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Spurious correlation #1,522 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is The distance between Saturn and the Sun and the second variable is Google searches for 'how to make baby'.  The chart goes from 2004 to 2023, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

Fewer distractions from Saturn's bling led to some out-of-this-world romance. Looks like love isn't the only thing that's been cosmic lately!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Certainly! Here's an image generation prompt for DALL-E 3: Create an image in the style of a Discovery magazine cover with the following scene: In the vast expanse of space, Saturn orbits the Sun at a distance of 1.4 billion kilometers. Meanwhile, on Earth, depict a person sitting in a dimly lit room, illuminated by the glow from their laptop screen. The laptop shows multiple tabs open, including a Google search for "how to make baby," as the person ponders the mysteries of creation. The visual should be simple and focus on the juxtaposition of the cosmic wonders of Saturn in space with the ordinary human curiosity on Earth, represented by the person searching for answers on their laptop. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Data cyber art An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' A Discovery magazine cover image A TIME magazine cover image A black-and-white newspaper illustration
ChatGPT: A Discovery magazine cover image

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby' together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In the vast expanse of space, Saturn orbits the Sun at a distance of 1.4 billion kilometers. Meanwhile, on Earth, a person's laptop screen shows multiple tabs open, including a Google search for "how to make baby," as they ponder the mysteries of creation.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ A Discovery magazine cover image ] and depicting this scene: In the vast expanse of space, Saturn orbits the Sun at a distance of 1.4 billion kilometers. Meanwhile, on Earth, a person's laptop screen shows multiple tabs open, including a Google search for "how to make baby," as they ponder the mysteries of creation. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Certainly! Here's an image generation prompt for DALL-E 3: Create an image in the style of a Discovery magazine cover with the following scene: In the vast expanse of space, Saturn orbits the Sun at a distance of 1.4 billion kilometers. Meanwhile, on Earth, depict a person sitting in a dimly lit room, illuminated by the glow from their laptop screen. The laptop shows multiple tabs open, including a Google search for "how to make baby," as the person ponders the mysteries of creation. The visual should be simple and focus on the juxtaposition of the cosmic wonders of Saturn in space with the ordinary human curiosity on Earth, represented by the person searching for answers on their laptop.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how an increase in The distance between Saturn and the Sun caused how to make baby (Google searches for 'how to make baby') to increase. Add a funny one-liner at the end.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

The Journal of Interplanetary Relations and Reproductive Science

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Rhyme words in the title.

Your research team used data from Caclculated using Astropy and Google Trends to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and p < 0.01 for 2004 to 2023.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The pursuit of knowledge has long been an essential part of human existence. Whether it be the quest for cosmic understanding or the more earthly desires related to procreation, humanity’s curiosity seems to know no bounds. In this study, we delve into a curious correlation and seek to shed light on the perplexing question of whether celestial movements can influence the desire to start a family. As we explore the tantalizing link between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’, we aim to bring a blend of statistical rigor and cosmic humor to the discussion.

Speaking of the cosmic, did you hear about the astronomer who always wanted to be a statistician? He thought it was a stellar career choice!

Our study capitalizes on the expansive dataset procured from Astropy and Google Trends, combining astronomical data with the intricacies of human behavior. We analyze the period from 2004 to 2023, a time span that spans both astronomical and societal shifts. The question at hand evokes a pun-worthy quote from the famous physicist Carl Sagan: "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known – perhaps even the statistical relationship between celestial bodies and human fertility!"

On a more serious note, the implications of our findings could be far-reaching. If a correlation between the distance of a planet and procreative curiosity is indeed established, it prompts us to contemplate the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and human psychology. Are we unwittingly swayed by the grand celestial ballet, or is this correlation a mere statistical curiosity, masking more earthly drivers of desire?

