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__AI explanation__

As the frequency of Nicolas Cage films gracing the silver screen rises, so too does the triumph of reaching the Earth's highest peak. This can be attributed to the undeniable inspiration drawn from Cage's on-screen performances, propelling mountaineers to conquer Everest with the fervor and determination reflected in his eclectic acting style. Whether it's the adrenaline-inducing plot twists or the sheer cinematic magnetism exuded by the man himself, there's no denying the inexplicable link between Cage's filmography and the astounding rise in Everest summits. It's as if each new Cage movie serves as a celluloid sherpa, guiding climbers to new heights of achievement, all while evoking a sense of awe and wonder that parallels the awe-inspiring grandeur of the Himalayas. It's almost as if the very essence of Cage's presence on screen has become a metaphorical oxygen tank for those brave souls braving the treacherous slopes. In essence, one could say that as long as Nicolas Cage continues to grace our screens, the ascent to the pinnacle of cinematic and mountaineering success shall remain inextricably intertwined, scaling new heights of achievement with each reel of film.Discover a new correlation

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__Data details__

**The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in**

**Source:**The Movie DB

**Additional Info:**Raising Arizona (1987); Leaving Las Vegas (1995); Wild at Heart (1990); City of Angels (1998); Ghost Rider (2007); Con Air (1997); Captain Corelli's Mandolin (2001); Lord of War (2005); World Trade Center (2006); Adaptation. (2002); Red Rock West (1993); It Could Happen to You (1994); The Family Man (2000); Fire Birds (1990); Guarding Tess (1994); Season of the Witch (2011); National Treasure: Book of Secrets (2007); The Weather Man (2005); Vampire's Kiss (1988); Trapped in Paradise (1994); Matchstick Men (2003); Bad Lieutenant: Port of Call - New Orleans (2009); 8MM (1999); Bringing Out the Dead (1999); Snake Eyes (1998); Windtalkers (2002); Gone in Sixty Seconds (2000); The Wicker Man (2006); The Sorcerer's Apprentice (2010); Bangkok Dangerous (2008); Knowing (2009); Zandalee (1991); Astro Boy (2009); Drive Angry (2011); The Croods (2013); Valley Girl (1983); Trespass (2011); Time to Kill (1989); Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance (2011); The Boy in Blue (1986); Seeking Justice (2011); Stolen (2012); Joe (2014); The Frozen Ground (2013); Left Behind (2014); Rage (2014); Dying of the Light (2014); Outcast (2014); USS Indianapolis: Men of Courage (2016); Looking Glass (2018); The Trust (2016); The Runner (2015); Pay the Ghost (2015); Next (2007); Army of One (2016); Dog Eat Dog (2016); Vengeance: A Love Story (2017); Mom and Dad (2018); Arsenal (2017); Inconceivable (2017); The Humanity Bureau (2017); Mandy (2018); Primal (2019); 211 (2018); Between Worlds (2018); A Score to Settle (2019); Running with the Devil (2019); Prisoners of the Ghostland (2021); Kill Chain (2020); The Croods: A New Age (2020); Grand Isle (2019); Color Out of Space (2019); Werewolf Women of the S.S. (2007); Pig (2021); Willy's Wonderland (2021); The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent (2022); Butcher's Crossing (2023); The Retirement Plan (2023); The Old Way (2023); Valley Girl: In Conversation - Nicolas Cage And Martha Coolidge (2003); Dream Scenario (2023); Sympathy for the Devil (2023); National Treasure (2004); Face/Off (1997); Peggy Sue Got Married (1986); Moonstruck (1987); Birdy (1984); Kiss of Death (1995); Amos & Andrew (1993); Honeymoon in Vegas (1992); The Rock (1996); Industrial Symphony No. 1: The Dream of the Brokenhearted (1990); Racing with the Moon (1984); Jiu Jitsu (2020); Renfield (2023); Valley Girl: 20 Totally Tubular Years Later (2003); Hot Pink Horror: The Making of Color Out of Space (2020); Kick-Ass (2010); Deadfall (1993); The Ant Bully (2006); Christmas Carol: The Movie (2001); The Best of Times (1981); Shirley Maclaine: Kicking Up Her Heels (1996); Dear Diary: World's First Pranks (2021); I am My Films, Part 2... 30 Years Later (2010); Crossings: John Woo (2004); Never on Tuesday (1989); Love, Antosha (2019); Junket Whore (1998); Becoming Iconic (2018); Sonny (2002); G-Force (2009); With Great Power: The Stan Lee Story (2010); The Music of Valley Girl (2003); Rumble Fish (1983); The Cotton Club (1984); Final Cut: Ladies and Gentlemen (2012); Inside the Golden Statue (1998); Teen Titans Go! To the Movies (2018); Snowden (2016); Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (2018); Roman Polanski: Wanted and Desired (2008); Intimate Portrait: Sean Connery (1998); Fast Times at Ridgemont High (1982); The Death of "Superman Lives": What Happened? (2015); Moonstruck: At the Heart of an Italian Family (2006); Brubaker (1980); Grindhouse (2007); The Flash (2023); Mythos Hollywood - Das Geheimnis des Erfolgs (1998); Live 8 (2005)

