comes to politics and parking brakes, the stakes were sky high!. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In Idaho, as more people embraced the Libertarian candidate, the streets became crowded with enthusiastic supporters. Amidst the excitement, car manufacturers scrambled to address parking brake issues, leading to a surge in automotive recalls. The scene sparkled with political fervor as cars lined up for repairs, reflecting a shift towards greater freedom and autonomy in both politics and everyday life.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Sci-fi fantasy ] and depicting this scene: In Idaho, as more people embraced the Libertarian candidate, the streets became crowded with enthusiastic supporters. Amidst the excitement, car manufacturers scrambled to address parking brake issues, leading to a surge in automotive recalls. The scene sparkled with political fervor as cars lined up for repairs, reflecting a shift towards greater freedom and autonomy in both politics and everyday life. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a bustling futuristic city street in Idaho, featuring high-tech cars lining up for repairs. The vehicles should exude a sleek, futuristic design, with advanced features and holographic displays. The scene is illuminated by neon lights and hovering drones capturing the enthusiastic crowds of Libertarian supporters. The street should be adorned with futuristic political banners and billboards showcasing messages of freedom and autonomy. The atmosphere is charged with excitement, symbolizing the intersection of politics and technological advancement in a sci-fi fantasy setting. The image should capture the essence of a society on the brink of a transformative political shift, interwoven with the futuristic elements of the rapidly evolving automotive industry.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho caused Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake to increase. Include one good pun.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

The Journal of Quirky Quantitative Analyses

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title seem clever.

Your research team used data from MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse and US DOT to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and p < 0.01 for 1976 to 2020.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.



Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

In the complex web of societal phenomena, unexpected connections and correlations often emerge, leaving researchers both bemused and intrigued. In this vein, our study endeavors to unravel the mysterious entanglement between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in the state of Idaho and the occurrence of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake malfunctions. While at first glance, these two entities may seem as unrelated as a politician's promise and its implementation, our analysis uncovered a surprising relationship that has eluded previous scholarly scrutiny.

The coupling of political preferences and automotive safety issues might appear to be as incongruous as a horse in a race of unicycles, but as the data unfolded, we discerned a striking correlation that transcended mere coincidence. Our findings lead us to ponder whether the spirit of libertarianism, with its emphasis on personal freedom, has somehow manifested itself in the domain of parking brake efficacy – a rather unexpected twist to the traditional discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering.

Indeed, the statistical terrain we traversed seemed akin to a road trip through uncharted territory, as we navigated through election results and recall reports with a mixture of curiosity and skepticism. However, as our analysis progressed, it became increasingly evident that there may be more than meets the eye to the peculiar dance between political inclinations and vehicular safety features.

Thus, this study embarks on a lighthearted yet rigorous exegesis of statistical relationships, aiming to challenge conventional wisdom and, perhaps, inject a dose of levity into the otherwise solemn fields of political science and automotive engineering. As we delve deeper into our findings, it becomes apparent that this investigation, while seemingly whimsical, offers valuable insights into the multifaceted tapestry of human behavior and its often-unexpected repercussions on the world around us. So, fasten your seatbelts (and ensure your parking brakes are in working order) as we embark on a scholarly journey that brings a fresh perspective to the intersection of politics and automotive safety.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name a few real TV shows that sound like they might be relevant to the topic that you watched as research.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the complex web of societal phenomena, unexpected connections and correlations often emerge, leaving researchers both bemused and intrigued. In this vein, our study endeavors to unravel the mysterious entanglement between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in the state of Idaho and the occurrence of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake malfunctions. While at first glance, these two entities may seem as unrelated as a politician's promise and its implementation, our analysis uncovered a surprising relationship that has eluded previous scholarly scrutiny.
The coupling of political preferences and automotive safety issues might appear to be as incongruous as a horse in a race of unicycles, but as the data unfolded, we discerned a striking correlation that transcended mere coincidence. Our findings lead us to ponder whether the spirit of libertarianism, with its emphasis on personal freedom, has somehow manifested itself in the domain of parking brake efficacy – a rather unexpected twist to the traditional discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering.
Indeed, the statistical terrain we traversed seemed akin to a road trip through uncharted territory, as we navigated through election results and recall reports with a mixture of curiosity and skepticism. However, as our analysis progressed, it became increasingly evident that there may be more than meets the eye to the peculiar dance between political inclinations and vehicular safety features.
Thus, this study embarks on a lighthearted yet rigorous exegesis of statistical relationships, aiming to challenge conventional wisdom and, perhaps, inject a dose of levity into the otherwise solemn fields of political science and automotive engineering. As we delve deeper into our findings, it becomes apparent that this investigation, while seemingly whimsical, offers valuable insights into the multifaceted tapestry of human behavior and its often-unexpected repercussions on the world around us. So, fasten your seatbelts (and ensure your parking brakes are in working order) as we embark on a scholarly journey that brings a fresh perspective to the intersection of politics and automotive safety.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The investigation of seemingly incongruous connections, such as the one under scrutiny in this study, calls for a thorough review of related literature. Smith et al. (2010) delved into the political landscape of Idaho, shedding light on the idiosyncrasies of voter behavior and the evolving political dynamics within the state. Concurrently, Doe and Jones (2015) conducted an extensive analysis of automotive recalls, focusing on various mechanical components and the intricate web of manufacturing regulations.

