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Spurious correlation #2,086 · View random

A linear line chart with years as the X-axis and two variables on the Y-axis. The first variable is Popularity of the first name Asia and the second variable is Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina.  The chart goes from 1985 to 2022, and the two variables track closely in value over that time. Small Image
Download png
, svg

AI explanation

As more babies were named Asia, there was a subconscious societal shift towards a desire for exotic travel, leading to an uptick in car thefts as people tried to fulfill their newfound wanderlust. The baby name book didn't mention anything about unintended crime waves!

Model: dalle-3
Prompt: [ Concept art ] Create an image of a vibrant street scene in a bustling South Carolina town. A sleek red sports car with "Asia" emblazoned on its side is parked in front of a classic diner, with the attention of onlookers drawn to its striking presence. Meanwhile, a group of vigilant police officers are shown investigating a recent motor vehicle theft, maintaining a close watch on the area. Capture the contrast between the admiration for the car and the tense atmosphere surrounding the investigation. The depiction should include only scenes, people, and objects, it should not include text or speech bubbles.
This image generation prompt was also generated by AI, using the following sequence:

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You select one of a few potential scene descriptors that seems to go along with the variables described. You respond only with the scene descriptions provided and say nothing else.
User prompt: Here are two variables: Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Given these, which of the following image style descriptions seems most appropriate? Pick the one that seems to be related to one of the variables at hand. Please respond with only one of the following potential descriptions: Macabre An image that looks like it is a scene from a Pixar movie Art nouveau Data cyber art Concept art
ChatGPT: Concept art

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You describe simple visual scenes that depict the two variables stated. You combine both variables into one scene.
User prompt: Please describe a visual scene that prominently depicts both Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina together. Keep the description simple.
ChatGPT: In a bustling town in South Carolina, a red sports car with the name "Asia" painted on its side is parked in front of a popular diner. The car draws a lot of attention and admiration from passersby, but nearby, a group of police officers are investigating a recent motor vehicle theft, keeping a close eye on the area.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You write and improve image generation prompts for DALLE-3. You maintain the same subjects, but enhance the visuals.
User prompt: Please respond with an image generation prompt that would be likely to create an interesting visual using DALLE-3, using the following style: [ Concept art ] and depicting this scene: In a bustling town in South Carolina, a red sports car with the name "Asia" painted on its side is parked in front of a popular diner. The car draws a lot of attention and admiration from passersby, but nearby, a group of police officers are investigating a recent motor vehicle theft, keeping a close eye on the area. Keep the visual depiction simple. Do not include any words or speech bubbles.
ChatGPT: [ Concept art ] Create an image of a vibrant street scene in a bustling South Carolina town. A sleek red sports car with "Asia" emblazoned on its side is parked in front of a classic diner, with the attention of onlookers drawn to its striking presence. Meanwhile, a group of vigilant police officers are shown investigating a recent motor vehicle theft, maintaining a close watch on the area. Capture the contrast between the admiration for the car and the tense atmosphere surrounding the investigation.

*Variations in the User Prompts from chart to chart are just the result of random number generation in Python. I wrote a few arrays of various styles and methods to ask questions to change up the results. Every time this site writes an explanation or generates an image, the script picks from each at random.

I sequence the requests into multiple prompts because I find GPT 3.5 to perform much better with short, well-managed contexts. Thus, I track the context directly in Python and only ask ChatGPT targeted questions.

Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 (fine-tuned)
System prompt: You provide humorous responses in the form of plausible sounding explanations for correlations. You assume the correlation is causative for the purpose of the explanation even if it is ridiculous. You do not chat with the user, you only reply with the causal connection explanation and nothing else.
User prompt: Please make up a funny explanation for how increases in Popularity of the first name Asia positively influenced Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina.

AI academic paper

(Because p < 0.01)
Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina

The Journal of Sociological Studies in Southern States

Jan 2024

Reminder: This paper is AI-generated. Not real!
Quick note: This sequence is long and repetitive. That's how the prompt engineering works for this one. I manage the output in Python to format it into this PDF.




Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You write titles and abstracts of goofy academic research papers.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, and add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please draft the title and abstract of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Make the title punny if you can come up with clever pun. If not, make it sound serious.

Your research team used data from US Social Security Administration and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services to assess this nagging question. You found a correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 and p < 0.01 for 1985 to 2022.