Remember, folks, correlation does not imply causation – no matter how much it might align with our cosmic curiosity! But it sure does give us some food for thought. Or maybe in this case, some space for thought!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge has long been an essential part of human existence. Whether it be the quest for cosmic understanding or the more earthly desires related to procreation, humanity’s curiosity seems to know no bounds. In this study, we delve into a curious correlation and seek to shed light on the perplexing question of whether celestial movements can influence the desire to start a family. As we explore the tantalizing link between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’, we aim to bring a blend of statistical rigor and cosmic humor to the discussion.
Speaking of the cosmic, did you hear about the astronomer who always wanted to be a statistician? He thought it was a stellar career choice!
Our study capitalizes on the expansive dataset procured from Astropy and Google Trends, combining astronomical data with the intricacies of human behavior. We analyze the period from 2004 to 2023, a time span that spans both astronomical and societal shifts. The question at hand evokes a pun-worthy quote from the famous physicist Carl Sagan: "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known – perhaps even the statistical relationship between celestial bodies and human fertility!"
On a more serious note, the implications of our findings could be far-reaching. If a correlation between the distance of a planet and procreative curiosity is indeed established, it prompts us to contemplate the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and human psychology. Are we unwittingly swayed by the grand celestial ballet, or is this correlation a mere statistical curiosity, masking more earthly drivers of desire?
Remember, folks, correlation does not imply causation – no matter how much it might align with our cosmic curiosity! But it sure does give us some food for thought. Or maybe in this case, some space for thought!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In "Celestial Bodies and Human Behavior," Smith et al. explore the intriguing relationship between planetary positions and human psychology, suggesting that celestial movements may indeed influence earthly desires, including reproductive inclinations. Their comprehensive analysis of astrological data alongside sociological trends provides a thought-provoking foundation for our own inquiry. However, they stop short of investigating the specific interplay between Saturn's distance from the Sun and the quest for progeny, leaving an uncharted frontier for our study to explore.

Speaking of uncharted frontiers, have you heard about the restaurant on the moon? Great food, no atmosphere!

Doe et al., in "Planetary Positioning and Social Trends," delve into astrological phenomena's potential impact on human behavior, drawing attention to the underappreciated influence of celestial bodies on terrestrial affairs. Their work substantiates the broader notion of cosmic influences on human psychology. Nevertheless, their focus remains broad, and they do not delve into the peculiar relationship we investigate between Saturn's orbit and the urge to procreate. Our study aims to fill this celestial gap in the existing literature—a gap as vast as the expanse between Saturn and the Sun.

Here they called it a "celestial gap," but I think I'd call it a "statistical black hole" given how much it pulls you in!

Jones et al., in "Cosmic Connections to Earthly Desires," shed light on the interconnectedness of celestial events and human yearnings, hinting at the deeper mysteries that intertwine the cosmos and human consciousness. Their examination of astrology's potential influence on earthly pursuits sets the stage for our investigation into the specific nuances of Saturn's celestial dance and its resonance with procreative impulses. Their work serves as a launching pad for our statistical journey to unravel the cosmic code of fertility-related planetary motions.

Now, for some recommended reading, consider "Astrophysics for Babies" by Chris Ferrie and "What to Expect When You're Expecting" by Heidi Murkoff. These two seemingly unrelated books underscore the breadth of our investigation, spanning the cosmic and the earthly - or perhaps the cosmic and the birthly!

If we were to explore fictional works that may offer cosmic insights, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams and "The Martian" by Andy Weir could provide imaginative perspectives on interplanetary musings. While not directly related to our empirical analysis, they certainly add a touch of cosmic whimsy to our literature review—a literary supernova, if you will.

And when it comes to board games, "Galaxy Trucker" and "Terraforming Mars" may not directly address our research question, but they offer a playful nod to the celestial realm and the potential allure of space-faring endeavors. Who knows, perhaps a game night under the stars could spark celestial musings on the cosmic origins of procreative yearnings!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and Google Trends . You used data from 2004 to 2023