However, as we peeled back the layers of this complex relationship between Libertarian votes in Idaho and parking brake recalls, we found ourselves venturing into uncharted territory. An unexpected turn, much like the plot twist in "The Curious Case of the Correlated Campaigns" by Agatha Christie, led us to consider possible connections that bordered on the absurd.

Expanding our review to include non-fiction literature that offers insights into the intersection of politics and automotive engineering, we consulted "Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us" by Daniel H. Pink and "Libertarianism: A Primer" by David Boaz. While these sources provided valuable context, the endeavor took a light-hearted turn as we turned our attention to fictitious works that serendipitously resonated with our research. "Brake for the Libertarians" by Nora Roberts and "The Parking Brake Paradox" by Arthur Conan Doyle presented charming, albeit entirely fictional, narratives that seemed to reflect the unexpected correlation we were attempting to unravel.

In our quest for understanding the multifaceted relationship between political leanings and automotive safety, we also took a lighthearted approach by watching television shows that remotely seemed to touch upon our strange topic of interest. "Parks and Recreation," with its examination of local government dynamics, and "Top Gear," which often explores automotive engineering marvels and mishaps, paradoxically offered intriguing perspectives that, while not directly related, added a whimsical layer to our research.

As we reflect on these literary and pop culture influences, it is evident that our study lends a novel and unexpected twist to the discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering, infusing an element of surprise and lightheartedness into the often-staid realm of statistical research.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse and US DOT . You used data from 1976 to 2020

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


[[INTRODUCTION]]
In the complex web of societal phenomena, unexpected connections and correlations often emerge, leaving researchers both bemused and intrigued. In this vein, our study endeavors to unravel the mysterious entanglement between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in the state of Idaho and the occurrence of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake malfunctions. While at first glance, these two entities may seem as unrelated as a politician's promise and its implementation, our analysis uncovered a surprising relationship that has eluded previous scholarly scrutiny.
The coupling of political preferences and automotive safety issues might appear to be as incongruous as a horse in a race of unicycles, but as the data unfolded, we discerned a striking correlation that transcended mere coincidence. Our findings lead us to ponder whether the spirit of libertarianism, with its emphasis on personal freedom, has somehow manifested itself in the domain of parking brake efficacy – a rather unexpected twist to the traditional discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering.
Indeed, the statistical terrain we traversed seemed akin to a road trip through uncharted territory, as we navigated through election results and recall reports with a mixture of curiosity and skepticism. However, as our analysis progressed, it became increasingly evident that there may be more than meets the eye to the peculiar dance between political inclinations and vehicular safety features.
Thus, this study embarks on a lighthearted yet rigorous exegesis of statistical relationships, aiming to challenge conventional wisdom and, perhaps, inject a dose of levity into the otherwise solemn fields of political science and automotive engineering. As we delve deeper into our findings, it becomes apparent that this investigation, while seemingly whimsical, offers valuable insights into the multifaceted tapestry of human behavior and its often-unexpected repercussions on the world around us. So, fasten your seatbelts (and ensure your parking brakes are in working order) as we embark on a scholarly journey that brings a fresh perspective to the intersection of politics and automotive safety.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To commence our investigation into the curious correlation between Libertarian presidential votes in Idaho and parking brake recalls, we harnessed a wide array of data collection methods that would make even the most seasoned statistician raise an eyebrow in bemusement. Our first foray into the statistical wilderness involved gathering voting data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, which we sifted through with the meticulous attention typically reserved for sorting through a box of mismatched socks to find a perfect pair.

