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Spurious correlation #1,248 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Disney movies released and the second variable is Motor vehicle thefts.  The chart goes from 2000 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
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AI explanation

As Disney downshifted its movie production, there were fewer car-related films and spin-off merchandise, leading to a reduced interest in automobiles. This eventually put the brakes on the demand for stolen cars, steering would-be thieves towards other, non-automotive pursuits. Or perhaps with the absence of enchanting carriages in the newer Disney movies, thieves lost their belief in the magic of grand theft auto, causing a downturn in the illicit market for vehicles. And as children were no longer getting behind the "wheel" of these car-centric Disney films, they were less likely to grow up to become car thieves, creating a cascading effect on the entire industry.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generate an image of a low poly scene with a shelf in the foreground showcasing a decreasing collection of magical Disney movies. The movies should have a whimsical glow and fade as they vanish. In the background, feature cars parked outside a window, emitting magical sparkles that fade as the Disney movies diminish. Transition to the second scene with a low poly depiction of thieves eyeing a jewelry store, discussing their next target. The jewelry store should be shown with shiny precious items, and the thieves displaying their new 'purr-suasion' with a hint of mischief. The image should illustrate the transition from enchanted, magical cars to the planning of a non-magical heist, all in a simple, visually captivating manner. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the situation described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here is a situation: Because as Disney movies decreased, fewer cars were enchanted with the magical ability to come to life, making them less desirable for thieves. Without the potential for maximum speed-downs and magical car chases, thieves decided to pursue other, non-magical heists. Thieves realized there's no pixie dust to cover their tracks, so they went from car-jack Sparrow to finding a new 'purr-suasion'.. Given that situation, which of the following image descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand and the tone of the explanation. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Charcoal Psychedelic Parallax art Low poly a Polaroid photo
ChatGPT: Low poly

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated and the explanation described. Do not reference graphs or charts; describe physical objects.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that depicts the following situation. Keep the description simple. Because as Disney movies decreased, fewer cars were enchanted with the magical ability to come to life, making them less desirable for thieves. Without the potential for maximum speed-downs and magical car chases, thieves decided to pursue other, non-magical heists. Thieves realized there's no pixie dust to cover their tracks, so they went from car-jack Sparrow to finding a new 'purr-suasion'.
ChatGPT: In the first scene, we see a magical Disney movie collection gradually decreasing on a shelf, while in the background, cars parked outside the window are glowing with magical sparkles. As the Disney movies dwindle, the magical glow on the cars diminishes, and they become ordinary, non-magical vehicles. In the second scene, a group of thieves, previously eyeing the enchanted cars, are now looking at a different target - a jewelry store with shiny precious items, as they discuss their new 'purr-suasion'. The image depicts the transition from enchanted cars to more conventional, non-magical heists.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Low poly ] and depicting this scene: In the first scene, we see a magical Disney movie collection gradually decreasing on a shelf, while in the background, cars parked outside the window are glowing with magical sparkles. As the Disney movies dwindle, the magical glow on the cars diminishes, and they become ordinary, non-magical vehicles. In the second scene, a group of thieves, previously eyeing the enchanted cars, are now looking at a different target - a jewelry store with shiny precious items, as they discuss their new 'purr-suasion'. The image depicts the transition from enchanted cars to more conventional, non-magical heists. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generate an image of a low poly scene with a shelf in the foreground showcasing a decreasing collection of magical Disney movies. The movies should have a whimsical glow and fade as they vanish. In the background, feature cars parked outside a window, emitting magical sparkles that fade as the Disney movies diminish. Transition to the second scene with a low poly depiction of thieves eyeing a jewelry store, discussing their next target. The jewelry store should be shown with shiny precious items, and the thieves displaying their new 'purr-suasion' with a hint of mischief. The image should illustrate the transition from enchanted, magical cars to the planning of a non-magical heist, all in a simple, visually captivating manner.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Disney movies released caused Motor vehicle thefts to decrease.\Make it sound serious until the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Lion Car King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

Journal of Quirky Criminology

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from Box Office Mojo and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and p < 0.01 for 2000 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
**[[INTRODUCTION]]**

The relationship between popular culture and criminal behavior has been the subject of considerable academic inquiry in recent years. While previous studies have examined the impact of socioeconomic factors, demographic shifts, and law enforcement strategies on crime rates, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, particularly the release of Disney movies, has remained relatively unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate whether there exists a significant correlation between the debut of Disney cinematic creations and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts across the United States.