Please respond in this format (replace "Lorem ipsum dolor sit" with your title and abstract)

[[TITLE]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit

[[ABSTRACT]]
Lorem ipsum dolor sit



ChatGPT:
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the introduction section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the introduction section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[INTRODUCTION]]



ChatGPT:
[[INTRODUCTION]]

The world of statistics is no stranger to uncovering surprising and seemingly unrelated correlations. From the likelihood of drowning in a swimming pool being positively associated with the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in to the negative correlation between the consumption of mozzarella cheese and the number of civil engineering doctorates awarded in the US, statistical analyses have a way of unearthing some truly peculiar connections. In this vein, our study ventures into the uncharted territory of exploring the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina.

It's not often that the realm of baby names intersects with the realm of crime statistics, but as the saying goes, truth is often stranger than fiction. This investigation was borne out of a moment of whimsy and a dash of curiosity, prompting us to ponder: Could there be a link between the fashionably exotic name "Asia" and the not-so-fashionable act of car theft? Little did we know that this seemingly whimsical inquiry would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole to uncover a substantive and intriguing association between the two.

South Carolina, known for its picturesque landscapes and southern hospitality, might not be the first place to come to mind when pondering matters of baby naming choices and criminal mischief. However, as it turns out, this charming state holds the key to unraveling an enigmatic correlation that has left us scratching our heads and chuckling in equal measure. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on a statistical journey that will have you questioning everything you thought you knew about the intersection of names and nefarious deeds.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft a literature review section of an academic research paper, that starts out dry for the first few sentences but then becomes hilarious and goofy.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a literature review section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Speak in the present tense for this section (the authors find...), as is common in academic research paper literature reviews. Name the sources in a format similar to this: In "Book," the authors find lorem and ipsum.

Make up the lorem and ipsum part, but make it sound related to the topic at hand.

Start by naming serious-sounding studies by authors like Smith, Doe, and Jones - but then quickly devolve. Name some real non-fiction books that would be related to the topic. Then name some real fiction books that sound like they could be related. Perhaps you also got inspiration from some board games that are vaugely related.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

-------

And here is the introduction section that led to this literature review:
[[INTRODUCTION]]
The world of statistics is no stranger to uncovering surprising and seemingly unrelated correlations. From the likelihood of drowning in a swimming pool being positively associated with the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in to the negative correlation between the consumption of mozzarella cheese and the number of civil engineering doctorates awarded in the US, statistical analyses have a way of unearthing some truly peculiar connections. In this vein, our study ventures into the uncharted territory of exploring the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina.
It's not often that the realm of baby names intersects with the realm of crime statistics, but as the saying goes, truth is often stranger than fiction. This investigation was borne out of a moment of whimsy and a dash of curiosity, prompting us to ponder: Could there be a link between the fashionably exotic name "Asia" and the not-so-fashionable act of car theft? Little did we know that this seemingly whimsical inquiry would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole to uncover a substantive and intriguing association between the two.
South Carolina, known for its picturesque landscapes and southern hospitality, might not be the first place to come to mind when pondering matters of baby naming choices and criminal mischief. However, as it turns out, this charming state holds the key to unraveling an enigmatic correlation that has left us scratching our heads and chuckling in equal measure. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on a statistical journey that will have you questioning everything you thought you knew about the intersection of names and nefarious deeds.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]



ChatGPT:
[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]

Smith (2019) conducted a comprehensive analysis of first names and their potential societal impacts, although unexpectedly came across no mention of any correlations with criminal activities. Doe (2020) delved into the intricate web of criminal behaviors and contributing factors, yet regrettably omitted any exploration of the influence of baby names on such activities. Jones (2021) painstakingly documented trends in baby name popularity in the United States, but happened to overlook any potential connections to illicit activity. While these esteemed researchers established valuable foundations in their respective fields, none could foresee the groundbreaking correlation we are about to present.

In "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, the authors delve into the unanticipated connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena, offering a tantalizing glimpse into the world of eccentric statistical relationships. Similarly, "Predictably Irrational" by Dan Ariely provides insights into the unpredictable nature of human behavior, reminding us that the most unexpected correlations often lurk beneath the surface of conventional wisdom.

On a more whimsical note, the fiction works of Agatha Christie, in particular, "The Mystery of the Blue Train," and Sir Arthur Conan Doyle's "The Adventure of the Veiled Lodger" offer fictional, albeit captivating, narratives that involve vehicles and mysterious activities. In a playful twist, the board game "Clue" may serve as a lighthearted inspiration, prompting us to consider every potential suspect in our quest to unravel the peculiar link between the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the methodology section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the methodology section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services . You used data from 1985 to 2022

Make up the research methods you don't know. Make them a bit goofy and convoluted.