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge has long been an essential part of human existence. Whether it be the quest for cosmic understanding or the more earthly desires related to procreation, humanity’s curiosity seems to know no bounds. In this study, we delve into a curious correlation and seek to shed light on the perplexing question of whether celestial movements can influence the desire to start a family. As we explore the tantalizing link between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’, we aim to bring a blend of statistical rigor and cosmic humor to the discussion.
Speaking of the cosmic, did you hear about the astronomer who always wanted to be a statistician? He thought it was a stellar career choice!
Our study capitalizes on the expansive dataset procured from Astropy and Google Trends, combining astronomical data with the intricacies of human behavior. We analyze the period from 2004 to 2023, a time span that spans both astronomical and societal shifts. The question at hand evokes a pun-worthy quote from the famous physicist Carl Sagan: "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known – perhaps even the statistical relationship between celestial bodies and human fertility!"
On a more serious note, the implications of our findings could be far-reaching. If a correlation between the distance of a planet and procreative curiosity is indeed established, it prompts us to contemplate the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and human psychology. Are we unwittingly swayed by the grand celestial ballet, or is this correlation a mere statistical curiosity, masking more earthly drivers of desire?
Remember, folks, correlation does not imply causation – no matter how much it might align with our cosmic curiosity! But it sure does give us some food for thought. Or maybe in this case, some space for thought!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

Traversing the cosmic and earthly realms demanded a methodological approach as robust as the rings of Saturn themselves. Our data collection involved a combination of astronomical calculations from Astropy and Google search trends from Google Trends. The data spanned from 2004 to 2023, encompassing the ebb and flow of both celestial phenomena and human inquiries into the mysteries of conception.

To determine the distance between Saturn and the Sun, we harnessed the power of Astropy, extracting precise astronomical measurements like a skilled astrocartographer. What can I say? We really had to reach for the stars in this research!

The frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’ was our gauge of human procreative curiosity. We donned our statistical spacesuits and navigated through the vast expanse of Google Trends, capturing the digital echoes of human ponderings. It's amazing how the internet can both illuminate and perplex, much like the cosmic mysteries we sought to unravel.

We then conducted a thorough pre-processing of the data, scrubbing away any digital anomalies or cosmic static that might obscure our cosmic comedies. We wanted to ensure that our statistical analysis wasn't clouded by data that was out of this world in more ways than one!

Next, we employed a robust statistical approach, utilizing powerful tools to unveil the celestial whispers hidden within our data. Our analysis relied on sophisticated techniques, including linear regression, to tease out the statistical relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. As we crunched the numbers, it felt like unraveling the cosmic dance of the planets – but with a statistical twist!

And much like the tilt of Saturn's rings, our approach considered potential confounding variables, ensuring that our findings weren't simply a statistical alignment of stars. We explored the potential influence of other astronomical factors, societal trends, and the occasional cosmic ray that might have influenced our results.

Throughout the data analysis, we also paid heed to the fundamental principle: "To err is human, but to really mess things up requires a computer". So, we carefully scrutinized every digital step to ensure our statistical spaceship didn't veer off course into the statistical black hole.

Our efforts culminated in the unveiling of a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seemed as though the celestial ballet between Saturn and the Sun indeed cast a statistical shadow on Earthly desires.

As we reveal the cosmic sway over earthly intent, it's hard not to wonder: does this correlation underscore a universal truth, or are we just witnessing a statistical mirage among the stars? We might never know for certain, but as astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson once said, "The good thing about science is that it's true whether or not you believe in it – much like the statistical relationship between Saturn's orbit and human procreative curiosity!"

And with that, we conclude our methodological odyssey, leaving you with a thought to ponder: in the realm of science, every discovery is but a step towards greater understanding. But there's always time for a few asteroid-sized puns along the way!


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from Caclculated using Astropy and Google Trends .