*See what else correlates with*

**The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in****Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs**

**Source:**CBC

*See what else correlates with*

**Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs****Correlation r = 0.6519482**(Pearson correlation coefficient)

Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

**r**(Coefficient of determination)

^{2}= 0.4250365This means

**42.5%**of the change in the one variable

*(i.e., Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs)*is predictable based on the change in the other

*(i.e., The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in)*over the 32 years from 1980 through 2011.

**p < 0.01,**which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)

The

*p*-value is 5.3E-5. 0.0000528847440649014200000000

The

*p*-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the

*p*-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme

**if we had only tested one pair of variables one time**.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did

**not**test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me?

*p*-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low

*p*-value!

On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.65 in 0.0053% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 18,909 random variables Which I absolutely did.

with the same 31 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is

**31**because we have two variables measured over a period of

**32 years**. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to

**the number of years minus one**.

you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

**[ 0.39, 0.82 ] 95% correlation confidence interval**(using the Fisher z-transformation)

The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!

All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.

1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | |

The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in (Movie appearances) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |

Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs (Climbers) | 10 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 16 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 50 | 25 | 72 | 30 | 90 | 129 | 51 | 83 | 95 | 85 | 121 | 118 | 145 | 182 | 159 | 267 | 337 | 307 | 493 | 633 | 423 | 457 | 543 | 542 |

__Why this works__

**Data dredging:**I have 25,237 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 636,906,169 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.**Lack of causal connection:**There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.

no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.**Observations not independent:**For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly*change*how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.

*p*-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.**Outlandish outliers:**There are "outliers" in this data. In concept, "outlier" just means "way different than the rest of your dataset." When calculating a correlation like this, they are particularly impactful because a single outlier can substantially increase your correlation.

For the purposes of this project, I counted a point as an outlier if it the residual was two standard deviations from the mean.

(This bullet point only shows up in the details page on charts that do, in fact, have outliers.)

They stand out on the scatterplot above: notice the dots that are far away from any other dots. I intentionally mishandeled outliers, which makes the correlation look extra strong.

__Try it yourself__

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results.
**Step 1:**Download and install Python on your computer.

**Step 2:**Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

**Step 3:**Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

**Step 4:**Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

**Step 5:**Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

**Step 6:**Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

**Step 7:**Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

*"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."*

```
# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats
# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):
# Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)
# Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
r_squared = correlation**2
return correlation, r_squared, p_value
# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([1,1,1,2,3,0,2,2,1,2,3,1,1,3,3,2,2,2,6,2,2,2,3,4,2,3,4,5,2,4,4,5,])
array_2 = np.array([10,5,18,23,16,30,4,0,50,25,72,30,90,129,51,83,95,85,121,118,145,182,159,267,337,307,493,633,423,457,543,542,])
array_1_name = "The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in"
array_2_name = "Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs"
# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)
# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)
```

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Attribution can take many different forms. If you leave the "tylervigen.com" link in the image, that satisfies it just fine. If you remove it and move it to a footnote, that's fine too. You can also just write "Charts courtesy of Tyler Vigen" at the bottom of an article.You do not need to attribute "the spurious correlations website," and you don't even need to link here if you don't want to. I don't gain anything from pageviews. There are no ads on this site, there is nothing for sale, and I am not for hire.

For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

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**Download images for these variables:**

- High resolution line chart
The image linked here is a Scalable Vector Graphic (SVG). It is the highest resolution that is possible to achieve. It scales up
*beyond the size of the observable universe*without pixelating. You do not need to email me asking if I have a higher resolution image. I do not. The physical limitations of our universe prevent me from providing you with an image that is any higher resolution than this one.

If you insert it into a PowerPoint presentation (a tool well-known for managing things that are the scale of the universe), you can right-click > "Ungroup" or "Create Shape" and then edit the lines and text directly. You can also change the colors this way.

Alternatively you can use a tool like Inkscape. - High resolution line chart, optimized for mobile
- Alternative high resolution line chart
- Scatterplot
- Portable line chart (png)
- Portable line chart (png), optimized for mobile
- Line chart for only
*The number of movies Nicolas Cage appeared in* - Line chart for only
*Total Number of Successful Mount Everest Climbs*

**How fun was this correlation?**

Your correlation rating is out of this world!

Correlation ID: 10128 · Black Variable ID: 26630 · Red Variable ID: 498