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Spurious correlation #2,164 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Chynna and the second variable is The number of avionics technicians in Maryland.  The chart goes from 2003 to 2020, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As the name Chynna fell out of favor, fewer parents named their children after the '80s singer, which led to a decline in aero-themed baby items being purchased. This ultimately resulted in a shortage of aviation enthusiasts in Maryland.

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: Generating prompt... [ An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' ]: In a bustling Maryland airport, a group of avionics technicians gather around a workstation, discussing their latest project. Among them stands Chynna, well-known for her expertise and innovation in the field. As she speaks, her colleagues listen with great respect, highlighting the popularity of the first name Chynna in the avionics technician community in Maryland. The setting is bathed in futuristic lighting, with advanced looking equipment and aircraft in the background, giving the scene a sense of technological advancement and innovation. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Steampunk Low poly Concept art Sci-fi fantacy An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'
ChatGPT: An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars'

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling Maryland airport, a group of avionics technicians gather around a workstation, discussing their latest project. Among them stands Chynna, well-known for her expertise and innovation in the field. As she speaks, her colleagues listen with great respect, highlighting the popularity of the first name Chynna in the avionics technician community in Maryland.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling Maryland airport, a group of avionics technicians gather around a workstation, discussing their latest project. Among them stands Chynna, well-known for her expertise and innovation in the field. As she speaks, her colleagues listen with great respect, highlighting the popularity of the first name Chynna in the avionics technician community in Maryland. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: Generating prompt... [ An image that looks like it is a scene from 'Star Wars' ]: In a bustling Maryland airport, a group of avionics technicians gather around a workstation, discussing their latest project. Among them stands Chynna, well-known for her expertise and innovation in the field. As she speaks, her colleagues listen with great respect, highlighting the popularity of the first name Chynna in the avionics technician community in Maryland. The setting is bathed in futuristic lighting, with advanced looking equipment and aircraft in the background, giving the scene a sense of technological advancement and innovation.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how a decrease in Popularity of the first name Chynna caused The number of avionics technicians in Maryland to increase. Make it feel plausible.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
The Chynna Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

The Journal of Aviation Labor Economics

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, just make it sound clever.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and p < 0.01 for 2003 to 2020.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The aviation industry stands as a testament to human ingenuity and technological advancement, bringing people together and shrinking the vast expanse of the world into more manageable distances. Meanwhile, the world of baby names is a jungle of creativity, trends, and occasionally questionable choices by well-meaning parents. These two seemingly unrelated realms intersect in a peculiar manner in our study, as we delve into the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland.

It's clear that this investigation ventures into uncharted territory, probing the depths of societal trends and occupational preferences in an attempt to uncover any underlying connections. It’s almost as if we're trying to find the missing in-flight snack of statistical analysis – a connection that's as elusive as an available armrest in economy class.

When delving into the numbers, we observed a notable negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland, leading to a realization as profound as reaching your final destination without a delay – statistically significant and surprisingly not lost in the shuffle.

Hence, one could almost say that the combination of "Chynna" and avionics is as unconventional as a first-class passenger choosing airplane food over gourmet cuisine, yet our findings suggest otherwise.

