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Spurious correlation #5,523 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is American cheese consumption and the second variable is Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine.  The chart goes from 1990 to 2020, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As American cheese consumption increases, so does the likelihood of encountering a cheese-related pun or joke. This leads to a more lighthearted and favorable perception of political candidates who are seen as "grate" or "extra sharp." As a result, voters may feel a subconscious connection between their cheesy sense of humor and the candidate, swaying their votes in favor of the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie] A colorful backyard filled with lush greenery and blooming flowers. The sun shines brightly in the sky, casting a warm glow over the scene. A group of jovial Maine residents, each with distinctive and endearing characteristics, are gathered around a sizzling grill. They are portrayed with expressive and animated features, sporting broad smiles and laughter lines. Each person is seen enthusiastically adding a slice of American cheese to their juicy burgers, while the cheese appears to glisten with golden hues. The delightful aroma of grilled food wafts through the air, evoking a sense of warmth and comfort. The atmosphere is filled with mirth and camaraderie as the characters exchange cheesy puns and jokes, their laughter portrayed with vivid and palpable joy. In the midst of the jovial gathering, one character playfully makes a quip about the "grate" qualities of the Republican presidential candidate, effectively capturing the light-hearted and amiable nature of the scene. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Whimsical illustration Cutsy graphics Charcoal An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie a funny image macro
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine, in the following situation: As American cheese consumption increases, so does the likelihood of encountering a cheese-related pun or joke. This leads to a more lighthearted and favorable perception of political candidates who are seen as "grate" or "extra sharp." As a result, voters may feel a subconscious connection between their cheesy sense of humor and the candidate, swaying their votes in favor of the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine.. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: Picture a group of Maine residents enjoying a backyard BBQ on a sunny day. As they gather around the grill, they top their burgers with slices of American cheese, and their laughter fills the air as they share cheesy puns and jokes. Among them, someone quips about how the Republican presidential candidate is "grate" for the country, eliciting chuckles and nods of agreement. The lighthearted atmosphere creates a positive association with the candidate, subtly influencing the voters' perception as they bond over their shared "extra sharp" sense of humor.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie ] and depicting this scene: Picture a group of Maine residents enjoying a backyard BBQ on a sunny day. As they gather around the grill, they top their burgers with slices of American cheese, and their laughter fills the air as they share cheesy puns and jokes. Among them, someone quips about how the Republican presidential candidate is "grate" for the country, eliciting chuckles and nods of agreement. The lighthearted atmosphere creates a positive association with the candidate, subtly influencing the voters' perception as they bond over their shared "extra sharp" sense of humor. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie] A colorful backyard filled with lush greenery and blooming flowers. The sun shines brightly in the sky, casting a warm glow over the scene. A group of jovial Maine residents, each with distinctive and endearing characteristics, are gathered around a sizzling grill. They are portrayed with expressive and animated features, sporting broad smiles and laughter lines. Each person is seen enthusiastically adding a slice of American cheese to their juicy burgers, while the cheese appears to glisten with golden hues. The delightful aroma of grilled food wafts through the air, evoking a sense of warmth and comfort. The atmosphere is filled with mirth and camaraderie as the characters exchange cheesy puns and jokes, their laughter portrayed with vivid and palpable joy. In the midst of the jovial gathering, one character playfully makes a quip about the "grate" qualities of the Republican presidential candidate, effectively capturing the light-hearted and amiable nature of the scene.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in American cheese consumption caused Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine to increase.\Make it sound serious until the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine

The Journal of Dairy Politics and Culinary Statistics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637 and p < 0.01 for 1990 to 2020.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

Political analysts and pundits have long speculated on the factors influencing voting behavior. From economic indicators to social demographics, the quest for understanding voter preferences knows no bounds. However, in this study, we embark on a journey into uncharted territory to explore the unorthodox relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. While this may initially seem like a "gouda" joke, our findings paint a rather "grate" picture of the potential impact of dietary choices on political leanings.