The notion of Disney movies impacting real-world crime may initially sound like a fairy tale, but our research takes this hypothesis seriously. As societal dynamics continue to evolve, it is crucial for criminologists and policymakers to consider all potential influences on criminal behavior, no matter how unconventional they may seem. Thus, our study seeks to bridge the enchanting world of animated storytelling with the stark realities of auto theft, aiming to uncover any hidden connections that may lie beneath the surface.

By analyzing data spanning over two decades and employing advanced statistical methods, our investigation aims to bring empirical rigor to a subject that many may perceive as whimsical. Through extensive data collection and analysis, we endeavor to present a compelling case for the association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, all while maintaining a sense of lighthearted curiosity that befits the magical realm of Disney itself.

As we embark on this unique academic expedition, it is our hope that this research not only uncovers intriguing patterns but also injects a touch of levity into the often solemn discourse of criminology. By merging serious inquiry with a sprinkle of imagination, this study aims to exemplify the wondrous synergy between empirical investigation and the captivating allure of popular culture. So, fasten your seat belts, and prepare for a scholarly journey that promises to be as entertaining as it is enlightening. After all, in the words of a certain iconic mouse, "Oh, boy!" It's time to unravel the magic behind the wheel, where statistical significance meets the circle of cinematic life.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Then name some movies that you watched that are tangentially related to the topic.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The relationship between popular culture and criminal behavior has been the subject of considerable academic inquiry in recent years. While previous studies have examined the impact of socioeconomic factors, demographic shifts, and law enforcement strategies on crime rates, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, particularly the release of Disney movies, has remained relatively unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate whether there exists a significant correlation between the debut of Disney cinematic creations and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts across the United States.
The notion of Disney movies impacting real-world crime may initially sound like a fairy tale, but our research takes this hypothesis seriously. As societal dynamics continue to evolve, it is crucial for criminologists and policymakers to consider all potential influences on criminal behavior, no matter how unconventional they may seem. Thus, our study seeks to bridge the enchanting world of animated storytelling with the stark realities of auto theft, aiming to uncover any hidden connections that may lie beneath the surface.
By analyzing data spanning over two decades and employing advanced statistical methods, our investigation aims to bring empirical rigor to a subject that many may perceive as whimsical. Through extensive data collection and analysis, we endeavor to present a compelling case for the association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, all while maintaining a sense of lighthearted curiosity that befits the magical realm of Disney itself.
As we embark on this unique academic expedition, it is our hope that this research not only uncovers intriguing patterns but also injects a touch of levity into the often solemn discourse of criminology. By merging serious inquiry with a sprinkle of imagination, this study aims to exemplify the wondrous synergy between empirical investigation and the captivating allure of popular culture. So, fasten your seat belts, and prepare for a scholarly journey that promises to be as entertaining as it is enlightening. After all, in the words of a certain iconic mouse, "Oh, boy!" It's time to unravel the magic behind the wheel, where statistical significance meets the circle of cinematic life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

The literature surrounding the intersection of Disney movies and criminal behavior, particularly in the context of motor vehicle thefts, is a relatively unexplored area of study. While traditional criminological research has focused on socioeconomic and demographic factors, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, such as the release of Disney films, on criminal activity has garnered limited attention. However, a growing body of evidence suggests that there may indeed be a compelling connection between the enchanting world of Disney and the unfortunate reality of auto theft.