This intriguing correlation raises a panoply of questions, lending further credence to the idea that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction. As we unravel this puzzling connection, we are reminded of the timeless dad joke: Why don't airplanes like to go out and play? Because they're always grounded. But in the case of our research, it seems that the Chynnas and avionics technicians have opted for a different kind of playground altogether.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The aviation industry stands as a testament to human ingenuity and technological advancement, bringing people together and shrinking the vast expanse of the world into more manageable distances. Meanwhile, the world of baby names is a jungle of creativity, trends, and occasionally questionable choices by well-meaning parents. These two seemingly unrelated realms intersect in a peculiar manner in our study, as we delve into the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland.
It's clear that this investigation ventures into uncharted territory, probing the depths of societal trends and occupational preferences in an attempt to uncover any underlying connections. It’s almost as if we're trying to find the missing in-flight snack of statistical analysis – a connection that's as elusive as an available armrest in economy class.
When delving into the numbers, we observed a notable negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland, leading to a realization as profound as reaching your final destination without a delay – statistically significant and surprisingly not lost in the shuffle.
Hence, one could almost say that the combination of "Chynna" and avionics is as unconventional as a first-class passenger choosing airplane food over gourmet cuisine, yet our findings suggest otherwise.
This intriguing correlation raises a panoply of questions, lending further credence to the idea that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction. As we unravel this puzzling connection, we are reminded of the timeless dad joke: Why don't airplanes like to go out and play? Because they're always grounded. But in the case of our research, it seems that the Chynnas and avionics technicians have opted for a different kind of playground altogether.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

In the realm of sociology and naming trends, Smith et al. (2015) conducted a comprehensive study on the impact of unique first names on career choices, and their findings seem to resonate with our own perplexing discoveries. Meanwhile, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the cultural implications of naming practices and their influence on occupational paths, shedding light on the intricate web of societal factors at play.

But now, let's veer off course for a moment and consider the impact of non-fiction literature on our understanding of naming trends and occupational choices. In "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, the authors explore the unexpected connections that underpin various societal phenomena. It's almost as if the Chynna-avionics correlation is a page ripped straight from the book of unpredictability, akin to stumbling upon a copy of "Chitty Chitty Bang Bang" in a bookstore – unexpected, yet oddly fitting.

Turning our attention to the world of fiction, how can we ignore the thematic relevance of "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger, where the protagonist's name, Holden Caulfield, is as unique as the Chynna-avionics enigma we face? And let's not forget about John Grisham's legal thriller "The Firm," where the intertwining of personal and professional choices serves as a timely reminder of the complexities inherent in occupational trajectories.

It’s like playing a board game where the pieces keep landing on unexpected squares, much like in the game of "Clue," where the players navigate a labyrinth of possibilities to solve a mystery – much like the mystery of Chynnas and avionics technicians.

As we soar through this literary landscape, it becomes increasingly evident that the Chynna-avionics correlation is as unexpected as a punchline in a library, with the potential to rewrite the preconceived notions that guide our understanding of naming trends and occupational choices. If only avionics technicians could rely on dad jokes to navigate their way through this conundrum, they might find some solace in the comic relief.

But as the saying goes, truth is stranger than fiction, and in the case of Chynnas and avionics technicians, this seems to ring truer than a flight attendant's announcement that the in-flight Wi-Fi is fast and reliable.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics . You used data from 2003 to 2020

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The aviation industry stands as a testament to human ingenuity and technological advancement, bringing people together and shrinking the vast expanse of the world into more manageable distances. Meanwhile, the world of baby names is a jungle of creativity, trends, and occasionally questionable choices by well-meaning parents. These two seemingly unrelated realms intersect in a peculiar manner in our study, as we delve into the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland.
It's clear that this investigation ventures into uncharted territory, probing the depths of societal trends and occupational preferences in an attempt to uncover any underlying connections. It’s almost as if we're trying to find the missing in-flight snack of statistical analysis – a connection that's as elusive as an available armrest in economy class.
When delving into the numbers, we observed a notable negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland, leading to a realization as profound as reaching your final destination without a delay – statistically significant and surprisingly not lost in the shuffle.
Hence, one could almost say that the combination of "Chynna" and avionics is as unconventional as a first-class passenger choosing airplane food over gourmet cuisine, yet our findings suggest otherwise.
This intriguing correlation raises a panoply of questions, lending further credence to the idea that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction. As we unravel this puzzling connection, we are reminded of the timeless dad joke: Why don't airplanes like to go out and play? Because they're always grounded. But in the case of our research, it seems that the Chynnas and avionics technicians have opted for a different kind of playground altogether.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To unearth the mysterious relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland, our research team embarked on a data-driven expedition that would make even the most intrepid explorer envious. We gathered historical data on the frequency of the name "Chynna" from the US Social Security Administration and delved into the rich reservoir of avionics technician employment figures provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was a bit like panning for statistical gold – only instead of nuggets, we found correlations as elusive as a pilot's perfect landing.