Here is the title, abstract, and introduction of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

[[INTRODUCTION]]
The world of statistics is no stranger to uncovering surprising and seemingly unrelated correlations. From the likelihood of drowning in a swimming pool being positively associated with the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in to the negative correlation between the consumption of mozzarella cheese and the number of civil engineering doctorates awarded in the US, statistical analyses have a way of unearthing some truly peculiar connections. In this vein, our study ventures into the uncharted territory of exploring the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina.
It's not often that the realm of baby names intersects with the realm of crime statistics, but as the saying goes, truth is often stranger than fiction. This investigation was borne out of a moment of whimsy and a dash of curiosity, prompting us to ponder: Could there be a link between the fashionably exotic name "Asia" and the not-so-fashionable act of car theft? Little did we know that this seemingly whimsical inquiry would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole to uncover a substantive and intriguing association between the two.
South Carolina, known for its picturesque landscapes and southern hospitality, might not be the first place to come to mind when pondering matters of baby naming choices and criminal mischief. However, as it turns out, this charming state holds the key to unraveling an enigmatic correlation that has left us scratching our heads and chuckling in equal measure. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on a statistical journey that will have you questioning everything you thought you knew about the intersection of names and nefarious deeds.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[METHODOLOGY]]



ChatGPT:

[[METHODOLOGY]]

To delve into the enigmatic correlation between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the prevalence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina, our research team embarked on a convoluted but undeniably entertaining methodological journey. We harness the power of data collected from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services, spanning a time frame from 1985 to 2022. Our data mining expedition sought to extract nuggets of statistical gold from what initially appeared to be disparate realms of information.

Now, let's buckle up and dive into the zany world of our research methods! We first conducted an extensive review of baby name trends, scouring through a trove of historical data to decipher the ebbs and flows of the name "Asia." We scrutinized patterns, fluctuations, and moments of 'name-nomical' significance to gauge the ebullient rise and fall of this particular name. With a blend of earnest determination and a splash of good humor, we dug deep to discern the social and cultural implications surrounding the moniker "Asia" and its magnetism within the baby-naming landscape.

On the flip side of our statistical escapade, we tapped into the labyrinthine maze of crime data, sifting through the archives of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Our intrepid exploration involved decoding the whimsical dance of criminal activities and uncovering any potential linkages to the pattern of "Asia" prominence. We waltzed through the annals of law enforcement reports, gallantly navigating through the data to illuminate any conceivable interplay between the two seemingly discordant domains.

In a moment of daring dexterity, we merged the two disparate datasets, creating a statistical tango that saw the baby name "Asia" dance harmoniously with the sinuous movements of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. With a confluence of meticulous statistical analyses, our brew of correlation coefficients, regression modeling, and other statistical concoctions unveiled the veritable symphony of data points that spoke to the unlikely connection we had set out to illuminate.

What emerged was a resounding crescendo of statistical significance, showcasing a striking correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, laying bare the unexpected association between the popularity of "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts. Our findings revealed a connection as unmistakable as a neon sign on a dark, winding statistical highway, leaving us with raised eyebrows and a sense of wonder at this perplexing yet compelling correlation.

In this endeavor, the limitations of our methodology were akin to navigating an academic obstacle course, but our intrepid spirit and statistical acumen steered us through the maze of inquiries and uncertainties, ultimately illuminating a hitherto unexplored facet of statistical whimsy. As we bid adieu to our methods section, we invite readers to join us in celebrating the delightfully unexpected statistical journey we have undertaken, leaving us with a newfound appreciation for the serendipitous twists and turns that statistical research can unveil.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the results section of an academic research paper. You speak in the past tense (you found...).
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the results section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Your research team collected data from all across the internet, but mostly just used information from US Social Security Administration and FBI Criminal Justice Information Services .

For the time period 1985 to 2022, you found a correlation 0.9233771, r-squared of 0.8526253, and p < 0.01.

One figure will be included. The figure (Fig. 1) is a scatterplot showing the strong correlation between the two variables. You don't need to specify where; I will add the figure.

Here is the title and abstract of the paper:
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

-------

And here is the methodology section that led to this result:
[[METHODOLOGY]]
The world of statistics is no stranger to uncovering surprising and seemingly unrelated correlations. From the likelihood of drowning in a swimming pool being positively associated with the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in to the negative correlation between the consumption of mozzarella cheese and the number of civil engineering doctorates awarded in the US, statistical analyses have a way of unearthing some truly peculiar connections. In this vein, our study ventures into the uncharted territory of exploring the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina.
It's not often that the realm of baby names intersects with the realm of crime statistics, but as the saying goes, truth is often stranger than fiction. This investigation was borne out of a moment of whimsy and a dash of curiosity, prompting us to ponder: Could there be a link between the fashionably exotic name "Asia" and the not-so-fashionable act of car theft? Little did we know that this seemingly whimsical inquiry would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole to uncover a substantive and intriguing association between the two.
South Carolina, known for its picturesque landscapes and southern hospitality, might not be the first place to come to mind when pondering matters of baby naming choices and criminal mischief. However, as it turns out, this charming state holds the key to unraveling an enigmatic correlation that has left us scratching our heads and chuckling in equal measure. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on a statistical journey that will have you questioning everything you thought you knew about the intersection of names and nefarious deeds.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[RESULTS]]



ChatGPT:

[[RESULTS]]

The analysis of the data revealed a statistically significant and notably high correlation (r = 0.9233771, r-squared = 0.8526253, p < 0.01) between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidents of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina from 1985 to 2022. The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables.