Lurking beneath the surface of Maine's political landscape, we are about to uncover the hidden influence of curdled goodness on election outcomes. Armed with data from the USDA, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, and the Harvard Dataverse, we have endeavored to shed light on this intriguing connection. The years 1990 to 2020 serve as our canvas, allowing us to craft a "whey" for making sense of the correlation between cheese consumption and Republican votes.

As we peel back the layers of this cheesy mystery, we find ourselves confronted with a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, leaving us in awe of the unexpected strength of this association. With a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, it becomes clear that this link is not just a flimsy slice of Swiss, but rather a robust finding that demands our attention.

Of course, you might be wondering whether we're "over-egging" this connection or "milking" it for all it's worth. While the causal pathway remains a "cheddar" of mystery, our research provides evidence that cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine are more intertwined than meets the eye.

In the realm of academic research, one may expect serious theories and hypotheses to be tested. However, in this "cheddarlicious" escapade, we invite you to join us in embracing the unexpected and acknowledging that sometimes, the most "gouda" discoveries come from the most unconventional places. Our study serves as a testament to the idea that even in the midst of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a "brie-f" moment of lightheartedness and a nod to the deliciously cheesy side of life.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
Political analysts and pundits have long speculated on the factors influencing voting behavior. From economic indicators to social demographics, the quest for understanding voter preferences knows no bounds. However, in this study, we embark on a journey into uncharted territory to explore the unorthodox relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. While this may initially seem like a "gouda" joke, our findings paint a rather "grate" picture of the potential impact of dietary choices on political leanings.
Lurking beneath the surface of Maine's political landscape, we are about to uncover the hidden influence of curdled goodness on election outcomes. Armed with data from the USDA, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, and the Harvard Dataverse, we have endeavored to shed light on this intriguing connection. The years 1990 to 2020 serve as our canvas, allowing us to craft a "whey" for making sense of the correlation between cheese consumption and Republican votes.
As we peel back the layers of this cheesy mystery, we find ourselves confronted with a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, leaving us in awe of the unexpected strength of this association. With a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, it becomes clear that this link is not just a flimsy slice of Swiss, but rather a robust finding that demands our attention.
Of course, you might be wondering whether we're "over-egging" this connection or "milking" it for all it's worth. While the causal pathway remains a "cheddar" of mystery, our research provides evidence that cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine are more intertwined than meets the eye.
In the realm of academic research, one may expect serious theories and hypotheses to be tested. However, in this "cheddarlicious" escapade, we invite you to join us in embracing the unexpected and acknowledging that sometimes, the most "gouda" discoveries come from the most unconventional places. Our study serves as a testament to the idea that even in the midst of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a "brie-f" moment of lightheartedness and a nod to the deliciously cheesy side of life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Studies investigating the intersection of dietary habits and political affiliations provide an intriguing lens through which to analyze voting behavior. Smith et al. (2015) examined the impact of food choices on political leanings and found that certain types of cuisine may be linked to distinct ideological preferences. Additionally, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the influence of cultural food consumption on voting patterns, presenting compelling evidence of a connection between culinary traditions and political allegiances. However, the specific relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Maine has remained largely unexplored in the existing literature.

Turning attention to non-fiction works that may indirectly shed light on the phenomenon at hand, "Cheese and Politics" by Kraft (2012) provides a comprehensive analysis of the historical role of cheese in shaping political narratives, although its focus is not specifically on American cheese or its influence on electoral outcomes. In a somewhat whimsical deviation, "The Art of the Deal" by Trump (1987) touches upon the importance of negotiation and deal-making in politics, albeit lacking in substantive discussions of cheese-related matters.

Fictional narratives, though not rooted in empirical research, offer peculiar insights that may inspire unconventional perspectives. "The Cheese Monologues" by Dairyman (2000) weaves a satirical tale of cheese aficionados navigating the complexities of political intrigue in a mesmerizingly cheesy universe. Similarly, "The Gouda Wars" by Curdsworth (2015) presents a whimsical account of rival factions vying for dominance in a world where cheese consumption is inexorably tied to political power. While these works exist firmly in the realm of fiction, their thematic exploration raises intriguing questions that resonate with the curious relationship underpinning this investigation.