Smith (2015) conducted a comprehensive analysis of cultural influences on crime, delving into the impact of mass media and popular entertainment on criminal behavior. Their findings hinted at the possibility of a correlation between media consumption patterns and criminal activities, laying the groundwork for further investigation into specific genres and their potential effects. Building on this premise, Doe and Jones (2018) explored the broader realm of children's entertainment and its implications for societal trends, with a particular focus on the cultural hegemony of Disney productions.

Turning to the realm of non-fiction literature, "Media and Mayhem: Popular Culture and Criminology" by Kappeler et al. (2020) provides a comprehensive overview of the relationship between popular media and criminal conduct. The authors navigate through diverse forms of popular culture, offering insights into the complex dynamics that underlie the intersection of entertainment and criminal behavior. Similarly, "The Economic Impact of Animated Films" by Rogers (2017) offers a perspective on the economic repercussions of animated movies, inadvertently setting the stage for our examination of Disney movie releases and their potential consequences on motor vehicle thefts.

Venturing into the realm of fiction, "The Art of Racing in the Rain" by Garth Stein and "Gone in 60 Seconds" by Gordon McLean come to mind as titles with vaguely relevant themes, albeit in a more metaphorical and speculative sense. The former, a heartwarming tale narrated from a dog's perspective, paints a poignant picture of the bond between humans and their beloved vehicles. Meanwhile, the latter depicts high-stakes car heists, an area of expertise that likely falls outside the purview of animated family-friendly features.

In the realm of cinematic creations, classic Disney films such as "The Lion King," "Cars," and "Aladdin" serve as the focal points of our analysis. These iconic works of animated storytelling not only captivate audiences worldwide but also potentially influence real-world phenomena, including the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. While their enchanting narratives and catchy tunes may inspire joy and wonder, our study seeks to uncover any unintended side effects that these cinematic masterpieces may have on the security of automobiles.

As we traverse the diverse landscape of literature and cultural productions, it becomes increasingly apparent that the connection between Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts merits careful examination. While the initial premise may appear whimsical, our scholarly pursuit seeks to unveil the mysteries surrounding this unusual but captivating intersection of popular culture and criminology. With an open mind and a dash of imagination, we embark on a journey that promises to blend empirical rigor with the charm of timeless storytelling, all for the sake of unraveling the magic behind the wheel.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Box Office Mojo and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services . You used data from 2000 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The relationship between popular culture and criminal behavior has been the subject of considerable academic inquiry in recent years. While previous studies have examined the impact of socioeconomic factors, demographic shifts, and law enforcement strategies on crime rates, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, particularly the release of Disney movies, has remained relatively unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate whether there exists a significant correlation between the debut of Disney cinematic creations and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts across the United States.
The notion of Disney movies impacting real-world crime may initially sound like a fairy tale, but our research takes this hypothesis seriously. As societal dynamics continue to evolve, it is crucial for criminologists and policymakers to consider all potential influences on criminal behavior, no matter how unconventional they may seem. Thus, our study seeks to bridge the enchanting world of animated storytelling with the stark realities of auto theft, aiming to uncover any hidden connections that may lie beneath the surface.
By analyzing data spanning over two decades and employing advanced statistical methods, our investigation aims to bring empirical rigor to a subject that many may perceive as whimsical. Through extensive data collection and analysis, we endeavor to present a compelling case for the association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, all while maintaining a sense of lighthearted curiosity that befits the magical realm of Disney itself.
As we embark on this unique academic expedition, it is our hope that this research not only uncovers intriguing patterns but also injects a touch of levity into the often solemn discourse of criminology. By merging serious inquiry with a sprinkle of imagination, this study aims to exemplify the wondrous synergy between empirical investigation and the captivating allure of popular culture. So, fasten your seat belts, and prepare for a scholarly journey that promises to be as entertaining as it is enlightening. After all, in the words of a certain iconic mouse, "Oh, boy!" It's time to unravel the magic behind the wheel, where statistical significance meets the circle of cinematic life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To uncover the potential correlation between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, our research team embarked on a methodological quest worthy of an epic adventure. We utilized data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, channeling the spirits of statistical analysis and cinematic fascination to navigate the realm of empirical inquiry.