The presence of such a strong correlation certainly raises eyebrows and provokes a fair amount of head-scratching. While we initially embarked on this journey with a sense of whimsy and intrigue, we were not anticipating stumbling upon such a compelling statistical connection. It seems that the name "Asia" might hold more sway in South Carolina than one would expect, exerting an unexpected influence that transcends the realms of baby naming trends and delves into the realm of criminal activities.

As much as we would like to attribute this correlation to a cleverly orchestrated heist by a group of baby-name enthusiasts, the actual underlying factors at play remain a mystery. It leaves us pondering whether there might be a secret society of "Asia" admirers orchestrating this statistical phenomenon, or perhaps it's simply a case of statistical serendipity. This delightful discovery certainly highlights the whimsical yet thought-provoking nature of statistical analyses and offers a gentle reminder that correlation does not always imply causation, no matter how tempting it may be to concoct entertaining conspiracy theories.

In conclusion, this unexpected correlation between the popularity of the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts beckons further investigation and warrants a deeper exploration into the web of interconnected societal trends. It also serves as a quirky reminder of the endless surprises that statistical analyses can unearth, and the humor and intrigue that can accompany research endeavors. This correlation, while initially surprising, invites future studies to delve into the curious impact of names on statistical phenomena, thereby expanding the horizons of statistical inquiries to accommodate the delightfully unexpected.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of an academic research paper.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up the discussion section of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 500 tokens.

Here are the title, abstract, literature review, and results sections. Please harken back to 1-2 of the goofy items in the literature review, but pretend to take them completely seriously. Discuss how your results supported the prior research.

Do not write a conclusion. I will add a conclusion after this.

[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

[[LITERATURE REVIEW]]
Smith (2019) conducted a comprehensive analysis of first names and their potential societal impacts, although unexpectedly came across no mention of any correlations with criminal activities. Doe (2020) delved into the intricate web of criminal behaviors and contributing factors, yet regrettably omitted any exploration of the influence of baby names on such activities. Jones (2021) painstakingly documented trends in baby name popularity in the United States, but happened to overlook any potential connections to illicit activity. While these esteemed researchers established valuable foundations in their respective fields, none could foresee the groundbreaking correlation we are about to present.
In "Freakonomics" by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, the authors delve into the unanticipated connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena, offering a tantalizing glimpse into the world of eccentric statistical relationships. Similarly, "Predictably Irrational" by Dan Ariely provides insights into the unpredictable nature of human behavior, reminding us that the most unexpected correlations often lurk beneath the surface of conventional wisdom.
On a more whimsical note, the fiction works of Agatha Christie, in particular, "The Mystery of the Blue Train," and Sir Arthur Conan Doyle's "The Adventure of the Veiled Lodger" offer fictional, albeit captivating, narratives that involve vehicles and mysterious activities. In a playful twist, the board game "Clue" may serve as a lighthearted inspiration, prompting us to consider every potential suspect in our quest to unravel the peculiar link between the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a statistically significant and notably high correlation (r = 0.9233771, r-squared = 0.8526253, p < 0.01) between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidents of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina from 1985 to 2022. The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables.
The presence of such a strong correlation certainly raises eyebrows and provokes a fair amount of head-scratching. While we initially embarked on this journey with a sense of whimsy and intrigue, we were not anticipating stumbling upon such a compelling statistical connection. It seems that the name "Asia" might hold more sway in South Carolina than one would expect, exerting an unexpected influence that transcends the realms of baby naming trends and delves into the realm of criminal activities.
As much as we would like to attribute this correlation to a cleverly orchestrated heist by a group of baby-name enthusiasts, the actual underlying factors at play remain a mystery. It leaves us pondering whether there might be a secret society of "Asia" admirers orchestrating this statistical phenomenon, or perhaps it's simply a case of statistical serendipity. This delightful discovery certainly highlights the whimsical yet thought-provoking nature of statistical analyses and offers a gentle reminder that correlation does not always imply causation, no matter how tempting it may be to concoct entertaining conspiracy theories.
In conclusion, this unexpected correlation between the popularity of the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts beckons further investigation and warrants a deeper exploration into the web of interconnected societal trends. It also serves as a quirky reminder of the endless surprises that statistical analyses can unearth, and the humor and intrigue that can accompany research endeavors. This correlation, while initially surprising, invites future studies to delve into the curious impact of names on statistical phenomena, thereby expanding the horizons of statistical inquiries to accommodate the delightfully unexpected.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[DISCUSSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[DISCUSSION]]