In our quest for clarity, we utilized a series of statistical analyses, including Pearson correlation coefficients, linear regression models, and time-series analysis. Much like assembling an aircraft piece by piece, we meticulously constructed a robust framework for examining the relationship between naming trends and occupational pursuits. This was more complex than navigating an airspace crowded with pun-loving geese – but we persevered nonetheless.

Our data spanned the years 2003 to 2020, providing us with a veritable treasure trove of information to parse. Just as a curious child might dismantle a toy to understand its inner workings, we dissected the data with precision and care, all while maintaining a healthy sense of humor about the unexpected connections we were uncovering. Dad joke interjection: Why don't they ever serve mushrooms on airplanes? Because there isn't mushroom, and they want to keep costs down.

We conducted various sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness of our findings and to guard against spurious correlations. This process involved a level of scrutiny comparable to the thorough checks that an aircraft undergoes before taking to the sky – and for good reason. After all, our goal was to deliver results as solid as a well-constructed aircraft, without any unexpected turbulence along the way.

Furthermore, we employed geographical mapping techniques to visualize the distribution of "Chynna" name popularity across different regions of the United States, forging a path through the data as clear as a navigation beacon on a stormy night. These visual representations offered additional insight into the fluctuating trends of "Chynna" nomenclature, adding another facet to our multi-dimensional analysis. It's almost as if we were charting the skies of name popularity, searching for the hidden airstrips of statistical significance.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and Bureau of Larbor Statistics .

For the time period 2003 to 2020, you found a correlation -0.7475469, r-squared of 0.5588264, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The aviation industry stands as a testament to human ingenuity and technological advancement, bringing people together and shrinking the vast expanse of the world into more manageable distances. Meanwhile, the world of baby names is a jungle of creativity, trends, and occasionally questionable choices by well-meaning parents. These two seemingly unrelated realms intersect in a peculiar manner in our study, as we delve into the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland.
It's clear that this investigation ventures into uncharted territory, probing the depths of societal trends and occupational preferences in an attempt to uncover any underlying connections. It’s almost as if we're trying to find the missing in-flight snack of statistical analysis – a connection that's as elusive as an available armrest in economy class.
When delving into the numbers, we observed a notable negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland, leading to a realization as profound as reaching your final destination without a delay – statistically significant and surprisingly not lost in the shuffle.
Hence, one could almost say that the combination of "Chynna" and avionics is as unconventional as a first-class passenger choosing airplane food over gourmet cuisine, yet our findings suggest otherwise.
This intriguing correlation raises a panoply of questions, lending further credence to the idea that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction. As we unravel this puzzling connection, we are reminded of the timeless dad joke: Why don't airplanes like to go out and play? Because they're always grounded. But in the case of our research, it seems that the Chynnas and avionics technicians have opted for a different kind of playground altogether.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland revealed a statistically significant negative correlation of -0.7475469. The r-squared value of 0.5588264 further supports the robustness of this correlation, indicating that approximately 55.88% of the variability in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland can be explained by the popularity of the name "Chynna." The p-value of less than 0.01 strengthens the evidence of this relationship, suggesting that the observed association is unlikely to have occurred by chance.

Our findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" fluctuated, there were corresponding changes in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. This intriguing correlation might prompt one to question whether the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a game of cosmic musical chairs, each vying for a seat while the music of occupational choices played on. It's like the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a high-stakes game of "Name that Professional Field," where the name "Chynna" chanted "avionics" and the avionics technicians responded in kind. It's a statistical dance as intricate as the wiring of an aircraft's avionic systems!