For the time period 2004 to 2023, you found a correlation 0.9667127, r-squared of 0.9345334, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The pursuit of knowledge has long been an essential part of human existence. Whether it be the quest for cosmic understanding or the more earthly desires related to procreation, humanity’s curiosity seems to know no bounds. In this study, we delve into a curious correlation and seek to shed light on the perplexing question of whether celestial movements can influence the desire to start a family. As we explore the tantalizing link between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’, we aim to bring a blend of statistical rigor and cosmic humor to the discussion.
Speaking of the cosmic, did you hear about the astronomer who always wanted to be a statistician? He thought it was a stellar career choice!
Our study capitalizes on the expansive dataset procured from Astropy and Google Trends, combining astronomical data with the intricacies of human behavior. We analyze the period from 2004 to 2023, a time span that spans both astronomical and societal shifts. The question at hand evokes a pun-worthy quote from the famous physicist Carl Sagan: "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known – perhaps even the statistical relationship between celestial bodies and human fertility!"
On a more serious note, the implications of our findings could be far-reaching. If a correlation between the distance of a planet and procreative curiosity is indeed established, it prompts us to contemplate the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and human psychology. Are we unwittingly swayed by the grand celestial ballet, or is this correlation a mere statistical curiosity, masking more earthly drivers of desire?
Remember, folks, correlation does not imply causation – no matter how much it might align with our cosmic curiosity! But it sure does give us some food for thought. Or maybe in this case, some space for thought!

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’ revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9667127. This strong correlation suggests that as Saturn moves closer or farther away from the Sun in its elliptical orbit, there is a corresponding surge or ebb in the curious searches related to procreation. It seems that Saturn's distance, much like a distant parent, has the power to influence human desires from afar.

The r-squared value of 0.9345334 indicates that approximately 93.45% of the variability in the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby' can be explained by the distance between Saturn and the Sun. This close association between the variables further strengthens the case for a celestial influence on human procreative contemplation. It's as if the planets have pulled back the cosmic curtain, revealing their role in our earthly endeavors. Perhaps Shakespeare was onto something when he mused about the "fault… in our stars"!

The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. This statistically significant finding leads us to reject the notion that the celestial dance of Saturn and the Sun has no impact on the collective curiosity about starting a family. It's as if the statistical stars aligned to reveal this astronomical association – a cosmic confluence of sorts!

*Cue drumroll* Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. As celestial bodies maintain their celestial ballet, humans appear to be swayed by their distant movements, prompting an investigation of the cosmic nudges on our procreative musings. It's as if the universe is exclaiming, "You're not the only one with influential orbits!"

These findings highlight the need for further exploration of the interplay between celestial mechanics and human behavior. As we look to the skies and the search engines for answers, we cannot help but wonder: are we merely planets in the vast cosmic system, or do we hold the reins in the celestial comedy of errors? Either way, we can't deny the appeal of uncovering statistical stardust in the most unexpected correlations.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In "Celestial Bodies and Human Behavior," Smith et al. explore the intriguing relationship between planetary positions and human psychology, suggesting that celestial movements may indeed influence earthly desires, including reproductive inclinations. Their comprehensive analysis of astrological data alongside sociological trends provides a thought-provoking foundation for our own inquiry. However, they stop short of investigating the specific interplay between Saturn's distance from the Sun and the quest for progeny, leaving an uncharted frontier for our study to explore.
Speaking of uncharted frontiers, have you heard about the restaurant on the moon? Great food, no atmosphere!
Doe et al., in "Planetary Positioning and Social Trends," delve into astrological phenomena's potential impact on human behavior, drawing attention to the underappreciated influence of celestial bodies on terrestrial affairs. Their work substantiates the broader notion of cosmic influences on human psychology. Nevertheless, their focus remains broad, and they do not delve into the peculiar relationship we investigate between Saturn's orbit and the urge to procreate. Our study aims to fill this celestial gap in the existing literature—a gap as vast as the expanse between Saturn and the Sun.
Here they called it a "celestial gap," but I think I'd call it a "statistical black hole" given how much it pulls you in!
Jones et al., in "Cosmic Connections to Earthly Desires," shed light on the interconnectedness of celestial events and human yearnings, hinting at the deeper mysteries that intertwine the cosmos and human consciousness. Their examination of astrology's potential influence on earthly pursuits sets the stage for our investigation into the specific nuances of Saturn's celestial dance and its resonance with procreative impulses. Their work serves as a launching pad for our statistical journey to unravel the cosmic code of fertility-related planetary motions.
Now, for some recommended reading, consider "Astrophysics for Babies" by Chris Ferrie and "What to Expect When You're Expecting" by Heidi Murkoff. These two seemingly unrelated books underscore the breadth of our investigation, spanning the cosmic and the earthly - or perhaps the cosmic and the birthly!
If we were to explore fictional works that may offer cosmic insights, "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" by Douglas Adams and "The Martian" by Andy Weir could provide imaginative perspectives on interplanetary musings. While not directly related to our empirical analysis, they certainly add a touch of cosmic whimsy to our literature review—a literary supernova, if you will.
And when it comes to board games, "Galaxy Trucker" and "Terraforming Mars" may not directly address our research question, but they offer a playful nod to the celestial realm and the potential allure of space-faring endeavors. Who knows, perhaps a game night under the stars could spark celestial musings on the cosmic origins of procreative yearnings!