In a surprising twist, the popular board game "The Settlers of Catan" introduces a curious concept of resource management and negotiation, hinting at the potential influence of commodities on strategic decision-making. While the game does not explicitly feature American cheese or electoral dynamics, its thematic resonance with elements of political maneuvering presents an unusual yet tangentially relevant avenue for contemplation.

As we navigate through the labyrinth of literature surrounding cheese and political machinations, it becomes evident that the pursuit of understanding the intricacies of American cheese consumption and its association with Republican votes in Maine requires confronting an array of unexpected and lighthearted influences. These diversions challenge the conventional boundaries of scholarly inquiry, reminding us that even in the pursuit of rigorous analysis, there exists a delightful opportunity to embrace the "cheddar" side of academic exploration.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse . You used data from 1990 to 2020

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
Political analysts and pundits have long speculated on the factors influencing voting behavior. From economic indicators to social demographics, the quest for understanding voter preferences knows no bounds. However, in this study, we embark on a journey into uncharted territory to explore the unorthodox relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. While this may initially seem like a "gouda" joke, our findings paint a rather "grate" picture of the potential impact of dietary choices on political leanings.
Lurking beneath the surface of Maine's political landscape, we are about to uncover the hidden influence of curdled goodness on election outcomes. Armed with data from the USDA, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, and the Harvard Dataverse, we have endeavored to shed light on this intriguing connection. The years 1990 to 2020 serve as our canvas, allowing us to craft a "whey" for making sense of the correlation between cheese consumption and Republican votes.
As we peel back the layers of this cheesy mystery, we find ourselves confronted with a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, leaving us in awe of the unexpected strength of this association. With a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, it becomes clear that this link is not just a flimsy slice of Swiss, but rather a robust finding that demands our attention.
Of course, you might be wondering whether we're "over-egging" this connection or "milking" it for all it's worth. While the causal pathway remains a "cheddar" of mystery, our research provides evidence that cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine are more intertwined than meets the eye.
In the realm of academic research, one may expect serious theories and hypotheses to be tested. However, in this "cheddarlicious" escapade, we invite you to join us in embracing the unexpected and acknowledging that sometimes, the most "gouda" discoveries come from the most unconventional places. Our study serves as a testament to the idea that even in the midst of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a "brie-f" moment of lightheartedness and a nod to the deliciously cheesy side of life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Data Collection:
Our research team employed a meticulously curated data collection process to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information gathered. We scoured the expanse of the internet, navigating through a rivulet of data streams, and ultimately sifted through the bounty of statistics provided by the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab. We also ventured into the scholarly realm of the Harvard Dataverse, where we diligently plucked the ripest data from the vine of research repositories.

Cheese Consumption Metrics:
To measure American cheese consumption, we indulged in a cascade of dairy statistics, navigating through a maze of spreadsheets and databases to extract the crème de la crème of cheese consumption figures. We quantified this "whey" of life using kilograms per capita measurements, employing a recipe that called for a dash of data scrubbing and a sprinkle of statistical seasoning to ensure the savory essence of accuracy.

Republican Votes in Maine:
Navigating through the political labyrinth of electoral data, we embarked on a journey through time, unfurling the tapestry of Republican votes in the state of Maine from 1990 to 2020. We embraced a kaleidoscope of electoral figures, meticulously documenting the shifts and sways of political allegiance with the precision of a cartographer mapping uncharted territories.

Data Analysis:
With our arsenal of data at the ready, we delved into the realm of statistical analysis, weaving a tapestry of regression and correlation models to unravel the potential interplay between American cheese consumption and Republican votes. Our toolkit included the venerable Pearson correlation coefficient and its trusty companion, the p-value, which together formed the cornerstone of our analysis.