The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually represents this negative correlation, displaying the unmistakable trend of the popularity of the name "Chynna" moving in the opposite direction to the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. One might say it's like watching two airplanes performing a perfectly coordinated aerial maneuver, except one of the planes is a name and the other is a group of professionals – a spectacle indeed!

In essence, our study paints a clear picture of the "Chynna" syndrome, illuminating the unexpected relationship between naming trends and occupational choices. This correlation, as perplexing as a flight delay without a clear cause, calls for further examination to unravel the underlying mechanisms driving this intriguing association.

It's fascinating how a seemingly unrelated variable like the popularity of a name can intertwine with a professional field like avionics, much like how a layover unexpectedly leads to meeting a long-lost friend at the airport. These findings underscore the complexity of human behavior and leave us pondering the immeasurable intricacies of societal influences on career paths.

As we attempt to wrap our heads around this unexpected correlation, it's like trying to read the in-flight safety card without giggling at the stick figures in uncomfortably optimistic scenarios. But in the realm of statistical analysis, sometimes the most unexpected and whimsical findings turn out to be the most thought-provoking. Just like a good dad joke, the correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland serves as a reminder that in the world of research, surprises may just be the most illuminating discoveries of all.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
In the realm of sociology and naming trends, Smith et al. (2015) conducted a comprehensive study on the impact of unique first names on career choices, and their findings seem to resonate with our own perplexing discoveries. Meanwhile, Doe and Jones (2018) delved into the cultural implications of naming practices and their influence on occupational paths, shedding light on the intricate web of societal factors at play.
But now, let's veer off course for a moment and consider the impact of non-fiction literature on our understanding of naming trends and occupational choices. In "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, the authors explore the unexpected connections that underpin various societal phenomena. It's almost as if the Chynna-avionics correlation is a page ripped straight from the book of unpredictability, akin to stumbling upon a copy of "Chitty Chitty Bang Bang" in a bookstore – unexpected, yet oddly fitting.
Turning our attention to the world of fiction, how can we ignore the thematic relevance of "The Catcher in the Rye" by J.D. Salinger, where the protagonist's name, Holden Caulfield, is as unique as the Chynna-avionics enigma we face? And let's not forget about John Grisham's legal thriller "The Firm," where the intertwining of personal and professional choices serves as a timely reminder of the complexities inherent in occupational trajectories.
It’s like playing a board game where the pieces keep landing on unexpected squares, much like in the game of "Clue," where the players navigate a labyrinth of possibilities to solve a mystery – much like the mystery of Chynnas and avionics technicians.
As we soar through this literary landscape, it becomes increasingly evident that the Chynna-avionics correlation is as unexpected as a punchline in a library, with the potential to rewrite the preconceived notions that guide our understanding of naming trends and occupational choices. If only avionics technicians could rely on dad jokes to navigate their way through this conundrum, they might find some solace in the comic relief.
But as the saying goes, truth is stranger than fiction, and in the case of Chynnas and avionics technicians, this seems to ring truer than a flight attendant's announcement that the in-flight Wi-Fi is fast and reliable.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland revealed a statistically significant negative correlation of -0.7475469. The r-squared value of 0.5588264 further supports the robustness of this correlation, indicating that approximately 55.88% of the variability in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland can be explained by the popularity of the name "Chynna." The p-value of less than 0.01 strengthens the evidence of this relationship, suggesting that the observed association is unlikely to have occurred by chance.
Our findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" fluctuated, there were corresponding changes in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. This intriguing correlation might prompt one to question whether the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a game of cosmic musical chairs, each vying for a seat while the music of occupational choices played on. It's like the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a high-stakes game of "Name that Professional Field," where the name "Chynna" chanted "avionics" and the avionics technicians responded in kind. It's a statistical dance as intricate as the wiring of an aircraft's avionic systems!
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually represents this negative correlation, displaying the unmistakable trend of the popularity of the name "Chynna" moving in the opposite direction to the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. One might say it's like watching two airplanes performing a perfectly coordinated aerial maneuver, except one of the planes is a name and the other is a group of professionals – a spectacle indeed!
In essence, our study paints a clear picture of the "Chynna" syndrome, illuminating the unexpected relationship between naming trends and occupational choices. This correlation, as perplexing as a flight delay without a clear cause, calls for further examination to unravel the underlying mechanisms driving this intriguing association.
It's fascinating how a seemingly unrelated variable like the popularity of a name can intertwine with a professional field like avionics, much like how a layover unexpectedly leads to meeting a long-lost friend at the airport. These findings underscore the complexity of human behavior and leave us pondering the immeasurable intricacies of societal influences on career paths.
As we attempt to wrap our heads around this unexpected correlation, it's like trying to read the in-flight safety card without giggling at the stick figures in uncomfortably optimistic scenarios. But in the realm of statistical analysis, sometimes the most unexpected and whimsical findings turn out to be the most thought-provoking. Just like a good dad joke, the correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland serves as a reminder that in the world of research, surprises may just be the most illuminating discoveries of all.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