Next, we turned our attention to the realm of automotive safety, delving into the treasure trove of recall information housed within the US Department of Transportation database. With the tenacity of a dog determined to uncover buried treasure in the backyard, we scoured through countless reports of parking brake malfunctions, eager to unearth any patterns or relationships that might shed light on the enigmatic intertwining of political proclivities and vehicular woes.

The task of merging these disparate datasets called for an approach as delicate as performing a high-wire act while juggling flaming torches – dare we say, it was a statistical circus of sorts. Applying the finest principles of data integration and analysis, we meticulously aligned the voting records with the chronicles of parking brake recalls, aiming to unveil any underlying associations that might have previously gone unnoticed, much like a sneaky squirrel pilfering acorns under the cover of darkness.

Employing a robust statistical toolkit that would make even the most steadfast calculator quiver with admiration, we conducted a correlation analysis spanning the years from 1976 to 2020. This analytical exploration, akin to setting sail on the unpredictable seas of statistical inference, sought to ascertain the strength and significance of the relationship between the prevalence of Libertarian votes and the occurrence of parking brake recalls.

Our statistical voyage, while certainly peppered with moments of bewilderment and amusement, was underpinned by a rigorous dedication to uncovering the truth behind this unexpected juxtaposition. The resulting correlation coefficient and p-value, akin to the elusive pot of gold at the end of a statistical rainbow, provided compelling evidence of a notable linkage between these seemingly disparate domains.

In summary, our methodology embraced the spirit of inquiry and lighthearted exploration, combining meticulous data wrangling with the relentless pursuit of statistical insights, all in the pursuit of unraveling the captivating riddle posed by the intersection of political choices and automotive safety concerns.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse and US DOT .

For the time period 1976 to 2020, you found a correlation 0.8605675, r-squared of 0.7405764, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
In the complex web of societal phenomena, unexpected connections and correlations often emerge, leaving researchers both bemused and intrigued. In this vein, our study endeavors to unravel the mysterious entanglement between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in the state of Idaho and the occurrence of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake malfunctions. While at first glance, these two entities may seem as unrelated as a politician's promise and its implementation, our analysis uncovered a surprising relationship that has eluded previous scholarly scrutiny.
The coupling of political preferences and automotive safety issues might appear to be as incongruous as a horse in a race of unicycles, but as the data unfolded, we discerned a striking correlation that transcended mere coincidence. Our findings lead us to ponder whether the spirit of libertarianism, with its emphasis on personal freedom, has somehow manifested itself in the domain of parking brake efficacy – a rather unexpected twist to the traditional discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering.
Indeed, the statistical terrain we traversed seemed akin to a road trip through uncharted territory, as we navigated through election results and recall reports with a mixture of curiosity and skepticism. However, as our analysis progressed, it became increasingly evident that there may be more than meets the eye to the peculiar dance between political inclinations and vehicular safety features.
Thus, this study embarks on a lighthearted yet rigorous exegesis of statistical relationships, aiming to challenge conventional wisdom and, perhaps, inject a dose of levity into the otherwise solemn fields of political science and automotive engineering. As we delve deeper into our findings, it becomes apparent that this investigation, while seemingly whimsical, offers valuable insights into the multifaceted tapestry of human behavior and its often-unexpected repercussions on the world around us. So, fasten your seatbelts (and ensure your parking brakes are in working order) as we embark on a scholarly journey that brings a fresh perspective to the intersection of politics and automotive safety.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The statistical analysis of the connection between votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and automotive recalls for issues with the parking brake yielded some truly surprising and, dare I say, gripping results. Our research uncovered a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8605675, indicating a strong positive relationship between the number of votes cast for the Libertarian candidate and the frequency of parking brake recalls in the gem state. With an r-squared value of 0.7405764, we found that an impressive 74.06% of the variation in parking brake recalls can be explained by the number of votes for the Libertarian candidate. The p-value of less than 0.01 further reinforced the legitimacy of this intriguing association.

The strength of the correlation, illustrated in Fig. 1, is truly remarkable, resembling an inseparable dance between the political inclinations of Idahoans and the performance of parking brakes in their automobiles. It seems that as libertarian votes climb, so does the frequency of issues with parking brakes, creating a statistical tango that has left us in awe of the unpredictability of human behavior.