Assumptions and Limitations:
Acknowledging that every research endeavor carries its own set of limitations, we approached our findings with a measure of caution and humility. While our data collection efforts were thorough, we recognize the inherent limitations of aggregated statistics and the potential for confounding variables to dance beneath the surface of our analysis. Additionally, our study operates under the assumption that cheese consumption and political allegiance, while possibly correlated, do not necessarily imply a causative relationship.

Ethical Considerations:
Our research was conducted with the utmost integrity, in accordance with the principles of scientific inquiry and ethical research practices. We ensured the anonymity of individuals within the datasets and adhered to the regulations governing the use of publicly available data.

In summary, our methodology harnessed the power of meticulous data collection and rigorous statistical analysis to unearth the intriguing connection between American cheese consumption and Republican votes in the state of Maine. While some may find the link as surprising as finding a wheel of brie on a motorway, our findings illuminate the intricate interplay between gastronomic predilections and political proclivities.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from USDA and MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse .

For the time period 1990 to 2020, you found a correlation 0.8780637, r-squared of 0.7709959, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
Political analysts and pundits have long speculated on the factors influencing voting behavior. From economic indicators to social demographics, the quest for understanding voter preferences knows no bounds. However, in this study, we embark on a journey into uncharted territory to explore the unorthodox relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. While this may initially seem like a "gouda" joke, our findings paint a rather "grate" picture of the potential impact of dietary choices on political leanings.
Lurking beneath the surface of Maine's political landscape, we are about to uncover the hidden influence of curdled goodness on election outcomes. Armed with data from the USDA, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, and the Harvard Dataverse, we have endeavored to shed light on this intriguing connection. The years 1990 to 2020 serve as our canvas, allowing us to craft a "whey" for making sense of the correlation between cheese consumption and Republican votes.
As we peel back the layers of this cheesy mystery, we find ourselves confronted with a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, leaving us in awe of the unexpected strength of this association. With a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, it becomes clear that this link is not just a flimsy slice of Swiss, but rather a robust finding that demands our attention.
Of course, you might be wondering whether we're "over-egging" this connection or "milking" it for all it's worth. While the causal pathway remains a "cheddar" of mystery, our research provides evidence that cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine are more intertwined than meets the eye.
In the realm of academic research, one may expect serious theories and hypotheses to be tested. However, in this "cheddarlicious" escapade, we invite you to join us in embracing the unexpected and acknowledging that sometimes, the most "gouda" discoveries come from the most unconventional places. Our study serves as a testament to the idea that even in the midst of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a "brie-f" moment of lightheartedness and a nod to the deliciously cheesy side of life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

Our analysis of the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine from 1990 to 2020 yielded some intriguing results. We discovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, indicating a robust positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. The r-squared value of 0.7709959 further accentuates the extent to which changes in American cheese consumption can be associated with changes in votes for the Republican candidate.

In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically depicts the "gouda" news - a clear and decisive trend that showcases the close link between cheese consumption and Republican votes. It's almost as if the voters were saying, "I camembert the thought of not having my American cheese!"

The statistical analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the relationship we observed is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It seems that the connection between American cheese and Republican votes is not merely coincidental but rather a strong contender in the political arena.

While the mechanisms underlying this association remain as mysterious as the origins of Roquefort cheese, our findings raise important questions about the factors that influence voter behavior. Could it be that the scent of a freshly grilled cheese sandwich has the power to influence political leanings? Or is it simply a matter of individuals with a fondness for American cheese gravitating towards a particular political ideology?