Data Collection and Screening:
We began by identifying all Disney movie releases from the year 2000 to 2022, an arduous task that involved traversing the virtual expanse of the internet in search of these enchanting celluloid creations. After assembling this treasure trove of cinematic debuts, we lovingly cataloged their release dates, ensuring no enchanted pumpkin carriages were left unturned.

In parallel, we gathered motor vehicle theft data from the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, mapping the ebb and flow of auto disappearances across the United States. Our careful curation of this data set involved sifting through countless crime reports, all the while maintaining a keen eye for any whimsical anomalies that might catch the mischievous gaze of a certain sorcerer's apprentice.

Statistical Analysis:
Armed with our data arsenal, we called upon the forces of statistical analysis to scrutinize the potential relationship between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts. By wielding the mighty sword of correlation coefficients and wielding the enchanted shield of p-values, we sought to unveil any significant associations that lay hidden amidst the magical tapestry of our data.

Furthermore, we employed advanced time series analysis to discern temporal patterns, aiming to capture the rhythmic cadence of Disney's cinematic symphony and its potential reverberations in the realm of vehicular abscondment. This rigorous approach allowed us to contextualize our findings within the ever-changing landscape of Disney's cinematic spellcasting, providing a panoramic view of the enchanting journey from animated inception to real-world larceny.

Data Visualization:
To transport our readers into the captivating world of empirical inquiry, we harnessed the magic of data visualization, conjuring a kaleidoscopic array of graphs and charts that painted a whimsical portrait of our findings. Through the alchemy of visual storytelling, we sought to captivate the imagination of our audience, inviting them to witness the spellbinding dance between Disney movie releases and the pilfering of motorized carriages.

Furthermore, we crafted thematic maps that illustrated the spatial distribution of motor vehicle thefts in relation to the release locations of Disney's cinematic marvels. This geographical exploration served as a cartographic odyssey, illuminating the potential geographic effects of Disney's storytelling prowess on the mischievous machinations of automotive larceny.

Ethical Considerations:
In conducting our research, we upheld the highest ethical standards, ensuring that the utilization of Disney movie data and motor vehicle theft statistics adhered to the principles of academic integrity and scholarly enchantment. We acknowledged the responsibility inherent in investigating such an unconventional topic, navigating the wondrous terrain where statistical significance intertwined with the whimsy of animated storytelling.

In conclusion, our methodological approach combined the rigor of empirical inquiry with the imaginative fervor befitting the realm of Disney's creative sorcery, culminating in a scholarly expedition that sought to untangle the web of connections between cinematic artistry and real-world auto escapades. So, as we journey into the heart of statistical significance and whimsical causality, let the spirit of empirical enchantment guide our scholarly odyssey, where "once upon a time" meets "p < 0.01."


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Box Office Mojo and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services .

For the time period 2000 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.8641449, r-squared of 0.7467464, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The relationship between popular culture and criminal behavior has been the subject of considerable academic inquiry in recent years. While previous studies have examined the impact of socioeconomic factors, demographic shifts, and law enforcement strategies on crime rates, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, particularly the release of Disney movies, has remained relatively unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate whether there exists a significant correlation between the debut of Disney cinematic creations and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts across the United States.
The notion of Disney movies impacting real-world crime may initially sound like a fairy tale, but our research takes this hypothesis seriously. As societal dynamics continue to evolve, it is crucial for criminologists and policymakers to consider all potential influences on criminal behavior, no matter how unconventional they may seem. Thus, our study seeks to bridge the enchanting world of animated storytelling with the stark realities of auto theft, aiming to uncover any hidden connections that may lie beneath the surface.
By analyzing data spanning over two decades and employing advanced statistical methods, our investigation aims to bring empirical rigor to a subject that many may perceive as whimsical. Through extensive data collection and analysis, we endeavor to present a compelling case for the association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, all while maintaining a sense of lighthearted curiosity that befits the magical realm of Disney itself.
As we embark on this unique academic expedition, it is our hope that this research not only uncovers intriguing patterns but also injects a touch of levity into the often solemn discourse of criminology. By merging serious inquiry with a sprinkle of imagination, this study aims to exemplify the wondrous synergy between empirical investigation and the captivating allure of popular culture. So, fasten your seat belts, and prepare for a scholarly journey that promises to be as entertaining as it is enlightening. After all, in the words of a certain iconic mouse, "Oh, boy!" It's time to unravel the magic behind the wheel, where statistical significance meets the circle of cinematic life.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of data from 2000 to 2022 unveiled a correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 between the release of Disney movies and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts. This finding indicates a strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables. The high level of correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.7467464, signifying that approximately 74.67% of the variability in motor vehicle thefts can be explained by the release of Disney movies. Oh, the magic of statistics!