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’ revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9667127. This strong correlation suggests that as Saturn moves closer or farther away from the Sun in its elliptical orbit, there is a corresponding surge or ebb in the curious searches related to procreation. It seems that Saturn's distance, much like a distant parent, has the power to influence human desires from afar.
The r-squared value of 0.9345334 indicates that approximately 93.45% of the variability in the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby' can be explained by the distance between Saturn and the Sun. This close association between the variables further strengthens the case for a celestial influence on human procreative contemplation. It's as if the planets have pulled back the cosmic curtain, revealing their role in our earthly endeavors. Perhaps Shakespeare was onto something when he mused about the "fault… in our stars"!
The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. This statistically significant finding leads us to reject the notion that the celestial dance of Saturn and the Sun has no impact on the collective curiosity about starting a family. It's as if the statistical stars aligned to reveal this astronomical association – a cosmic confluence of sorts!
*Cue drumroll* Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. As celestial bodies maintain their celestial ballet, humans appear to be swayed by their distant movements, prompting an investigation of the cosmic nudges on our procreative musings. It's as if the universe is exclaiming, "You're not the only one with influential orbits!"
These findings highlight the need for further exploration of the interplay between celestial mechanics and human behavior. As we look to the skies and the search engines for answers, we cannot help but wonder: are we merely planets in the vast cosmic system, or do we hold the reins in the celestial comedy of errors? Either way, we can't deny the appeal of uncovering statistical stardust in the most unexpected correlations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our research have shed light on the intriguing connection between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. Our results, with a remarkably robust correlation coefficient and a statistically significant p-value, echo and extend the prior research, pointing to a compelling celestial influence on human procreative contemplation. It appears that Saturn's movements through its elliptical orbit are indeed intertwined with the ebb and flow of human curiosity about starting a family. One might even say that the ringed planet's orbit exerts a celestial pull on our earthly desires, much like a captivating bedtime story from a distant celestial body.

As we delve deeper into the statistical significance of our findings, we encounter an astronomical array of implications. The strong correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 underscores the substantial association between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. It seems that Saturn's orbital waltz with the Sun holds sway over the collective human inclination toward procreation, creating a gravitational pull on our curiosity and sparking a cosmic interest in the origins of our own terrestrial inception.

The statistical prowess exhibited by the r-squared value of 0.9345334 further solidifies the profound connection between Saturn's celestial journey and the collective human intrigue about procreation. This close association substantiates the notion that the celestial dance of Saturn and the Sun accounts for a significant portion of the variability in the frequency of 'how to make baby' searches. One might even go so far as to say that Saturn's orbit serves as a cosmic conductor, orchestrating the symphony of human curiosity toward the creation of new life.

The p-value of less than 0.01 acts as a shining star in our statistical firmament, providing compelling evidence against the null hypothesis and affirming the presence of a tangible relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. It is as if the statistical heavens have aligned to reveal the celestial dance's profound impact on human procreative contemplation, reminding us that even in the vast expanse of the universe, statistical significance knows no bounds.

In conclusion, our research not only aligns with but also expands upon prior literature, corroborating the celestial influence on earthly desires. These findings beckon us to further explore the cosmic forces at play in shaping human behavior and to ponder the profound interplay between the celestial and the birthly. In the words of a celestial comedian, "I'm just a statistician, standing on a planet, asking it to explain its cosmic jokes!"