The findings of our study have unearthed a correlation between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina that is as surprising as finding a clown at a crime scene. The almost uncanny correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01 has left us scratching our heads and contemplating the potential influence of baby names on criminal activities. Our results not only supported the prior research that highlighted the unanticipated connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena but also surpassed our wildest expectations, much like discovering a "here, there, and everywhere" car chase involving an "Asia"-named suspect.

Our study echoes the sentiments of Smith (2019), Doe (2020), and Jones (2021), who inadvertently laid the groundwork for our unexpected discovery. While their research did not directly delve into the whimsical impact of baby names on criminal activities, our findings have brought to light the wacky yet undeniably evident link between the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts. It seems that even in the hallowed halls of academe, truth can be stranger than fiction, and we're not simply barking up the wrong tree with our peculiar findings.

Drawing inspiration from Levitt and Dubner's "Freakonomics" and Ariely's "Predictably Irrational," our study not only echoes the unpredictability of human behavior but also highlights the potential for offbeat statistical correlations akin to finding a diamond in the rough. Furthermore, the fictional narratives of Agatha Christie and Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, though seemingly unrelated to academic research, have encouraged us to adopt a playful perspective in unraveling the peculiar link between the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts. It's as if our research were a game of "Clue," prompting us to consider every potential suspect in this curious statistical whodunit.

While we would love to entertain the possibility of a secret society of "Asia" aficionados orchestrating this statistical phenomenon, we must acknowledge that correlation does not equate to causation, no matter how tempting it is to dream up entertaining conspiracy theories. It's as though we stumbled upon a great mystery, deserving of its own Sherlock Holmes or Hercule Poirot to unravel its enigmatic secrets.

In conclusion, our study has not only opened the floodgates for further investigation into the influence of names on statistical phenomena but has also added a dollop of whimsy and intrigue to the field of statistical inquiries. The correlation we have discovered between the popularity of the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts beckons researchers to embark on a delightful, albeit puzzling, new adventure in the realm of societal naming habits and criminal behavior. As we close this chapter of our research, one thing is certain – truth can indeed be stranger than fiction, and statistical analyses can often lead us down a path laden with surprises, chuckles, and headscratching moments.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You are a witty academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a statistics journal.You draft the discussion section of goofy academic research papers that sounds like it belongs based on the title and abstract provided.
User prompt:
Pretend you are an academic researcher. Your writing sounds like it belongs in a medical or economics journal. However, you frequently crack jokes, make puns, or add unexpected twists in your writing.

Please make up a short conclusion of an academic research paper presenting the findings of the connection between Popularity of the first name Asia and Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina. Make lots of jokes, goofy observations, and puns.

Limit your response to 300 tokens. At the very end, assert that no more research is needed in this area.

Here are the title, abstract, introduction, and results sections.
[[TITLE]]
"Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina"

[[ABSTRACT]]
This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

[[INTRDUCTION]]
The world of statistics is no stranger to uncovering surprising and seemingly unrelated correlations. From the likelihood of drowning in a swimming pool being positively associated with the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in to the negative correlation between the consumption of mozzarella cheese and the number of civil engineering doctorates awarded in the US, statistical analyses have a way of unearthing some truly peculiar connections. In this vein, our study ventures into the uncharted territory of exploring the relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the occurrence of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina.
It's not often that the realm of baby names intersects with the realm of crime statistics, but as the saying goes, truth is often stranger than fiction. This investigation was borne out of a moment of whimsy and a dash of curiosity, prompting us to ponder: Could there be a link between the fashionably exotic name "Asia" and the not-so-fashionable act of car theft? Little did we know that this seemingly whimsical inquiry would lead us down a statistical rabbit hole to uncover a substantive and intriguing association between the two.
South Carolina, known for its picturesque landscapes and southern hospitality, might not be the first place to come to mind when pondering matters of baby naming choices and criminal mischief. However, as it turns out, this charming state holds the key to unraveling an enigmatic correlation that has left us scratching our heads and chuckling in equal measure. So, fasten your seatbelts and prepare to embark on a statistical journey that will have you questioning everything you thought you knew about the intersection of names and nefarious deeds.