Our results have brought to light an unexpected relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. As we delve into the implications of this correlation, it becomes apparent that this unusual pairing is as fascinating as a flight attendant who moonlights as a stand-up comedian.

The negative correlation we observed aligns with previous research findings by Smith et al. (2015) and Doe and Jones (2018), which indicated the impact of unique first names on career choices. It's almost like the Chynna-avionics association has taken flight, echoing the societal factors at play in influencing occupational paths while still maintaining the element of surprise, much like a good dad joke strategically placed in the middle of a serious discussion. The findings seemingly dance in step with the intricate web of factors explored in prior research, as if avionics technicians and Chynnas are engaged in a cosmic waltz dictated by the melody of societal influences.

The unique literary comparisons drawn in the literature review also add an intriguing layer to our investigation. Just as in non-fiction literature such as "Freakonomics" and fiction works like "The Catcher in the Rye" and "The Firm," where unexpected connections underpin societal phenomena, the Chynna-avionics correlation emerges as an unanticipated plot twist in the narrative of naming trends and occupational choices. It's like stumbling upon a hidden gem in the plot of societal influences, akin to finding a cleverly disguised punchline in a serious conversation.

The statistically significant negative relationship between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland strongly supports the notion that naming trends may play a role in shaping occupational choices. The robustness of this correlation, as indicated by the high r-squared value and the low p-value, underscores the reliability of our findings. It's like the statistical equivalent of a well-executed dad joke – unexpectedly robust and reliable, yet still guaranteed to bring a smile to the face of the observer.

As we navigate through the complexities of this correlation, it's akin to deciphering the intricate layout of a flight control panel, each variable serving as a unique dial or switch that influences the overall trajectory. This unexpected relationship illustrates the nuanced interplay between societal influences and individual choices, akin to the intricate wiring of an aircraft's avionic systems. The Chynna-avionics correlation emerges as a whimsical yet thought-provoking discovery, much like a well-crafted dad joke that leaves us pondering the mysteries of human behavior and societal dynamics.

In essence, our findings highlight the unexpected twists and turns that can emerge in the realm of statistical analysis, much like the sudden appearance of a witty quip in the midst of a serious conversation. The Chynna-avionics correlation, with its enigmatic dance of naming trends and occupational choices, serves as a testament to the complexity of human behavior and the intricacies of societal influences. As we continue to unravel the mysteries of this correlation, we are reminded that in research, just like in comedy, surprises may hold the key to the most insightful discoveries.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a goofy academic researcher writing an academic paper. You follow the rules, but you throw out convention regularly to make jokes and funny asides.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Chynna and The number of avionics technicians in Maryland. You can't resist a good dad joke. Add a relevant dad joke related to the content every couple of sentences. Stay serious and dry most of the time, but then occasionally let your wit shine through.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
The "Chynna" Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market

[[ABSTRACT]]
In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.

It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.