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between The distance between Saturn and the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Sneak in some jokes and clever puns about science, research, statistics, and the variables.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The pursuit of knowledge has long been an essential part of human existence. Whether it be the quest for cosmic understanding or the more earthly desires related to procreation, humanity’s curiosity seems to know no bounds. In this study, we delve into a curious correlation and seek to shed light on the perplexing question of whether celestial movements can influence the desire to start a family. As we explore the tantalizing link between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’, we aim to bring a blend of statistical rigor and cosmic humor to the discussion.
Speaking of the cosmic, did you hear about the astronomer who always wanted to be a statistician? He thought it was a stellar career choice!
Our study capitalizes on the expansive dataset procured from Astropy and Google Trends, combining astronomical data with the intricacies of human behavior. We analyze the period from 2004 to 2023, a time span that spans both astronomical and societal shifts. The question at hand evokes a pun-worthy quote from the famous physicist Carl Sagan: "Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known – perhaps even the statistical relationship between celestial bodies and human fertility!"
On a more serious note, the implications of our findings could be far-reaching. If a correlation between the distance of a planet and procreative curiosity is indeed established, it prompts us to contemplate the intricate interplay between celestial mechanics and human psychology. Are we unwittingly swayed by the grand celestial ballet, or is this correlation a mere statistical curiosity, masking more earthly drivers of desire?
Remember, folks, correlation does not imply causation – no matter how much it might align with our cosmic curiosity! But it sure does give us some food for thought. Or maybe in this case, some space for thought!

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’ revealed a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9667127. This strong correlation suggests that as Saturn moves closer or farther away from the Sun in its elliptical orbit, there is a corresponding surge or ebb in the curious searches related to procreation. It seems that Saturn's distance, much like a distant parent, has the power to influence human desires from afar.
The r-squared value of 0.9345334 indicates that approximately 93.45% of the variability in the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby' can be explained by the distance between Saturn and the Sun. This close association between the variables further strengthens the case for a celestial influence on human procreative contemplation. It's as if the planets have pulled back the cosmic curtain, revealing their role in our earthly endeavors. Perhaps Shakespeare was onto something when he mused about the "fault… in our stars"!
The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence against the null hypothesis of no relationship between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and Google searches for 'how to make baby'. This statistically significant finding leads us to reject the notion that the celestial dance of Saturn and the Sun has no impact on the collective curiosity about starting a family. It's as if the statistical stars aligned to reveal this astronomical association – a cosmic confluence of sorts!
*Cue drumroll* Fig. 1 presents a scatterplot illustrating the conspicuous correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. As celestial bodies maintain their celestial ballet, humans appear to be swayed by their distant movements, prompting an investigation of the cosmic nudges on our procreative musings. It's as if the universe is exclaiming, "You're not the only one with influential orbits!"
These findings highlight the need for further exploration of the interplay between celestial mechanics and human behavior. As we look to the skies and the search engines for answers, we cannot help but wonder: are we merely planets in the vast cosmic system, or do we hold the reins in the celestial comedy of errors? Either way, we can't deny the appeal of uncovering statistical stardust in the most unexpected correlations.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has shed light on the delightful correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for 'how to make baby'. It appears that as the ringed planet and our radiant Sun twirl through the cosmos, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon, or, if you will, the phases of a budding romance. It's as if the celestial bodies are engaging in a celestial matchmaking service, playing cupid from light-years away!

Our findings have revealed a statistically robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127, indicating a tight gravitational pull between the variables. This correlation is as strong as a black hole's gravitational pull – it just sucks you in! The p-value of less than 0.01 provides strong evidence that this is not a mere statistical fluke but a bona fide cosmic conundrum. It seems that when it comes to human desires, the planets aren't just in alignment – they're calling the shots from the cosmic sidelines!

We must acknowledge the limitations of our study, which focuses on correlation rather than causation. Although our findings hint at a celestial sway over earthly desires, there may be other astronomical or earthly factors at play. As they say, the devil is in the data details – or perhaps, in this case, the interplanetary details!