As we alluded to in the abstract, the statistical significance of this relationship was confirmed with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the likelihood of observing such a strong association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts purely by chance is less than 1%. It appears that the allure of Disney's cinematic creations extends beyond the realms of fantasy and into the perplexing world of auto larceny.

To visually encapsulate our findings, we present Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly illustrates the robust correlation between the release dates of Disney movies and the number of motor vehicle thefts. The figure offers a whimsical twist to the typically serious realm of empirical analysis, inviting readers to envision a world where correlation might just be a matter of "pixie dust" at play.

In synopsis, these results not only affirm the existence of a noteworthy connection between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts but also serve as a beacon for further exploration at the intersection of popular culture and criminology. Our study, much like a captivating Disney narrative, weaves together elements of statistical inquiry and creative curiosity, inviting scholars and enthusiasts alike to ponder the hidden influences that shape the world around us. After all, behind every statistical relationship, there might just be a touch of "magic" waiting to be uncovered.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
The literature surrounding the intersection of Disney movies and criminal behavior, particularly in the context of motor vehicle thefts, is a relatively unexplored area of study. While traditional criminological research has focused on socioeconomic and demographic factors, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, such as the release of Disney films, on criminal activity has garnered limited attention. However, a growing body of evidence suggests that there may indeed be a compelling connection between the enchanting world of Disney and the unfortunate reality of auto theft.
Smith (2015) conducted a comprehensive analysis of cultural influences on crime, delving into the impact of mass media and popular entertainment on criminal behavior. Their findings hinted at the possibility of a correlation between media consumption patterns and criminal activities, laying the groundwork for further investigation into specific genres and their potential effects. Building on this premise, Doe and Jones (2018) explored the broader realm of children's entertainment and its implications for societal trends, with a particular focus on the cultural hegemony of Disney productions.
Turning to the realm of non-fiction literature, "Media and Mayhem: Popular Culture and Criminology" by Kappeler et al. (2020) provides a comprehensive overview of the relationship between popular media and criminal conduct. The authors navigate through diverse forms of popular culture, offering insights into the complex dynamics that underlie the intersection of entertainment and criminal behavior. Similarly, "The Economic Impact of Animated Films" by Rogers (2017) offers a perspective on the economic repercussions of animated movies, inadvertently setting the stage for our examination of Disney movie releases and their potential consequences on motor vehicle thefts.
Venturing into the realm of fiction, "The Art of Racing in the Rain" by Garth Stein and "Gone in 60 Seconds" by Gordon McLean come to mind as titles with vaguely relevant themes, albeit in a more metaphorical and speculative sense. The former, a heartwarming tale narrated from a dog's perspective, paints a poignant picture of the bond between humans and their beloved vehicles. Meanwhile, the latter depicts high-stakes car heists, an area of expertise that likely falls outside the purview of animated family-friendly features.
In the realm of cinematic creations, classic Disney films such as "The Lion King," "Cars," and "Aladdin" serve as the focal points of our analysis. These iconic works of animated storytelling not only captivate audiences worldwide but also potentially influence real-world phenomena, including the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. While their enchanting narratives and catchy tunes may inspire joy and wonder, our study seeks to uncover any unintended side effects that these cinematic masterpieces may have on the security of automobiles.
As we traverse the diverse landscape of literature and cultural productions, it becomes increasingly apparent that the connection between Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts merits careful examination. While the initial premise may appear whimsical, our scholarly pursuit seeks to unveil the mysteries surrounding this unusual but captivating intersection of popular culture and criminology. With an open mind and a dash of imagination, we embark on a journey that promises to blend empirical rigor with the charm of timeless storytelling, all for the sake of unraveling the magic behind the wheel.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of data from 2000 to 2022 unveiled a correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 between the release of Disney movies and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts. This finding indicates a strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables. The high level of correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.7467464, signifying that approximately 74.67% of the variability in motor vehicle thefts can be explained by the release of Disney movies. Oh, the magic of statistics!
As we alluded to in the abstract, the statistical significance of this relationship was confirmed with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the likelihood of observing such a strong association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts purely by chance is less than 1%. It appears that the allure of Disney's cinematic creations extends beyond the realms of fantasy and into the perplexing world of auto larceny.
To visually encapsulate our findings, we present Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly illustrates the robust correlation between the release dates of Disney movies and the number of motor vehicle thefts. The figure offers a whimsical twist to the typically serious realm of empirical analysis, inviting readers to envision a world where correlation might just be a matter of "pixie dust" at play.
In synopsis, these results not only affirm the existence of a noteworthy connection between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts but also serve as a beacon for further exploration at the intersection of popular culture and criminology. Our study, much like a captivating Disney narrative, weaves together elements of statistical inquiry and creative curiosity, inviting scholars and enthusiasts alike to ponder the hidden influences that shape the world around us. After all, behind every statistical relationship, there might just be a touch of "magic" waiting to be uncovered.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our study substantiate the emerging notion that the release of Disney movies is intricately linked to the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts, shedding light on the enchanting, albeit unexpected, influence of animated storytelling on real-world criminal activity. Our robust correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 corroborates the preliminary suspicions hinted at by previous literature, speaking to the compelling association between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate surge in automobile disappearances. As we stitch together the threads of statistical analysis and cinematic intrigue, a clearer picture emerges—albeit one adorned with animated characters and a touch of whimsy.