Our results challenge the notion that political choices and automotive safety stand as separate entities, akin to apples and oranges, instead revealing a connection that is as intertwined as a pair of bungee cords. This unexpected correlation adds a dash of flavor to the sometimes bland world of statistical research, while also leaving us pondering the peculiar ways in which societal preferences and technological artifacts interact.

While this correlation may seem as unlikely as discovering a parking ticket on a horse-drawn carriage, our rigorous analysis has demonstrated the undeniable statistical link between political voting patterns and automotive safety concerns. With this revelation, we invite future researchers to delve further into the idiosyncratic intersections of human behavior, politics, and engineering, armed with a healthy dose of skepticism and a readiness to uncover unexpected relationships.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The investigation of seemingly incongruous connections, such as the one under scrutiny in this study, calls for a thorough review of related literature. Smith et al. (2010) delved into the political landscape of Idaho, shedding light on the idiosyncrasies of voter behavior and the evolving political dynamics within the state. Concurrently, Doe and Jones (2015) conducted an extensive analysis of automotive recalls, focusing on various mechanical components and the intricate web of manufacturing regulations.
However, as we peeled back the layers of this complex relationship between Libertarian votes in Idaho and parking brake recalls, we found ourselves venturing into uncharted territory. An unexpected turn, much like the plot twist in "The Curious Case of the Correlated Campaigns" by Agatha Christie, led us to consider possible connections that bordered on the absurd.
Expanding our review to include non-fiction literature that offers insights into the intersection of politics and automotive engineering, we consulted "Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us" by Daniel H. Pink and "Libertarianism: A Primer" by David Boaz. While these sources provided valuable context, the endeavor took a light-hearted turn as we turned our attention to fictitious works that serendipitously resonated with our research. "Brake for the Libertarians" by Nora Roberts and "The Parking Brake Paradox" by Arthur Conan Doyle presented charming, albeit entirely fictional, narratives that seemed to reflect the unexpected correlation we were attempting to unravel.
In our quest for understanding the multifaceted relationship between political leanings and automotive safety, we also took a lighthearted approach by watching television shows that remotely seemed to touch upon our strange topic of interest. "Parks and Recreation," with its examination of local government dynamics, and "Top Gear," which often explores automotive engineering marvels and mishaps, paradoxically offered intriguing perspectives that, while not directly related, added a whimsical layer to our research.
As we reflect on these literary and pop culture influences, it is evident that our study lends a novel and unexpected twist to the discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering, infusing an element of surprise and lightheartedness into the often-staid realm of statistical research.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the connection between votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and automotive recalls for issues with the parking brake yielded some truly surprising and, dare I say, gripping results. Our research uncovered a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8605675, indicating a strong positive relationship between the number of votes cast for the Libertarian candidate and the frequency of parking brake recalls in the gem state. With an r-squared value of 0.7405764, we found that an impressive 74.06% of the variation in parking brake recalls can be explained by the number of votes for the Libertarian candidate. The p-value of less than 0.01 further reinforced the legitimacy of this intriguing association.
The strength of the correlation, illustrated in Fig. 1, is truly remarkable, resembling an inseparable dance between the political inclinations of Idahoans and the performance of parking brakes in their automobiles. It seems that as libertarian votes climb, so does the frequency of issues with parking brakes, creating a statistical tango that has left us in awe of the unpredictability of human behavior.
Our results challenge the notion that political choices and automotive safety stand as separate entities, akin to apples and oranges, instead revealing a connection that is as intertwined as a pair of bungee cords. This unexpected correlation adds a dash of flavor to the sometimes bland world of statistical research, while also leaving us pondering the peculiar ways in which societal preferences and technological artifacts interact.
While this correlation may seem as unlikely as discovering a parking ticket on a horse-drawn carriage, our rigorous analysis has demonstrated the undeniable statistical link between political voting patterns and automotive safety concerns. With this revelation, we invite future researchers to delve further into the idiosyncratic intersections of human behavior, politics, and engineering, armed with a healthy dose of skepticism and a readiness to uncover unexpected relationships.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our investigation has unraveled a rather unexpected and potentially significant correlation between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the frequency of automotive recalls related to parking brake issues. The fascinating findings corroborate and build upon the existing scholarly discourse, making a robust case for further exploration of this peculiar association.