It is clear that the statistical stars have aligned in our investigation, and we have unraveled a cosmic mystery that tickles the scientific imagination. However, it is important to note that correlation does not imply causation, just as finding love for statistics doesn't imply compatibility with other sciences. We may have unveiled statistical stardust, but the celestial ballet of correlation and causation continues to dance in the cosmic expanse, leaving us with tantalizing questions that defy easy answers.

Based on the celestial data presented in this research, it is safe to say that no further investigation is needed in this area. We have reached the celestial peak of statistical inquiry, and it's time to leave this cosmic correlation to orbit in the annals of statistical curiosities. After all, how much further can we push the limits of astronomical influence on earthly desires before we start searching for correlations between Martian vacations and craving for chocolate?


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Interplanetary Relations and Reproductive Science


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Planetary Relationships


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Ringed Planet’s Orbit and Desire to Procreate: A Statistical Analysis with an abstract of This research delves into the curiously captivating correlation between the distance of Saturn from the Sun and the frequency of Google searches for ‘how to make baby’. Using data meticulously obtained from Astropy and Google Trends, we scrutinized the intriguing relationship over the period of 2004 to 2023. Our findings illuminated a remarkably robust correlation coefficient of 0.9667127 and a statistically significant p-value of less than 0.01. It seems that as Saturn and the Sun dance through the celestial expanse, human curiosity about procreation waxes and wanes, much like the phases of the moon. Our results suggest that there is indeed a celestial sway over earthly desires, prompting the question: are we merely puppets of the planets in our quest for offspring? Or is it simply the "Saturn effect", where distance from the ringed planet rings in changes in procreative pondering?

ChatGPT:

ringed planet, Saturn, orbit, desire to procreate, statistical analysis, distance from the sun, Google searches, how to make baby, Astropy, Google Trends, celestial correlation, human curiosity, procreation, celestial influence, planetary sway, offspring, Saturn effect, distance from ringed planet, procreative pondering, statistical significance, correlation coefficient, p-value, celestial influence, planetary influence

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

The distance between Saturn and the Sun
Detailed data title: The average distance between Saturn and the Sun as measured on the first day of each month
Source: Caclculated using Astropy
Additional Info: I wrote a Python script using Astropy to calculate the distance between the named planets on the first day of each month for every year.

See what else correlates with The distance between Saturn and the Sun

Google searches for 'how to make baby'
Detailed data title: Relative volume of Google searches for 'how to make baby' (Worldwide), with quotes)
Source: Google Trends
Additional Info: Relative search volume (not absolute numbers)

See what else correlates with Google searches for 'how to make baby'

Correlation r = 0.9667127 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.9345334 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 93.5% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Google searches for 'how to make baby') is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., The distance between Saturn and the Sun) over the 20 years from 2004 through 2023.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 4.2E-12. 0.0000000000042232174069817740
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.97 in 4.2E-10% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 236,786,294,342 random variables You don't actually need 236 billion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 19 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 19 because we have two variables measured over a period of 20 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.92, 0.99 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
The distance between Saturn and the Sun (Planetary distance (AU))9.042999.078579.13769.216689.311519.416439.526079.635229.739339.833859.915489.9814610.029610.057810.06510.050510.01449.957869.88289.79216
Google searches for 'how to make baby' (Rel. search volume)20.333318.523.083327.083334.833344.33335560.41677379.916783.7584.833385.083384.577.083372.833378.583369.083366.166762.2222




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([9.04299,9.07857,9.1376,9.21668,9.31151,9.41643,9.52607,9.63522,9.73933,9.83385,9.91548,9.98146,10.0296,10.0578,10.065,10.0505,10.0144,9.95786,9.8828,9.79216,])
array_2 = np.array([20.3333,18.5,23.0833,27.0833,34.8333,44.3333,55,60.4167,73,79.9167,83.75,84.8333,85.0833,84.5,77.0833,72.8333,78.5833,69.0833,66.1667,62.2222,])
array_1_name = "The distance between Saturn and the Sun"
array_2_name = "Google searches for 'how to make baby'"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You may re-use the images on this page for any purpose, even commercial purposes, without asking for permission. The only requirement is that you attribute Tyler Vigen. Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.

You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 1522 · Black Variable ID: 1933 · Red Variable ID: 1497
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