The whimsical, yet statistically rigorous, nature of our investigation prompts us to consider the implications of our findings within the broader context of criminological inquiry. While it may seem fantastical at first glance, the ability of Disney movies to captivate audiences and potentially sway the occurrence of criminal conduct introduces a layer of complexity to the fabric of criminological research. Our study embraces this complexity, beckoning scholars to engage with the duality of statistical inquiry and creative curiosity, as we seek to unearth the nuanced interplay of cultural phenomena and crime.

Drawing parallels to the academic frontier, our findings take us on a merry-go-round of statistical marvel, where correlation and causation entwine like characters in a Greek tragedy. While we resist the temptation to attribute causal certainty to the observed relationship, the statistical robustness of our results invites a spirited exploration of the mechanisms that underpin this seemingly improbable correlation. Like the intricate plotline of a Disney saga, the web of statistical causality beckons us to traverse uncharted territories, armed with a blend of empirical rigor and a sprinkle of storytelling charm.

This study does not merely serve as a testament to the statistical prowess of empirical inquiry; it also stands as a celebration of the unanticipated linkages that permeate our understanding of human behavior. Through the juxtaposition of Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, we craft a tale—albeit one rooted in numbers and equations—that implores us to contemplate the surreptitious currents that shape the urban landscape. As we navigate through the whimsical world of statistical relationships, it becomes increasingly clear that beneath the veneer of empirical analysis lies a realm of intrigue and unexpected discoveries, much like a treasure trove awaiting its intrepid explorers.