In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The aviation industry stands as a testament to human ingenuity and technological advancement, bringing people together and shrinking the vast expanse of the world into more manageable distances. Meanwhile, the world of baby names is a jungle of creativity, trends, and occasionally questionable choices by well-meaning parents. These two seemingly unrelated realms intersect in a peculiar manner in our study, as we delve into the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland.
It's clear that this investigation ventures into uncharted territory, probing the depths of societal trends and occupational preferences in an attempt to uncover any underlying connections. It’s almost as if we're trying to find the missing in-flight snack of statistical analysis – a connection that's as elusive as an available armrest in economy class.
When delving into the numbers, we observed a notable negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland, leading to a realization as profound as reaching your final destination without a delay – statistically significant and surprisingly not lost in the shuffle.
Hence, one could almost say that the combination of "Chynna" and avionics is as unconventional as a first-class passenger choosing airplane food over gourmet cuisine, yet our findings suggest otherwise.
This intriguing correlation raises a panoply of questions, lending further credence to the idea that truth can indeed be stranger than fiction. As we unravel this puzzling connection, we are reminded of the timeless dad joke: Why don't airplanes like to go out and play? Because they're always grounded. But in the case of our research, it seems that the Chynnas and avionics technicians have opted for a different kind of playground altogether.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland revealed a statistically significant negative correlation of -0.7475469. The r-squared value of 0.5588264 further supports the robustness of this correlation, indicating that approximately 55.88% of the variability in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland can be explained by the popularity of the name "Chynna." The p-value of less than 0.01 strengthens the evidence of this relationship, suggesting that the observed association is unlikely to have occurred by chance.
Our findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" fluctuated, there were corresponding changes in the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. This intriguing correlation might prompt one to question whether the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a game of cosmic musical chairs, each vying for a seat while the music of occupational choices played on. It's like the Chynnas and avionics technicians were engaged in a high-stakes game of "Name that Professional Field," where the name "Chynna" chanted "avionics" and the avionics technicians responded in kind. It's a statistical dance as intricate as the wiring of an aircraft's avionic systems!
The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually represents this negative correlation, displaying the unmistakable trend of the popularity of the name "Chynna" moving in the opposite direction to the number of avionics technicians in Maryland. One might say it's like watching two airplanes performing a perfectly coordinated aerial maneuver, except one of the planes is a name and the other is a group of professionals – a spectacle indeed!
In essence, our study paints a clear picture of the "Chynna" syndrome, illuminating the unexpected relationship between naming trends and occupational choices. This correlation, as perplexing as a flight delay without a clear cause, calls for further examination to unravel the underlying mechanisms driving this intriguing association.
It's fascinating how a seemingly unrelated variable like the popularity of a name can intertwine with a professional field like avionics, much like how a layover unexpectedly leads to meeting a long-lost friend at the airport. These findings underscore the complexity of human behavior and leave us pondering the immeasurable intricacies of societal influences on career paths.
As we attempt to wrap our heads around this unexpected correlation, it's like trying to read the in-flight safety card without giggling at the stick figures in uncomfortably optimistic scenarios. But in the realm of statistical analysis, sometimes the most unexpected and whimsical findings turn out to be the most thought-provoking. Just like a good dad joke, the correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland serves as a reminder that in the world of research, surprises may just be the most illuminating discoveries of all.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In conclusion, our research has unveiled a statistically significant negative correlation between the popularity of the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. It's as if the Chynnas and avionics technicians have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems – though, thankfully, without the high-stakes consequences.

Our findings underline the enigmatic nature of societal influences on career choices, much like how the choice of in-flight entertainment makes it seem like time flies, but as a passenger, you certainly don't. This unexpected correlation between naming trends and occupational pathways invites reflection on the intricate dance of factors shaping our professional trajectories, akin to pondering the mystery of how airplane food manages to taste so bland at 30,000 feet.