[[RESULTS]]
The analysis of the data revealed a statistically significant and notably high correlation (r = 0.9233771, r-squared = 0.8526253, p < 0.01) between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidents of motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina from 1985 to 2022. The scatterplot (Fig. 1) visually depicts the strong positive relationship between these two seemingly unrelated variables.
The presence of such a strong correlation certainly raises eyebrows and provokes a fair amount of head-scratching. While we initially embarked on this journey with a sense of whimsy and intrigue, we were not anticipating stumbling upon such a compelling statistical connection. It seems that the name "Asia" might hold more sway in South Carolina than one would expect, exerting an unexpected influence that transcends the realms of baby naming trends and delves into the realm of criminal activities.
As much as we would like to attribute this correlation to a cleverly orchestrated heist by a group of baby-name enthusiasts, the actual underlying factors at play remain a mystery. It leaves us pondering whether there might be a secret society of "Asia" admirers orchestrating this statistical phenomenon, or perhaps it's simply a case of statistical serendipity. This delightful discovery certainly highlights the whimsical yet thought-provoking nature of statistical analyses and offers a gentle reminder that correlation does not always imply causation, no matter how tempting it may be to concoct entertaining conspiracy theories.
In conclusion, this unexpected correlation between the popularity of the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts beckons further investigation and warrants a deeper exploration into the web of interconnected societal trends. It also serves as a quirky reminder of the endless surprises that statistical analyses can unearth, and the humor and intrigue that can accompany research endeavors. This correlation, while initially surprising, invites future studies to delve into the curious impact of names on statistical phenomena, thereby expanding the horizons of statistical inquiries to accommodate the delightfully unexpected.

-------

Your response should start like this:

[[CONCLUSION]]



ChatGPT:

[[CONCLUSION]]

In wrapping up this statistically peculiar journey, our findings have left us both amused and bemused. Who would have thought that the name "Asia" could hold such sway over the realm of motor vehicle thefts in the charming state of South Carolina? It appears that this correlation is not just a mere statistical oddity, but a delightful enigma that invites a touch of whimsy into the world of data analysis.

As we bid adieu to this unexpected discovery, it is worth noting that while correlation does not imply causation, it certainly paves the way for some entertaining speculations. Could there be a secret underground society of "Asia" aficionados orchestrating these motor vehicle thefts, all in the name of statistical intrigue? Or perhaps there's a perfectly innocent explanation, and this correlation is simply a stroke of statistical serendipity.

In any case, it's clear that the impact of names on statistical trends is not to be underestimated. This correlation between the popularity of the name "Asia" and motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina has undoubtedly opened our eyes to the playful yet thought-provoking nature of statistical analyses.

So, as we humorously decrypt this statistical conundrum, it's time to close the lid on this unexpected chapter. We assert that no further research on this matter is needed, as this intersection of baby names and criminal activities has been sufficiently illuminated. The statistical stage is now set for the next captivating and quirky inquiry to take center stage. It's time to bid adieu to the name "Asia" and its surprising statistical escapades, and embrace the next statistical puzzler that awaits.


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of academic journals. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding research, scientific, or academic journal that would publish a paper entited Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina. Respond only with the name of a fictional academic journal.

ChatGPT:

The Journal of Sociological Studies in Southern States


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide fictional names of nonprofit research organizations and associations. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide the name of a funny but plausible sounding nonprofit, academic, or scientific association or organization that would sponsor research that resulted in a paper entited Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina. Respond only with the name of a fictional organization.

ChatGPT:

The Society for Quirky Social Science Research


Model: gpt-3.5-turbo-1106
System prompt: You provide potential search keywords separated by commas. You say nothing else, and you do not chat with the user.
User prompt: Please provide potential search keywords for a paper titled Can't 'Asia' the Connection: Exploring the Correlation Between the Popularity of the Name 'Asia' and Motor Vehicle Thefts in South Carolina with an abstract of This research paper investigates the intriguing relationship between the popularity of the first name "Asia" and the incidence of motor vehicle thefts in the state of South Carolina. Utilizing data from the US Social Security Administration and the FBI Criminal Justice Information Services from 1985 to 2022, we undertook a comprehensive analysis to uncover any potential linkage. Our findings revealed a strikingly high correlation coefficient of 0.9233771 with a significance level of p < 0.01, pointing to a noteworthy association between the two variables. This unexpected correlation prompts further investigation into the underlying factors at play, offering a fresh perspective on the dynamics shaping both baby naming trends and criminal activities. Our study underscores the need for a deeper understanding of the intersection between societal naming habits and criminal behavior, and invites future research to delve into the whimsical yet noteworthy impact of names on statistical trends.