Drawing upon the literature review, the study by Smith et al. (2010) provided valuable insights into the peculiarities of voter behavior in Idaho, laying the groundwork for our exploration of the political landscape within the state. Furthermore, the analysis by Doe and Jones (2015) on automotive recalls offered a nuanced understanding of mechanical intricacies, a critical backdrop against which to situate our own investigation. It is important to acknowledge that our findings, while seemingly outlandish, align with the historical context and theoretical foundations laid out in prior literature, albeit with an unexpected twist akin to Nora Roberts' "Brake for the Libertarians."

The robust correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and the high percentage of variation explained (74.06%) indicate a tangible relationship between the number of votes for the Libertarian candidate and the occurrence of parking brake recalls. Notably, our results have provided statistical weight to the seemingly whimsical notion of a connection between political leanings and automotive safety concerns. This adds a layer of intrigue and novelty to the typically staid realm of empirical inquiry.

While it may appear as though we are comparing apples to oranges, our study aptly demonstrates the undeniable statistical connection between these seemingly disparate realms, akin to discovering a parking ticket on a horse-drawn carriage. The unexpected twist in this investigation not only adds a lighthearted element to the discourse on political ideologies and automotive safety but also underscores the need for continued curiosity and a willingness to explore uncharted territory.

Our findings carry the potential to revolutionize the way we view political behavior and its impact on technological artifacts. As we navigate the intricate dance of political inclinations and automotive performance, we are left pondering the whimsical yet tangible ways in which societal preferences intersect with engineering marvels and mishaps. This unique correlation presents a pressing call for further research, one that permeates the staid confines of statistical corridors with a much-needed dose of humor and unexpected twists.

We encourage future researchers to approach this subject with the same lighthearted curiosity while bearing in mind the tangible potential for groundbreaking discoveries, reminding the academic community that even the most improbable statistical relationships can sometimes yield the most riveting insights.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho and Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.


[[INTRDUCTION]]
In the complex web of societal phenomena, unexpected connections and correlations often emerge, leaving researchers both bemused and intrigued. In this vein, our study endeavors to unravel the mysterious entanglement between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in the state of Idaho and the occurrence of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake malfunctions. While at first glance, these two entities may seem as unrelated as a politician's promise and its implementation, our analysis uncovered a surprising relationship that has eluded previous scholarly scrutiny.
The coupling of political preferences and automotive safety issues might appear to be as incongruous as a horse in a race of unicycles, but as the data unfolded, we discerned a striking correlation that transcended mere coincidence. Our findings lead us to ponder whether the spirit of libertarianism, with its emphasis on personal freedom, has somehow manifested itself in the domain of parking brake efficacy – a rather unexpected twist to the traditional discourse on political ideologies and automotive engineering.
Indeed, the statistical terrain we traversed seemed akin to a road trip through uncharted territory, as we navigated through election results and recall reports with a mixture of curiosity and skepticism. However, as our analysis progressed, it became increasingly evident that there may be more than meets the eye to the peculiar dance between political inclinations and vehicular safety features.
Thus, this study embarks on a lighthearted yet rigorous exegesis of statistical relationships, aiming to challenge conventional wisdom and, perhaps, inject a dose of levity into the otherwise solemn fields of political science and automotive engineering. As we delve deeper into our findings, it becomes apparent that this investigation, while seemingly whimsical, offers valuable insights into the multifaceted tapestry of human behavior and its often-unexpected repercussions on the world around us. So, fasten your seatbelts (and ensure your parking brakes are in working order) as we embark on a scholarly journey that brings a fresh perspective to the intersection of politics and automotive safety.

[[RESULTS]]
The statistical analysis of the connection between votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and automotive recalls for issues with the parking brake yielded some truly surprising and, dare I say, gripping results. Our research uncovered a robust correlation coefficient of 0.8605675, indicating a strong positive relationship between the number of votes cast for the Libertarian candidate and the frequency of parking brake recalls in the gem state. With an r-squared value of 0.7405764, we found that an impressive 74.06% of the variation in parking brake recalls can be explained by the number of votes for the Libertarian candidate. The p-value of less than 0.01 further reinforced the legitimacy of this intriguing association.
The strength of the correlation, illustrated in Fig. 1, is truly remarkable, resembling an inseparable dance between the political inclinations of Idahoans and the performance of parking brakes in their automobiles. It seems that as libertarian votes climb, so does the frequency of issues with parking brakes, creating a statistical tango that has left us in awe of the unpredictability of human behavior.
Our results challenge the notion that political choices and automotive safety stand as separate entities, akin to apples and oranges, instead revealing a connection that is as intertwined as a pair of bungee cords. This unexpected correlation adds a dash of flavor to the sometimes bland world of statistical research, while also leaving us pondering the peculiar ways in which societal preferences and technological artifacts interact.
While this correlation may seem as unlikely as discovering a parking ticket on a horse-drawn carriage, our rigorous analysis has demonstrated the undeniable statistical link between political voting patterns and automotive safety concerns. With this revelation, we invite future researchers to delve further into the idiosyncratic intersections of human behavior, politics, and engineering, armed with a healthy dose of skepticism and a readiness to uncover unexpected relationships.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has shed light on the intriguing correlation between votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and automotive recalls for parking brake issues. The statistical tango between these seemingly unrelated phenomena has left us both astonished and entertained, akin to stumbling upon a unicyclist at a political rally.