In essence, our study introduces a layer of intrigue to the traditionally somber domain of criminological research, infusing statistical inquiry with a dash of storytelling allure. With a nod to the curious interplay between Disney magic and motor vehicle thefts, we beckon readers to ponder the potent charms of empirical investigation and, by extension, the realms of possibility that lie latent within statistical exploration. After all, beneath the veneer of empirical undertakings, there might just be a hint of magic waiting to be intertwined with the fabric of our understanding.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Disney movies released and Motor vehicle thefts. Make it seem dry like academic research paper, but with lots of subtle hidden offhand remarks, jokes, goofy observations, and puns. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The Lion "Car" King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The relationship between popular culture and criminal behavior has been the subject of considerable academic inquiry in recent years. While previous studies have examined the impact of socioeconomic factors, demographic shifts, and law enforcement strategies on crime rates, the potential influence of cultural phenomena, particularly the release of Disney movies, has remained relatively unexplored. In this study, we set out to investigate whether there exists a significant correlation between the debut of Disney cinematic creations and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts across the United States.
The notion of Disney movies impacting real-world crime may initially sound like a fairy tale, but our research takes this hypothesis seriously. As societal dynamics continue to evolve, it is crucial for criminologists and policymakers to consider all potential influences on criminal behavior, no matter how unconventional they may seem. Thus, our study seeks to bridge the enchanting world of animated storytelling with the stark realities of auto theft, aiming to uncover any hidden connections that may lie beneath the surface.
By analyzing data spanning over two decades and employing advanced statistical methods, our investigation aims to bring empirical rigor to a subject that many may perceive as whimsical. Through extensive data collection and analysis, we endeavor to present a compelling case for the association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts, all while maintaining a sense of lighthearted curiosity that befits the magical realm of Disney itself.
As we embark on this unique academic expedition, it is our hope that this research not only uncovers intriguing patterns but also injects a touch of levity into the often solemn discourse of criminology. By merging serious inquiry with a sprinkle of imagination, this study aims to exemplify the wondrous synergy between empirical investigation and the captivating allure of popular culture. So, fasten your seat belts, and prepare for a scholarly journey that promises to be as entertaining as it is enlightening. After all, in the words of a certain iconic mouse, "Oh, boy!" It's time to unravel the magic behind the wheel, where statistical significance meets the circle of cinematic life.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of data from 2000 to 2022 unveiled a correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 between the release of Disney movies and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts. This finding indicates a strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables. The high level of correlation was further supported by an r-squared value of 0.7467464, signifying that approximately 74.67% of the variability in motor vehicle thefts can be explained by the release of Disney movies. Oh, the magic of statistics!
As we alluded to in the abstract, the statistical significance of this relationship was confirmed with a p-value of less than 0.01. In other words, the likelihood of observing such a strong association between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts purely by chance is less than 1%. It appears that the allure of Disney's cinematic creations extends beyond the realms of fantasy and into the perplexing world of auto larceny.
To visually encapsulate our findings, we present Figure 1, a scatterplot that elegantly illustrates the robust correlation between the release dates of Disney movies and the number of motor vehicle thefts. The figure offers a whimsical twist to the typically serious realm of empirical analysis, inviting readers to envision a world where correlation might just be a matter of "pixie dust" at play.
In synopsis, these results not only affirm the existence of a noteworthy connection between Disney movie releases and motor vehicle thefts but also serve as a beacon for further exploration at the intersection of popular culture and criminology. Our study, much like a captivating Disney narrative, weaves together elements of statistical inquiry and creative curiosity, inviting scholars and enthusiasts alike to ponder the hidden influences that shape the world around us. After all, behind every statistical relationship, there might just be a touch of "magic" waiting to be uncovered.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our study has unveiled a statistically significant relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts, demonstrating a correlation that is stronger than Gaston's biceps. The high correlation coefficient and the remarkable explanatory power of Disney releases on car disappearance rates provide compelling evidence for the influence of animated entertainment on real-world criminal behavior. It seems that the magic in Disney's storytelling extends beyond captivating audiences to potentially fueling the mischievous escapades of car thieves across the nation.

The implications of these findings are as far-reaching as the Genie's cosmic powers. Policymakers and law enforcement officials should take note of the potential impact of popular culture on crime, adding another dimension to the ongoing efforts to curb auto theft. Perhaps, in addition to surveillance cameras and security alarms, car owners may soon find themselves needing a "magic carpet" to protect their vehicles from cinematic temptations.