ChatGPT:

"Asia" name popularity, motor vehicle thefts, South Carolina, correlation, baby naming trends, criminal activities, societal naming habits, statistical trends, FBI crime data, US Social Security Administration data

*There is a bunch of Python happening behind the scenes to turn this prompt sequence into a PDF.



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Data details

Popularity of the first name Asia
Detailed data title: Babies of all sexes born in the US named Asia
Source: US Social Security Administration
See what else correlates with Popularity of the first name Asia

Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina
Detailed data title: The motor vehicle theft rate per 100,000 residents in South Carolina
Source: FBI Criminal Justice Information Services
See what else correlates with Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina

Correlation r = 0.9233771 (Pearson correlation coefficient)
Correlation is a measure of how much the variables move together. If it is 0.99, when one goes up the other goes up. If it is 0.02, the connection is very weak or non-existent. If it is -0.99, then when one goes up the other goes down. If it is 1.00, you probably messed up your correlation function.

r2 = 0.8526253 (Coefficient of determination)
This means 85.3% of the change in the one variable (i.e., Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina) is predictable based on the change in the other (i.e., Popularity of the first name Asia) over the 38 years from 1985 through 2022.

p < 0.01, which is statistically significant(Null hypothesis significance test)
The p-value is 1.5E-16. 0.0000000000000001531264709448
The p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme. More specifically the p-value is a measure of how probable it is that we would randomly find a result this extreme if we had only tested one pair of variables one time.

But I am a p-villain. I absolutely did not test only one pair of variables one time. I correlated hundreds of millions of pairs of variables. I threw boatloads of data into an industrial-sized blender to find this correlation.

Who is going to stop me? p-value reporting doesn't require me to report how many calculations I had to go through in order to find a low p-value!
On average, you will find a correaltion as strong as 0.92 in 1.5E-14% of random cases. Said differently, if you correlated 6,530,549,511,328,360 random variables You don't actually need 6 quadrillion variables to find a correlation like this one. I don't have that many variables in my database. You can also correlate variables that are not independent. I do this a lot.

p-value calculations are useful for understanding the probability of a result happening by chance. They are most useful when used to highlight the risk of a fluke outcome. For example, if you calculate a p-value of 0.30, the risk that the result is a fluke is high. It is good to know that! But there are lots of ways to get a p-value of less than 0.01, as evidenced by this project.

In this particular case, the values are so extreme as to be meaningless. That's why no one reports p-values with specificity after they drop below 0.01.

Just to be clear: I'm being completely transparent about the calculations. There is no math trickery. This is just how statistics shakes out when you calculate hundreds of millions of random correlations.
with the same 37 degrees of freedom, Degrees of freedom is a measure of how many free components we are testing. In this case it is 37 because we have two variables measured over a period of 38 years. It's just the number of years minus ( the number of variables minus one ), which in this case simplifies to the number of years minus one.
you would randomly expect to find a correlation as strong as this one.

[ 0.86, 0.96 ] 95% correlation confidence interval (using the Fisher z-transformation)
The confidence interval is an estimate the range of the value of the correlation coefficient, using the correlation itself as an input. The values are meant to be the low and high end of the correlation coefficient with 95% confidence.

This one is a bit more complciated than the other calculations, but I include it because many people have been pushing for confidence intervals instead of p-value calculations (for example: NEJM. However, if you are dredging data, you can reliably find yourself in the 5%. That's my goal!


All values for the years included above: If I were being very sneaky, I could trim years from the beginning or end of the datasets to increase the correlation on some pairs of variables. I don't do that because there are already plenty of correlations in my database without monkeying with the years.

Still, sometimes one of the variables has more years of data available than the other. This page only shows the overlapping years. To see all the years, click on "See what else correlates with..." link above.
19851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022
Popularity of the first name Asia (Babies born)34038339057283193211081114112912211296145415401520142514321275119013741298117010021034839655551436340369346306230253183171154146133
Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina (Motor Vehicle Theft rate)259.2276.6280.8304.7342.1385.8387.1345.4344359.8385.4428.5419415.7371.7388.5411.1411380.6374.6385.6386.1388394.4298.5286.7291.8285.5264.1268.1267.8280.9284.2294294282.1285249.2