As we land this plane of analysis, it's as if the Chynnas and avionics technicians have played a game of statistical musical chairs, engaging in a high-stakes dance as intricate as the wiring of an aircraft's avionic systems. The similarity is uncanny, but thankfully, this research has provided conclusive evidence without any turbulence.

In the words of a classic dad joke: Why do airplanes make terrible comedians? Their material is always up in the air. We hope this research has brought some levity and illumination to the sometimes-cloudy field of correlation analysis, demonstrating that even the most unexpected connections can hold substantial significance.

Therefore, we assert that no further research is needed in this area. Our findings, much like a smooth takeoff after a delay, have provided clear insights into the "Chynna" syndrome, leaving us with the soaring realization that sometimes, statistical correlations can be as surprising as finding a free upgrade to first class. And with that, we prepare for a smooth descent into the next research endeavor, assured that the mystery of Chynnas and avionics technicians has been satisfactorily resolved.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited The Chynna Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Aviation Labor Economics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited The Chynna Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Institute for Aeronautical Labor Dynamics


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled The Chynna Syndrome: A Clear-Air Turbulence in the Avionics Labor Market with an abstract of In this study, we investigate the perplexing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in the state of Maryland. While this seemingly unlikely pair may seem as unrelated as a fish and a bicycle, our team dived headfirst (without a parachute) into analyzing the correlation between these two variables. Using data from the US Social Security Administration and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, we uncovered a correlation coefficient of -0.7475469 and a p-value less than 0.01 for the years 2003 to 2020, indicating a statistically significant negative association.
It seems that the name "Chynna" and the number of avionics technicians in Maryland have been engaged in a dance as intricate as the rigorous maintenance of an aircraft's avionic systems. The findings suggest that as the popularity of the name "Chynna" soared, the number of avionics technicians in Maryland experienced a descent, much like an airplane making an untimely approach. We are left pondering whether Chynnas have been steering clear of careers in avionics, or if avionics technicians have been veering away from naming their offspring "Chynna." Perhaps, a "Chynna" in the cockpit simply wasn't meant to be, but we digress.
In conclusion, this research sheds light on the enigmatic connection between naming trends and occupational choices, leaving us with the sobering realization that sometimes, correlations can be as unexpected as turbulence at 30,000 feet. As we continue to navigate the skies of data analysis, we must remain ever vigilant for the unexpected crosswinds that may buffet our preconceived notions.

ChatGPT:

Chynna, avionics technicians, Maryland, naming trends, occupational choices, correlation coefficient, p-value, US Social Security Administration, Bureau of Labor Statistics, statistical significance, data analysis

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Chynna
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Chynna
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Chynna

The number of avionics technicians in Maryland
Detailed data title: BLS estimate of avionics technicians in Maryland
Source: Bureau of Larbor Statistics
See what else correlates with The number of avionics technicians in Maryland

Correlation r = -0.7475469 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.5588264 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 55.9% of the change in the one variable (i.e., The number of avionics technicians in Maryland) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Chynna) over the 18 years from 2003 through 2020.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 0.00036. 0.0003621313375671234700000000
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as -0.75 in 0.036% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 2,761 random variables Which I absolutely did.
with the same 17 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 17 because we have two variables measured over a period of 18 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ -0.9, -0.43 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Popularity of the first name Chynna (Babies born)2624131379192434221513111071077
The number of avionics technicians in Maryland (Avionics Technicians)16022059048048035034027011070190250590580610300710410




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Inverted Y-axis: I inverted the Y-axis on the chart above so that the lines would move together. This is visually pleasing, but not at all intuitive. Below is a line graph that does not invert the Y-axis and starts at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([26,24,13,13,7,9,19,24,34,22,15,13,11,10,7,10,7,7,])
array_2 = np.array([160,220,590,480,480,350,340,270,110,70,190,250,590,580,610,300,710,410,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Chynna"
array_2_name = "The number of avionics technicians in Maryland"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 2164 · Black Variable ID: 3464 · Red Variable ID: 9266
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