In the realm of academia, rigorous research often unfolds in ways that leave us feeling "feta"-minded. Nevertheless, our study has provided compelling evidence for the unexpected entwining of American cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine. This research serves as a reminder of the importance of keeping an open mind and embracing the unexpected, even if it means having to endure a few "cheesy" jokes along the way.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Studies investigating the intersection of dietary habits and political affiliations provide an intriguing lens through which to analyze voting behavior. Smith et al. (2015) examined the impact of food choices on political leanings and found that certain types of cuisine may be linked to distinct ideological preferences. Additionally, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the influence of cultural food consumption on voting patterns, presenting compelling evidence of a connection between culinary traditions and political allegiances. However, the specific relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Maine has remained largely unexplored in the existing literature.
Turning attention to non-fiction works that may indirectly shed light on the phenomenon at hand, "Cheese and Politics" by Kraft (2012) provides a comprehensive analysis of the historical role of cheese in shaping political narratives, although its focus is not specifically on American cheese or its influence on electoral outcomes. In a somewhat whimsical deviation, "The Art of the Deal" by Trump (1987) touches upon the importance of negotiation and deal-making in politics, albeit lacking in substantive discussions of cheese-related matters.
Fictional narratives, though not rooted in empirical research, offer peculiar insights that may inspire unconventional perspectives. "The Cheese Monologues" by Dairyman (2000) weaves a satirical tale of cheese aficionados navigating the complexities of political intrigue in a mesmerizingly cheesy universe. Similarly, "The Gouda Wars" by Curdsworth (2015) presents a whimsical account of rival factions vying for dominance in a world where cheese consumption is inexorably tied to political power. While these works exist firmly in the realm of fiction, their thematic exploration raises intriguing questions that resonate with the curious relationship underpinning this investigation.
In a surprising twist, the popular board game "The Settlers of Catan" introduces a curious concept of resource management and negotiation, hinting at the potential influence of commodities on strategic decision-making. While the game does not explicitly feature American cheese or electoral dynamics, its thematic resonance with elements of political maneuvering presents an unusual yet tangentially relevant avenue for contemplation.
As we navigate through the labyrinth of literature surrounding cheese and political machinations, it becomes evident that the pursuit of understanding the intricacies of American cheese consumption and its association with Republican votes in Maine requires confronting an array of unexpected and lighthearted influences. These diversions challenge the conventional boundaries of scholarly inquiry, reminding us that even in the pursuit of rigorous analysis, there exists a delightful opportunity to embrace the "cheddar" side of academic exploration.

[[RESULTS]]
Our analysis of the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine from 1990 to 2020 yielded some intriguing results. We discovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, indicating a robust positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. The r-squared value of 0.7709959 further accentuates the extent to which changes in American cheese consumption can be associated with changes in votes for the Republican candidate.
In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically depicts the "gouda" news - a clear and decisive trend that showcases the close link between cheese consumption and Republican votes. It's almost as if the voters were saying, "I camembert the thought of not having my American cheese!"
The statistical analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the relationship we observed is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It seems that the connection between American cheese and Republican votes is not merely coincidental but rather a strong contender in the political arena.
While the mechanisms underlying this association remain as mysterious as the origins of Roquefort cheese, our findings raise important questions about the factors that influence voter behavior. Could it be that the scent of a freshly grilled cheese sandwich has the power to influence political leanings? Or is it simply a matter of individuals with a fondness for American cheese gravitating towards a particular political ideology?
In the realm of academia, rigorous research often unfolds in ways that leave us feeling "feta"-minded. Nevertheless, our study has provided compelling evidence for the unexpected entwining of American cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine. This research serves as a reminder of the importance of keeping an open mind and embracing the unexpected, even if it means having to endure a few "cheesy" jokes along the way.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese, as our study suggests a robust positive relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate. These findings are consistent with the literature review that hinted at the influence of cultural food consumption on voting patterns (Doe and Jones, 2018). The whimsical works, "The Cheese Monologues" and "The Gouda Wars," though firmly rooted in fiction, resonated with the curious relationship underpinning our investigation, providing an unconventional yet inspiring perspective (Dairyman, 2000; Curdsworth, 2015).

The statistically significant correlation coefficient and p-value bolster the case for a substantive association, echoing the findings of Smith et al. (2015) who investigated the impact of food choices on political leanings. Our study lends empirical support to the unconventional notion that culinary preferences may indeed extend their influence into the political arena. While our results may seem "grate" to some, they undeniably shed light on the intriguing labyrinth of factors shaping voter behavior, reinforcing the need to embrace unexpected influences when delving into scholarly inquiry.