Why this works

  1. Data dredging: I have 25,153 variables in my database. I compare all these variables against each other to find ones that randomly match up. That's 632,673,409 correlation calculations! This is called “data dredging.” Instead of starting with a hypothesis and testing it, I instead abused the data to see what correlations shake out. It’s a dangerous way to go about analysis, because any sufficiently large dataset will yield strong correlations completely at random.
  2. Lack of causal connection: There is probably Because these pages are automatically generated, it's possible that the two variables you are viewing are in fact causually related. I take steps to prevent the obvious ones from showing on the site (I don't let data about the weather in one city correlate with the weather in a neighboring city, for example), but sometimes they still pop up. If they are related, cool! You found a loophole.
    no direct connection between these variables, despite what the AI says above. This is exacerbated by the fact that I used "Years" as the base variable. Lots of things happen in a year that are not related to each other! Most studies would use something like "one person" in stead of "one year" to be the "thing" studied.
  3. Observations not independent: For many variables, sequential years are not independent of each other. If a population of people is continuously doing something every day, there is no reason to think they would suddenly change how they are doing that thing on January 1. A simple Personally I don't find any p-value calculation to be 'simple,' but you know what I mean.
    p-value calculation does not take this into account, so mathematically it appears less probable than it really is.
  4. Y-axis doesn't start at zero: I truncated the Y-axes of the graph above. I also used a line graph, which makes the visual connection stand out more than it deserves. Nothing against line graphs. They are great at telling a story when you have linear data! But visually it is deceptive because the only data is at the points on the graph, not the lines on the graph. In between each point, the data could have been doing anything. Like going for a random walk by itself!
    Mathematically what I showed is true, but it is intentionally misleading. Below is the same chart but with both Y-axes starting at zero.




Try it yourself

You can calculate the values on this page on your own! Try running the Python code to see the calculation results. Step 1: Download and install Python on your computer.

Step 2: Open a plaintext editor like Notepad and paste the code below into it.

Step 3: Save the file as "calculate_correlation.py" in a place you will remember, like your desktop. Copy the file location to your clipboard. On Windows, you can right-click the file and click "Properties," and then copy what comes after "Location:" As an example, on my computer the location is "C:\Users\tyler\Desktop"

Step 4: Open a command line window. For example, by pressing start and typing "cmd" and them pressing enter.

Step 5: Install the required modules by typing "pip install numpy", then pressing enter, then typing "pip install scipy", then pressing enter.

Step 6: Navigate to the location where you saved the Python file by using the "cd" command. For example, I would type "cd C:\Users\tyler\Desktop" and push enter.

Step 7: Run the Python script by typing "python calculate_correlation.py"

If you run into any issues, I suggest asking ChatGPT to walk you through installing Python and running the code below on your system. Try this question:

"Walk me through installing Python on my computer to run a script that uses scipy and numpy. Go step-by-step and ask me to confirm before moving on. Start by asking me questions about my operating system so that you know how to proceed. Assume I want the simplest installation with the latest version of Python and that I do not currently have any of the necessary elements installed. Remember to only give me one step per response and confirm I have done it before proceeding."


# These modules make it easier to perform the calculation
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats

# We'll define a function that we can call to return the correlation calculations
def calculate_correlation(array1, array2):

    # Calculate Pearson correlation coefficient and p-value
    correlation, p_value = stats.pearsonr(array1, array2)

    # Calculate R-squared as the square of the correlation coefficient
    r_squared = correlation**2

    return correlation, r_squared, p_value

# These are the arrays for the variables shown on this page, but you can modify them to be any two sets of numbers
array_1 = np.array([340,383,390,572,831,932,1108,1114,1129,1221,1296,1454,1540,1520,1425,1432,1275,1190,1374,1298,1170,1002,1034,839,655,551,436,340,369,346,306,230,253,183,171,154,146,133,])
array_2 = np.array([259.2,276.6,280.8,304.7,342.1,385.8,387.1,345.4,344,359.8,385.4,428.5,419,415.7,371.7,388.5,411.1,411,380.6,374.6,385.6,386.1,388,394.4,298.5,286.7,291.8,285.5,264.1,268.1,267.8,280.9,284.2,294,294,282.1,285,249.2,])
array_1_name = "Popularity of the first name Asia"
array_2_name = "Motor vehicle thefts in South Carolina"

# Perform the calculation
print(f"Calculating the correlation between {array_1_name} and {array_2_name}...")
correlation, r_squared, p_value = calculate_correlation(array_1, array_2)

# Print the results
print("Correlation Coefficient:", correlation)
print("R-squared:", r_squared)
print("P-value:", p_value)



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For the record, I am just one person. Tyler Vigen, he/him/his. I do have degrees, but they should not go after my name unless you want to annoy my wife. If that is your goal, then go ahead and cite me as "Tyler Vigen, A.A. A.A.S. B.A. J.D." Otherwise it is just "Tyler Vigen."

When spoken, my last name is pronounced "vegan," like I don't eat meat.

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Correlation ID: 2086 · Black Variable ID: 2392 · Red Variable ID: 20161
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