The robust correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 has unequivocally demonstrated the connection between libertarian votes and parking brake recalls, sparking conversations that are as unexpected as a surprise recall notice in your mailbox. Additionally, the p-value less than 0.01 has solidified this association, highlighting the statistical horsepower behind our findings.

It seems that the spirit of libertarianism has found a way to put the brakes on parking brake efficacy, intertwining politics and automotive safety in a manner that is more unexpected than finding a parking meter at a horse race. While this correlation may seem as unlikely as encountering a rogue tumbleweed on the freeway, our rigorous analysis leaves little room for doubt regarding the validity of this peculiar relationship.

Our findings not only emphasize the need to unravel the unpredictable web of societal phenomena but also inject a dose of levity into the often-serious landscape of statistical research. They demonstrate that statistical relationships, much like a well-engineered parking brake, can have enough grip to halt our conventional understanding of human behavior and its myriad repercussions.

Ultimately, we assert that further research in this area is unnecessary. The unexpected and lighthearted nature of this correlation, coupled with its statistical robustness, leaves us with a sense of closure that is as reassuring as a securely engaged parking brake. It is time for us to bid adieu to this statistical road trip and embrace the whimsical yet undeniable connection between political leanings and automotive engineering, as we steer our scholarly pursuits toward new, uncharted territories.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Quirky Quantitative Analyses


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Center for Civic Engineering and Political Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Putting the Brake on Libertarian Votes: A Corrosive Correlation Analysis of Idaho Presidential Elections and Parking Brake Recalls with an abstract of In this study, we delved deep into the peculiar relationship between the votes for the Libertarian presidential candidate in Idaho and the spate of automotive recalls pertaining to parking brake issues. Combining data from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, and the US Department of Transportation, we embarked on a statistical journey to unravel this perplexing association. Surprisingly, our analysis revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.8605675 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 1976 to 2020. As we grappled with the data, it became apparent that the political leanings of Idahoans may indeed be intertwined with the efficacy of parking brakes in a manner previously unaccounted for. Our findings shed light on this curious correlation, albeit leaving us with a few unanswered questions. While this investigation may seem akin to comparing apples to oranges, we assure you that the statistical grapevine did not lead us astray. This study adds a lighthearted and unexpected twist to the field of political and automotive research, giving credence to the notion that sometimes, statistical relationships can have enough horsepower to make us apply the brakes on conventional wisdom.

ChatGPT:

Libertarian votes, Idaho presidential elections, parking brake recalls, correlation analysis, automotive recalls, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, US Department of Transportation, statistical analysis, correlation coefficient, political leanings, efficacy of parking brakes, statistical research, political and automotive research.

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho
Detailed data title: Percentage of all votes cast for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho
Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse
See what else correlates with Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho

Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake
Source: US DOT
See what else correlates with Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake

Correlation r = 0.8605675 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7405764 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 74.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho) over the 11 years from 1976 through 2020.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.00067. 0.0006730033120966905000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.86 in 0.067% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 1,486 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 10 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 10 because we have two variables measured over a period of 11 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.54, 0.96 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19761980198819921996200020042008201220162020
Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho (Percentage of votes)1.043611.926021.299120.2420590.676210.6953540.6424050.5583691.449244.104421.88983
Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake (Recalls)2521666872810




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1.04361,1.92602,1.29912,0.242059,0.67621,0.695354,0.642405,0.558369,1.44924,4.10442,1.88983,])
array_2 = np.array([2,5,2,1,6,6,6,8,7,28,10,])
array_1_name = "Votes for the Libertarian Presidential candidate in Idaho"
array_2_name = "Automotive recalls for issues with the Parking Brake"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 5799 · Black Variable ID: 26086 · Red Variable ID: 1113
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