The strong link between American cheese consumption and Republican votes highlights the need for further interdisciplinary exploration. The question of whether the scent of a freshly grilled cheese sandwich has political sway or if a fondness for American cheese is tied to a particular political ideology remains enigmatic, akin to the mysterious origins of Roquefort cheese. It becomes evident that just like the nuances of the cheese-making process, the intricacies of voter behavior involve layers of complexity that warrant exploration beyond conventional paradigms.

In the world of academic research, it is imperative to remain "feta"-minded and open to unexpected discoveries. Our study, while undoubtedly seasoned with a hint of levity, underscores the importance of embracing unconventional factors in political analysis. By venturing into the cheese-coated realm of American politics, we have not only uncovered an intriguing relationship but also ushered in a reminder that even in the serious pursuit of rigorous analysis, there’s always room for a little "cheesy" humor. The "gouda" news is that our findings contribute to the rich tapestry of empirical discoveries, reminding us that in the academic journey, there's "muenster" be said beyond the surface veneer of conventional wisdom.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a researcher writing an academic paper.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between American cheese consumption and Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine"

[[ABSTRACT]]
The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
Political analysts and pundits have long speculated on the factors influencing voting behavior. From economic indicators to social demographics, the quest for understanding voter preferences knows no bounds. However, in this study, we embark on a journey into uncharted territory to explore the unorthodox relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. While this may initially seem like a "gouda" joke, our findings paint a rather "grate" picture of the potential impact of dietary choices on political leanings.
Lurking beneath the surface of Maine's political landscape, we are about to uncover the hidden influence of curdled goodness on election outcomes. Armed with data from the USDA, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, and the Harvard Dataverse, we have endeavored to shed light on this intriguing connection. The years 1990 to 2020 serve as our canvas, allowing us to craft a "whey" for making sense of the correlation between cheese consumption and Republican votes.
As we peel back the layers of this cheesy mystery, we find ourselves confronted with a correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, leaving us in awe of the unexpected strength of this association. With a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, it becomes clear that this link is not just a flimsy slice of Swiss, but rather a robust finding that demands our attention.
Of course, you might be wondering whether we're "over-egging" this connection or "milking" it for all it's worth. While the causal pathway remains a "cheddar" of mystery, our research provides evidence that cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine are more intertwined than meets the eye.
In the realm of academic research, one may expect serious theories and hypotheses to be tested. However, in this "cheddarlicious" escapade, we invite you to join us in embracing the unexpected and acknowledging that sometimes, the most "gouda" discoveries come from the most unconventional places. Our study serves as a testament to the idea that even in the midst of rigorous analysis, there's always room for a "brie-f" moment of lightheartedness and a nod to the deliciously cheesy side of life.

[[RESULTS]]
Our analysis of the relationship between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine from 1990 to 2020 yielded some intriguing results. We discovered a remarkably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, indicating a robust positive relationship between these seemingly unrelated variables. The r-squared value of 0.7709959 further accentuates the extent to which changes in American cheese consumption can be associated with changes in votes for the Republican candidate.
In Fig. 1, our scatterplot graphically depicts the "gouda" news - a clear and decisive trend that showcases the close link between cheese consumption and Republican votes. It's almost as if the voters were saying, "I camembert the thought of not having my American cheese!"
The statistical analysis also revealed a p-value of less than 0.01, indicating that the relationship we observed is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance. It seems that the connection between American cheese and Republican votes is not merely coincidental but rather a strong contender in the political arena.
While the mechanisms underlying this association remain as mysterious as the origins of Roquefort cheese, our findings raise important questions about the factors that influence voter behavior. Could it be that the scent of a freshly grilled cheese sandwich has the power to influence political leanings? Or is it simply a matter of individuals with a fondness for American cheese gravitating towards a particular political ideology?
In the realm of academia, rigorous research often unfolds in ways that leave us feeling "feta"-minded. Nevertheless, our study has provided compelling evidence for the unexpected entwining of American cheese consumption and political allegiances in the state of Maine. This research serves as a reminder of the importance of keeping an open mind and embracing the unexpected, even if it means having to endure a few "cheesy" jokes along the way.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our investigation reveals a striking connection between American cheese consumption and votes for the Republican presidential candidate in Maine. The magnitude of the correlation coefficient, coupled with the statistically significant p-value, highlights the "grate" impact of this relationship. While the exact mechanistic pathways remain as enigmatic as a wedge of aged Gouda, our findings undeniably emphasize the influence of dietary preferences on political allegiances.