As with any research endeavor, our study has its limitations, akin to the constraints of time travel in a DeLorean. While we have established a robust correlation, causation remains a puzzle yet to be solved. Future research could delve into the mechanisms through which Disney movie releases influence criminal behavior, perhaps shedding light on the mysterious ways in which animated tales weave themselves into the fabric of reality. However, given the whimsical nature of this association, treading into causality may pose a challenge as enigmatic as a Mad Hatter's riddle.

Overall, this study opens the door to a realm of research where statistical inquiry pirouettes with the enchanting narratives of popular culture. It emphasizes the importance of considering unconventional influences on crime and injects a dose of wonder into the often sober arena of criminological investigation. As such, it is our assertion that this paper represents the "happily ever after" for inquiries into the relationship between Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Like a classic Disney tale, the story of this correlation reaches its conclusion, and further research in this curious kingdom may prove as redundant as glass slippers at a ball.

In the words of a certain animated snowman, "the cold never bothered us anyway," and in the realm of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts, it seems that statistical association may just be the window into a world where fairy tales and felonies collide. With that, we bid adieu to this peculiar exploration and leave it to the next adventurers to uncover new mysteries, perhaps among the rows of popcorn and the roar of the silver screen.

No more research is needed in this area; the case of the Lion "Car" King has been closed, and it's time to let it go, let it go.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Lion Car King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

Journal of Quirky Criminology


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Lion Car King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Cultural Impact Research and Analysis


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Lion Car King: An Empirical Study of the Relationship Between Disney Movie Releases and Motor Vehicle Thefts with an abstract of In this research paper, we delve into the enchanting world of Disney movies and their potential impact on the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts. Leveraging data from Box Office Mojo and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, our study covers the period from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal a remarkably high correlation coefficient of 0.8641449 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01, indicating a strong relationship between the release of Disney movies and motor vehicle thefts. Through rigorous statistical analysis and whimsical data visualization, we present compelling evidence for the connection between the magic of Disney films and the unfortunate increase in auto "disappearances." This study not only sheds light on this peculiar association but also brings forth a lighthearted perspective to the realm of criminology. So, embrace yourself for a magical ride through the world of empirical research, where "happily ever after" might come with a side of car troubles.

ChatGPT:

Disney movies, motor vehicle thefts, correlation, Box Office Mojo, FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, statistical analysis, criminology, empirical research

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Disney movies released
Detailed data title: Disney Movie Release Count
Source: Box Office Mojo
See what else correlates with Disney movies released

Motor vehicle thefts
Detailed data title: The motor vehicle theft rate per 100,000 residents in United States
Source: FBI Criminal Justice Information Services
See what else correlates with Motor vehicle thefts

Correlation r = 0.8641449 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.7467464 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 74.7% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Motor vehicle thefts) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Disney movies released) over the 23 years from 2000 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.07E-7. 0.0000001072030094030901200000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.86 in 1.07E-5% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 9,328,096 random variables You don't actually need 9 million variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 22 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 22 because we have two variables measured over a period of 23 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.7, 0.94 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Disney movies released (Disney movies)3329323733242021161910111211111513121419232016
Motor vehicle thefts (Motor Vehicle Theft rate)412.2430.5432.9433.7421.5416.8400.2364.9315.4259.2239.1230230.4221.3215.4222.2237.3237.7230.2220.8246255.9282.7




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([33,29,32,37,33,24,20,21,16,19,10,11,12,11,11,15,13,12,14,19,23,20,16,])
array_2 = np.array([412.2,430.5,432.9,433.7,421.5,416.8,400.2,364.9,315.4,259.2,239.1,230,230.4,221.3,215.4,222.2,237.3,237.7,230.2,220.8,246,255.9,282.7,])
array_1_name = "Disney movies released"
array_2_name = "Motor vehicle thefts"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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Correlation ID: 1248 · Black Variable ID: 12 · Red Variable ID: 20137
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