It seems that in the political arena, the stakes are high, but so is the level of cheesiness. As we reflect on the implications of our study, one cannot help but acknowledge the "brie-lliance" of these unexpected findings. After all, who would have thought that behind every ballot cast lies the lingering aroma of a grilled cheese sandwich?

As much as we savor the flavor of these results, it's essential to acknowledge the limitations of our study. While our research points to a strong association, further investigation is necessary to uncover the underlying mechanisms at play. Nevertheless, we are confident that our findings have "melted" away any doubts about the relevance of cheese consumption in understanding voter behavior.

In the world of academic research, it's crucial to explore unconventional avenues, even if it means dissecting the cheesiest of relationships. With a "gouda" understanding of the nuances that shape political preferences, we stand "feta" -rmly by our assertion that no more research is needed in this area. It's time to cut the "curd" and acknowledge the influence of American cheese in the ballot box.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Dairy Politics and Culinary Statistics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Dairy Democracy Studies


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Say Cheese: The Cheddar Connection - Analyzing the Relationship Between American Cheese Consumption and Republican Votes in Maine with an abstract of The effect of dietary choices on political preferences has long been a subject of interest and curiosity. In this study, we delve into the cheese-coated realm of American politics by investigating the unlikely link between American cheese consumption and voting patterns for the Republican presidential candidate in the state of Maine. Utilizing data from the USDA and the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, as well as the Harvard Dataverse, we meticulously examined the years spanning from 1990 to 2020. Surprisingly, our findings revealed a notably strong correlation coefficient of 0.8780637, with a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. While the causal relationship between cheese consumption and political allegiance remains unclear, our research certainly demonstrates that the "whey" to a Republican vote in Maine might just be paved with American cheese. This study underscores the importance of considering unconventional factors in political analysis, reminding us that even in the world of academia, there's always room for a little "cheesy" humor.

ChatGPT:

American cheese consumption, Republican votes, Maine, political preferences, dietary choices, correlation coefficient, USDA data, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse, cheese consumption, political allegiance, unconventional factors, political analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

American cheese consumption
Detailed data title: Per capita consumption of American cheese in the US
Source: USDA
See what else correlates with American cheese consumption

Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine
Detailed data title: Total votes cast for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine
Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse
See what else correlates with Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine

Correlation r = 0.8780637 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7709959 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 77.1% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., American cheese consumption) over the 8 years from 1990 through 2020.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.0041. 0.0041281094002171810000000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.88 in 0.41% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 242 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 7 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 7 because we have two variables measured over a period of 8 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.45, 0.98 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19921996200020042008201220162020
American cheese consumption (Pounds per person)11.255911.808712.683912.861213.130613.256914.362115.5
Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine (Total votes)206504186378286616330201295273292276335593360737




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Very low n: There are not many data points included in this analysis. Even if the p-value is high, we should be suspicious of using so few datapoints in a correlation.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([11.2559,11.8087,12.6839,12.8612,13.1306,13.2569,14.3621,15.5,])
array_2 = np.array([206504,186378,286616,330201,295273,292276,335593,360737,])
array_1_name = "American cheese consumption"
array_2_name = "Votes for the Republican Presidential candidate in Maine"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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Correlation ID: 5523 · Black Variable ID: 553 · Red Variable ID: 25987
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